Baseball Handicapping Articles
MLB Odds and Predictions: New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers, Game 3
by Alan Matthews - 10/16/2012
When I previewed Game 1 of the American League Championship Series on Saturday between the Tigers and Yankees, I wrote that I liked the Tigers in the series but wanted to hold off a bit just in case a big injury occurred. Boy did it, and now the Yankees look like they are toast.
MLB Predictions: Tigers at Yankees Game 1 ALCS Odds and Betting Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/13/2012
The Detroit Tigers no doubt enjoyed having Friday off after they eliminated Oakland in Game 5 of the ALDS on Thursday night. The Tigers flew back to Detroit after that game (landing around 8 a.m. local time) and watched the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees battle into Friday night for a spot opposite in the Tigers in the American League Championship Series, with Game 1 on Saturday night in the Bronx. Detroit got back on a plane around 11:30 p.m. Friday to fly to New York after the Yanks finished off the Birds 3-1 in Game 5 of that series.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 10/8/2012
With all due respect to the Oakland A’s, who have had a tremendous season, I guarantee you that the Detroit Tigers preferred to face the A’s as the AL West champs in the division series over the Texas Rangers. Despite having a worse record than Oakland, Detroit got to host the first two games of their ALDS series (this year only) and took big advantage by winning both to send the series to Oakland with the A’s having to win three straight starting Tuesday – including beating Justin Verlander in a possible Game 5 – to advance to the ALCS.
MLB Odds and Predictions: Friday’s Wild-Card Playoff Games
by Alan Matthews - 10/4/2012
There wasn’t a whole lot of drama surrounding the National League playoff race. It had been long assumed that the Atlanta Braves wouldn’t catch Washington in the NL East and would take the top wild-card spot. The St. Louis Cardinals made it a little interesting at the end as they didn’t clinch until the penultimate night of the season, but there never was a ton of doubt that St. Louis would get in.
Bold MLB Baseball Postseason Predictions
by T.O. Whenham - 10/4/2012
The long baseball regular season that acts as a bridge from the spring to the fall has come to an end. On Friday the playoffs start — albeit a strange and unfamiliar playoffs with another team there for each league. As we get ready for the annually fantastic month of fall ball, here are eight bold predictions about how I see things turning out:
MLB Handicapping: Odds State One-Game Playoff is One To Avoid
by Ricky Dimon - 10/2/2012
Has any Major League Baseball team been snakebit in October more often than the Atlanta Braves? At least in the last six decades or so, definitely not. If the Cubs are the lovable losers then the Braves are the lovable losers of postseason play. They’ve been to the playoffs 15 times since 1991 and have won the World Series only once (1995). The Braves have lost six consecutive playoff series dating back to the 2001 NLCS, including three in a decisive final game (all three of those at home).
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 10/1/2012
How hard do you think the books are rooting for the New York Yankees this week? The Yanks were the preseason favorites to win the American League East, but that race will go down to the wire with the surprising Baltimore Orioles, who were huge long shots to win the division back in the spring. Currently on Sportsbook.ag, the O’s are +150 to win the division with New York at -200.
MLB Handicapping: Teams that Have Clinched During Final Week
by T.O. Whenham - 9/28/2012
We are heading into the last week of the baseball season. There is still quite a bit to determine for the postseason. In the National League, though, we know four teams — Washington, Cincinnati, San Francisco, and Atlanta — that are heading to the postseason no matter what. Once a team has clinched its playoff spot, bettors need to pay close attention to how it is approaching the rest of its games. Some teams will continue to play with full intensity after they have clinched, others will hardly even try, and still others will let up on the gas a little but still play with intensity.
MLB Odds and Predictions: Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers Series
by Alan Matthews - 9/27/2012
Back in Spring Training, I certainly had circled this weekend’s Angels-Rangers series as one that stood out above almost all others this season. After all, the Rangers were the two-time American League Champions and added Japanese sensation Yu Darvish this offseason. Los Angeles owner Arte Moreno was tired of watching Texas finish above his club in the AL West and spent more than $300 million on C.J. Wilson, the former Rangers ace, and Albert Pujols.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/24/2012
Four of the six division races in baseball are all but over. The Reds already have clinched the National League Central and the Giants have done the same in the NL West. I expect the Nationals and Rangers to clinch the NL East and AL West, respectively, this week.
MLB Picks: Brewers at Nationals Series Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 9/20/2012
It was extremely tough to pick which series to preview this weekend. Look at the schedule and you can see potential playoff implications (even if it’s for postseason seeding purposes) for at least one team in every series other than Marlins-Mets and Indians-Royals. That is the beauty of MLB adding that second wild-card spot and this is playing out exactly as Bud Selig had hoped. With just under two weeks left, only 12 of the 30 teams are essentially eliminated.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/17/2012
Do you think the Los Angeles Dodgers are regretting that big trade with Boston yet? L.A. essentially gave the Red Sox a lifeboat by taking on more than $250 million in guaranteed contracts in landing Adrian Gonzalez, Carl Crawford and Josh Beckett with the expectation that Gonzalez and Beckett (Crawford is out for the season) would lead the team to the playoffs.
MLB Wild-Card Race: Predictions for Pretenders and Contenders
by T.O. Whenham - 9/14/2012
We’re in the MLB home stretch now. There are 20 or fewer games left for teams in baseball, and the fight is on for playoff berths. Now that an extra wild card spot has been added in each league there are more spaces available, and therefore there’s more competitive fight for extra life than ever.
MLB Picks: Orioles at A’s Series Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 9/13/2012
With all due respect to the Washington Nationals, the two biggest positive surprises in Major League Baseball this season have to be the Baltimore Orioles and Oakland A’s. Both teams, projected to finish at or near the bottom of their respective divisions, would be in the playoffs if the season ended today. The Birds and Vowels start a huge three-game series Friday night in Oakland that could help determine not only one or both AL wild-card spots but also the AL East and even the AL West title.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting The Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/10/2012
There were three key injuries in MLB last week that seem likely to affect the American League playoff chase – and one of them unfortunately will probably cost me on the 2012 MLB home-run king prop. Let’s start in New York with Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira. The Yanks should be feeling somewhat good today after routing Baltimore 13-3 on Sunday to take a one-game lead over the Birds in the AL East.
MLB Odds and Predictions: Tigers at Angels Series Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/6/2012
It was tough picking which series to preview this weekend – sure, I could preview some mismatch every weekend and give you the winner, but what fun is that? The Yankees-Orioles series is a huge one, but, unfortunately, that started on Thursday. And I generally steer clear of picking four-game series because you are only wagering on the first three. What if there’s a rainout? That could affect the pitching matchups.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/3/2012
Was the American League Central race decided over the weekend? For oddsmakers, it sure seemed to be. The Chicago White Sox have led the division most of the season and were the favorites on Sportsbook.ag to win the Central entering Friday’s series opener in Detroit. But after suffering their second straight sweep at Comerica Park, the Sox and Tigers are now tied for the division lead entering Monday’s action and Detroit is now the -160 favorite on the site, with Chicago at +120.
MLB Handicapping: Aftermath of the Dodgers Big Trade
by T.O. Whenham - 8/31/2012
We’re not supposed to see big trades in August. Superstars have to get through waivers, so big deals are often very hard to be done. The Dodgers ignored that reality, though, when they blew the top off the baseball world with their deal with the Red Sox. Grabbing Josh Beckett, Adrian Gonzalez or Carl Crawford would have been a big deal in and of itself. The fact that they grabbed all three, added Nick Punto as well, and didn’t really give up that much in return, is downright remarkable.
MLB Odds and Predictions: Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers
by Alan Matthews - 8/30/2012
It’s the biggest series of the year in the American League Central beginning Friday night at Comerica Park when the Detroit Tigers host the Chicago White Sox. As well as Oakland, Baltimore and Tampa Bay are playing – the first two being huge surprises – it’s quite possible that the runner-up in the Central between Detroit and Chicago misses the playoffs entirely.
MLB Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 8/27/2012
The big news in Major League Baseball last week was the absolutely shocking trade between Boston and the L.A. Dodgers that sent Adrian Gonzalez, Carl Crawford and Josh Beckett to the West Coast for essentially two top pitching prospects. It was the biggest salary dump in MLB history and it’s the Red Sox doing a reboot.
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