Baseball Handicapping Articles
MLB Handicapping: Best and Worst Pitchers
by T.O. Whenham - 6/14/2012
As we are about 40 percent through the MLB season, here’s a look at the five best and five worst pitchers of the year so far from an MLB handicapping perspective. While these guys might not keep their current form, this guide will help you manage the MLB odds.
MLB Betting Trends: Third Game of a Series
by David Schwab - 6/13/2012
There are many important factors to take into consideration when handicapping a MLB game, such as pitching matchups, field conditions, home-plate umpires etc., but one of the most important and sometimes overlooked factor is trends. A trend is a look at past results that can sometimes go a long way towards predicting a future outcome.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 6/11/2012
So what is it we should make of the Pittsburgh Pirates? You know, that other Major League Baseball team from the state of Pennsylvania, the one that has had a losing season every year since 1992 (an MLB record streak). You no doubt remember that ’92 season: Sid Bream’s epic slide at home knocked out the Barry Bonds-led Pirates (it was his throw from left field) from the National League Championship Series. Pittsburgh had finished first each season from 1990-’92, but that slide launched the franchise into the laughingstock of baseball over the past two decades.
MLB Series Picks: Mets at Yankees Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 6/7/2012
Interleague play takes over Major League Baseball for the next couple of weeks starting Friday, and, as usual, the series getting the most hype is the Subway Series between the New York Mets and Yankees – this three-game set is in the Bronx.
MLB Handicapping: What to Make of the Detroit Tigers?
by Alan Matthews - 6/7/2012
Do the books know something that you and I don’t? Entering Thursday’s Major League Baseball action, the Detroit Tigers are 25-31 (first time six-games under .500 since the end of the 2008 season) after starting 9-3 and they are now six games out of first place in the American League Central, meaning they are closer to last-place Minnesota -- with Kansas City just a half-game behind Detroit -- than the division-leading Chicago White Sox.
MLB Betting: First Five Innings, Last Four Innings, Prop Bets
by David Schwab - 6/6/2012
The NHL and the NBA seasons are just about over, so between now and the start of football in early September most of the betting public will shift their focus on wagering on Major League Baseball. While ever major sportsbook offers daily money lines, run lines, and total lines for the games, there are a number of interesting ways to bet on baseball other than sticking to the basics of a straight up play.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 6/4/2012
So when are the books finally going to get off the Detroit Tigers bandwagon? Here we are a third of the way through the baseball season and the Tigers are huge disappointments at 25-29 (12-14 at home) and in third place in the American League Central, six games behind the division-leading and red-hot Chicago White Sox. Yet Detroit remains the -125 favorite on Sportsbook.ag to win the division and +600 to win the AL pennant (Chicago is +140 to win the division).
MLB Picks: Rangers at Angels Series Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 5/31/2012
The Texas Rangers and the Los Angeles Angels were two of the AL pennant favorites in the spring. The Rangers have held up their end of the bargain as they are now the World Series favorites at +400 on Sportsbook.ag. The Halos had started the season ahead of Texas in division, pennant and World Series futures.
MLB Handicapping: Players off to Slow Starts
by T.O. Whenham - 5/31/2012
The biggest story in this young baseball season has been the slow starts of several high-profile players. Here’s a look at four of the biggest names with the biggest early-season struggles. Can they turn things around, or are they destined to struggle all year? More importantly, what does that mean for bettors?
MLB’s Top Hitting Teams and the Totals Line
by David Schwab - 5/30/2012
The 2012 MLB regular season is almost a third of the way into its 162-game schedule, so we now have more than enough figures and statistics on all 30 teams to gain a better understanding of their strengths and weaknesses. The key for baseball handicappers is to be able to use this information to gain an edge when researching a particular matchup, particularly in terms of wagering on the total line.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 5/28/2012
The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best record in Major League Baseball and the biggest cushion of any division leader. In addition, NL MVP candidate Matt Kemp is set to come off the disabled list on Tuesday, presumably making L.A. that much better again. It’s easy to understand why Los Angeles is the huge -1200 favorite on Sportsbook.ag to win the NL West and the +300 favorite to win the National League pennant.
MLB Handicapping: Can Baltimore Orioles Keep Winning?
by T.O. Whenham - 5/25/2012
I would struggle to come up with anything more surprising in baseball this year than the start the Baltimore Orioles are off to after more than a quarter of the season has passed. This is more surprising than the struggles of Albert Pujols, the hot start by the Dodgers, or the weakness of the Red Sox or Phillies.
Best Under-the-Radar Pitchers for MLB Betting
by Robert Ferringo - 5/24/2012
Even though they reside in one of the loudest echo chambers in baseball – an American League East populated by big market behemoths New York and Boston – the only thing more impressive about Baltimore’s daring vault to the best record in the American League has been their ability to stay under the national radar while doing it.
MLB Handicapping: Five Pitchers Burning Bankrolls
by Aaron Smith - 5/24/2012
Baseball handicappers don’t have to be told how important starting pitching is to their wager. There are some pitchers who are dominant nearly every time out. There are also some pitchers who seem to get shelled nearly every outing. Today, I wanted to take a look at the pitchers who are burning bankrolls the most so far in 2012. You’ll likely be surprised at some of the guys on this list.
MLB Handicapping: How to Handle Bad Early Starts
by T.O. Whenham - 5/24/2012
In baseball a .400 batting average is an almost mythical accomplishment. A .400 win percentage, though, is far less impressive. In fact, in my mind it marks the boundary between a team with troubles and a team that is just plain bad. If a team has played a quarter of a season or more and is below .400 then they probably have some pretty significant issues.
Home Plate Umpires Role in MLB Handicapping
by David Schwab - 5/23/2012
A team’s current form as well as its starting pitcher in any particular matchup are two major factors to take into consideration when doing your MLB handicapping, but a third and sometimes overlooked factor is which umpire is slated to be behind home plate calling balls and strikes.
MLB Picks: Reds at Yankees Series Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 5/17/2012
Interleague play returns to Major League Baseball this weekend and there were several good series to choose from: Red Sox-Phillies, Braves-Rays, Orioles-Nationals, not to mention the battle for Chicago and the San Francisco Bay area. But I had to go with the Cincinnati Reds-New York Yankees three-game set in the Bronx.
MLB Betting and Handicapping Update – Top Money Line Returns
by David Schwab - 5/16/2012
The 2012 MLB regular season is approaching the quarter pole of its 162-game marathon and we have already seen dark horses streak to an early lead out of the gate and we also find a few preseason favorites lagging behind the field.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 5/14/2012
I wrote last week in this column that it might be time to jump ship on the Washington Nationals’ futures, and it appears that with the latest injury to hit the club that my timing might have been dead on. Already having lost outfielder Jayson Werth perhaps for the season to a wrist injury, the Nats lost an even more important piece this past weekend when catcher Wilson Ramos went down with a likely season-ending torn ACL.
MLB Series Picks: Indians vs. Red Sox Predictions
by Darin Zank - 5/9/2012
The Cleveland Indians held the lead in the AL Central last year past the all-star break before fading. This year Cleveland also holds the early lead in the Central. The Boston Red Sox, meanwhile, have picked up this year the way they finished last year. They are playing pretty poorly right now.
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