Baseball Handicapping Articles
MLB Betting Advice: Teams in Trouble
by Trevor Whenham - 4/27/2016
The baseball season is just 20 games or so old. In human terms it has ditched the diapers but is still too young to care about girls. A whole lot can and will change between now and the postseason. For at least four teams, though, I already can't shake the feeling that the season is all but over - that the last 140 games is just about playing out the string.
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Wednesday, April 27, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews - 4/26/2016
When the season opened, Twins outfielder Byron Buxton was considered the No. 2 overall prospect in baseball -- behind the Dodgers' Corey Seager -- and he was also the +250 favorite to win AL Rookie of the Year honors. That's not happening. The massively struggling Buxton was sent to Triple-A by the Twins on Monday, and they had to do it. He hit just.156 in 17 games with 24 strikeouts in 45 at-bats.
Free MLB Picks for Best Props Odds: Tuesday April 26, 2016
by Chris Vasile - 4/26/2016
Baseball is a marathon, not a sprint. Over the course of the 162-game season, there will be highs and there will be lows. What matters is how you handle them. A winning streak can be over in the blink of an eye and a losing streak, well, let me tell you, it could take a while to get out of, and it isn't pretty.
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Tuesday, April 26, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews - 4/25/2016
Some fairly significant injury/suspension news over the weekend. Toronto lost first baseman Chris Colabello for an 80-game drug suspension, which might put the Jays in the market for a lefty-hitting guy who can play there (Cardinals might be a match) or as a DH. Colabello was a revelation last year in hitting .321 with 15 homers and 54 RBIs but was batting just .069 this season.
MLB Betting Trends: Hot and Cold Baseball Wagers
by Victor Ryan - 4/25/2016
This week's look at the hottest and coldest bets in Major League Baseball includes a couple of teams with high expectations entering the season that have instead have been a drain on bankrolls as well as two teams from the American League that continued to exceed expectations with another profitable seven days. Let's get started.
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Saturday, April 23, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews - 4/22/2016
On Thursday's Opening Line Report, I threw it out there that it wouldn't surprise me if a former NL Cy Young winner threw a no-hitter that day against one of the expected worst teams in the National League. Alas, I went with Clayton Kershaw against Atlanta. While Kershaw was very good against the Braves, on Thursday night in Cincinnati reigning NL Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta of the Cubs threw the first no-hitter of the season and his second in his past 11 regular-season starts.
MLB Betting Trends: Best Over and Under Bets for Wagering
by Aaron Smith - 4/22/2016
We're about 15 or 16 games into the Major League Baseball season for most teams. The biggest surprise of the season thus far is probably the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles were picked by many to finish last in the American League East. They sit at 10-4 so far this year thanks to a lot of close wins in the late innings.
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Friday, April 22, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews - 4/21/2016
Here's guessing that Mets third baseman David Wright can't wait to get to the plate on Friday in Atlanta after Thursday's day off. Wright no doubt would like to get the sour taste out of his mouth from Wednesday in Philadelphia when he had perhaps the worst game of his career at the plate. Wright was 0-for-6 with four strikeouts. He missed on 10 of his 12 total swings. Entering the game, his previous high miss percentage in a game dating to the start of the 2015 season was just 45.5 percent. Wright hadn't struck out more than twice in a game this season.
Free MLB Picks for Best Props Odds: Thursday April 21, 2016
by Chris Vasile - 4/21/2016
My Tuesday card harped loudly in favor of the LA Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves game. I suggested there would be fireworks and that one team would crush the other. One pitching change later and the total soared over the number, as I expected, but I still split my props for that game.
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Thursday, April 21, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews - 4/20/2016
If the Cincinnati Reds have a lead in the top of the ninth inning of Thursday's home series opener against the Chicago Cubs, it's not clear who might close things out. Cincy's closer has been J.J. Hoover, but he nearly blew a lead in the ninth inning Tuesday against Colorado, allowing a two-run home run to inflate his ERA to 15.19. Hoover has a WHIP of 2.25 and is giving up five home runs per nine innings. He has walked as many as he's struck out.
Baseball Betting and Handicapping: Best and Worst MLB Bullpens
by Trevor Whenham - 4/20/2016
Starting pitchers get the bulk of attention from bettors - and deservedly so. The bullpen, though, is where the souls and wallets of bettors can be crushed or where seemingly hopeless situations can suddenly become profitable ones. A lot of casual bettors make the mistake of not paying enough attention to bullpens when making their betting decisions - and it can come back to haunt them.
MLB Betting Trends: Best Over and Under Bets for Wagering
by Victor Ryan - 4/20/2016
There were a quartet of MLB teams that crushed the "over" last week, but league-wide the "under" had a profitable strike rate of 56% (52-41). Cold weather tends to put a damper on offense, and there's been plenty of that the first two weeks of the campaign. For the season, the "under" is 104-92 (53.1%). All statistics and betting information below are through Tuesday's games.
MLB Wagering Advice and Handicapping: Under-the-Radar Pitchers
by Trevor Whenham - 4/20/2016
Going into every baseball season most bettors have a list - either formally or just loosely in their minds - of some guys they expect to pitch well and deliver value and others they don't expect much from. Making those lists is an inexact science, so inevitably there will be guys every year who were on the wrong list - or who were on no list and should obviously, in hindsight, have been.
MLB Betting Advice and Handicapping: Disappointing Starting Pitchers
by Trevor Whenham - 4/20/2016
Every year I tend to set expectations in my mind for what I expect for a wide range of starting pitchers in baseball - from the true greats to guys I just like betting on or against. Inevitably, several of those guys disappoint me each year by failing to reach up to those expectations. It's early this year, so we can't yet judge what kind of a season guys are really going to have.
MLB Handicapping: How to Judge Former Relievers Added to Rotation
by Trevor Whenham - 4/20/2016
Every year in April we see the kind of thing in baseball that almost always makes my head hurt - or at least has the very strong potential to. Guys who were in the bullpen the previous year are now members of the rotation to start the new season. Sometimes these moves make a big impact. Sometimes they fail miserably. Most often things fall somewhere in between.
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Wednesday, April 20, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews - 4/19/2016
The Baltimore Orioles have been a nice early-season surprise, but I don't believe they have the starting pitching to stay atop the AL East, no matter how much they mash. Thus it seems like a wise gamble to sign free-agent right-hander Kyle Lohse, who is likely to agree to terms soon with the Birds. Lohse was pretty bad last year in Milwaukee with a 5.58 ERA but he was a very good pitcher from 2011-14 and is definitely worth a shot.
MLB Betting Trends: Hot and Cold Baseball Wagers
by Victor Ryan - 4/19/2016
The National League West features prominently in this week's look at the hottest and coldest bets in sports. The Colorado Rockies were a monster winner for bettors last week, while the bumbling Padres entered the realm of the costliest bets in Major League Baseball. It's still early and there's much to be revealed, but here's a look at the trending teams in MLB.
Free MLB Picks for Best Props Odds: Tuesday April 19, 2016
by Chris Vasile - 4/19/2016
I feel as if I belong in the American League East right now. I am sitting at 6-6 on my prop selections this season and am feeling a bit down about my mediocre .500 mark. Despite all that, I would consider myself an optimist. Heading into the weekend with a 2-1 finish and making a little bit of money could be the start of an epic run. At least, that's what I hope is in the forecast.
MLB Handicapping: White Sox Off To A Surprise Start
by Robert Ferringo - 4/18/2016
But the "other" team in Second City, the White Sox, have quietly gotten off to a strong start of their own. The White Sox are 8-4 and currently tied for first place in the American League Central. Granted, it is early; way too early to jump to any solid conclusions over what this season will hold. But the more I look at this White Sox team the more I think that Chicago could be the epicenter of the baseball world this summer.
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Tuesday, April 19, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews - 4/18/2016
If I'm a non-AL East team playing the New York Yankees in April and getting them out of the way for at least a series, then I'm thankful. That's because that New York bullpen is going to be ridiculous once lefty Aroldis Chapman comes off suspension early next month. It's already filthy with right-hander Dellin Betances and lefty Andrew Miller.
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