College Football Handicapping Articles
Thursday Night NCAA Football Preview: North Carolina at Virginia Tech
by Matt Severance - 10/28/2009
It’s the second Thursday night game in a row for the North Carolina Tar Heels, and it’s hard to imagine this one against Virginia Tech going any worse than last week’s did against Florida State. UNC was dominating FSU last week to the tune of 24-6 early in the third quarter but was then outscored 24-3 in the final 22 minutes.
College Football Handicapping: What The Future Holds for Unbeaten Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 10/28/2009
There are seven unbeaten teams remaining in college football. We know for sure that there won't be that many by the end of the season - Alabama and Florida will play in the SEC Championship Game if they don't lose first. But how about the rest? Here's a look at each of the teams, their chances of staying undefeated, and what an undefeated season would likely do for them:
College Football Handicapping: Idaho One of Betting’s Biggest Surprises
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 10/22/2009
There are programs in the midst of downturns and programs that are turning things around and then there is Idaho, who is completely remaking itself. The Vandals are 6-1 straight up this season and 7-0 against the spread and they find themselves as a big underdog this weekend against Nevada.
College Football Handicapping: Unranked Teams That Could Finish Strong
by T.O. Whenham - 10/22/2009
We have now made it through seven weeks of the current college football season. We probably feel like we have a pretty good sense of which teams are for real and which ones are pretenders by now. History tells us that that's not the case, though. There were nine teams ranked in the AP Top 25 after seven weeks last year that were not still ranked by the time the final poll came out.
College Football Handicapping: BCS Conference Rankings
by T.O. Whenham - 10/21/2009
We are just over halfway through the college football season. That means that this is a good time for us to assess what has happened so far, and what could happen going forward. One way I like to do that - both because it is useful and it is fun - is to rank the BCS conferences based on the strength they have shown this year.
Thursday NCAA Football Preview: Florida State at North Carolina
by Matt Severance - 10/20/2009
This Thursday’s ESPN game between Florida State and North Carolina looked like a potential ACC title game preview before the season but now is just two schools looking to get out of the cellar of their respective divisions and perhaps looking forward to the start of basketball season.
Thursday NCAA Preview: No. 8 Cincinnati at No. 21 South Florida
by Matt Severance - 10/13/2009
The number of unbeaten teams in college football, currently at nine, will for sure dwindle by at least one on Thursday when Big East contenders Cincinnati and South Florida face off in Tampa. The Bearcats are currently 3.5-point favorites.
Heisman Trophy Race Update
by T.O. Whenham - 10/8/2009
The Heisman race this year was supposed to be so simple. Former winners Tim Tebow and Sam Bradford were supposed to duel with Colt McCoy in a fight for the ages. Like always seems to happen in these cases, though, it hasn't quite worked out like that. Sam Bradford has been out with a shoulder injury, Tim Tebow is questionable for his next start after getting his bell rung, and and Colt McCoy hasn't looked particularly crisp despite continuing to win.
Disappointing College Teams Against the Spread
by T.O. Whenham - 10/7/2009
With so many high profile college football teams out there it is inevitable that there will be several that wind up being big betting disappointments. Some teams win but aren't as dominant as people expect so they can't cover spreads. Others just struggle when people expect them to excel. Here's a look at five teams that have been particularly frustrating and damaging to the bankroll this year:
Thursday Night Football Preview: No. 21 Nebraska at No. 24 Missouri
by Matt Severance - 10/6/2009
Last year, Mizzou scored 52 points and crushed Nebraska, 52-17. It was the most points the Tigers had scored against the Cornhuskers since 1943 and was the Huskers' most lopsided home loss in 53 years and fifth-worst in Lincoln in the program's 119-year history. And if you go back two seasons, Mizzou has outscored Nebraska 95-23 in the past two meetings. Yet the host Tigers are three-point dogs this week on BetUS.
College Football Handicapping: West Virginia Seeks Revenge
by Matt Severance - 9/30/2009
West Virginia’s defense has been even worse than Colorado’s so far, at least points-wise, allowing an average of 27.0 per game. The last time out the Mountaineers were beaten 41-30 by Auburn. The reason for that was six turnovers, including five by QB Jarrett Brown. But when WVU wins the turnover battle it has won 50 of the past 53 games.
College Football Handicapping: Betting Large Spreads
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 9/30/2009
College football is the home of rivalries, rankings, upsets and the four-touchdown plus point spread. As more and more teams open their season with sacrificial lamb opponents scattered throughout the first two months of the schedule, oddsmakers have been forced to inflate lines all the way up to 72 this season. Likewise bettors looking for action in these frays have had to wager while calculating things like second team defenses and a coaches tendency to run up the score.
College Football Handicapping: Iowa Heads To White House
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 9/24/2009
It will be no different at 8 p.m. this Saturday inside college football’s largest stadium when Penn State, a 9.5-point favorite, hosts Iowa. The Penn State faithful, the players, and Joe Paterno himself might have a little something extra for Iowa after the Hawkeyes dealt Penn State its lone defeat last regular season and what possibly cost JoePa his last chance at a national title.
College Football Handicapping: After The Trojans Break
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 9/24/2009
These midseason hiccups are almost a rite of autumn. Besides USC’s two trips to the National Championship game in 2004 and 2005 each Pete Carroll season has featured a major upset. Here is a recap of each one and what became of the Trojans the next week and the remainder of the season.
College Football Handicapping: Nonconference Vs. Conference Betting Differences
by T.O. Whenham - 9/23/2009
It's overly simplified and inaccurate to say that the nonconference schedule is like the preseason, but there is no question that games carry a bit more weight when they are against conference opponents. Teams approach the conference schedule differently than the rest of their games, and that means that successful handicappers need to make adjustments to thrive as the season progresses. Here's a look at five ways that you need to adjust to find success in nonconference play:
Football Betting: Early Week Line Movements
by Robert Ferringo - 9/22/2009
Once again, those people late to the party came up short on the early line movements. Last week the college teams we tracked went just 2-4 against the spread while the NFL teams went 1-1. For the season, the heavy line moves are just 7-13 ATS in college and 10-15 ATS overall. Here is this week’s action:
College Football Handicapping: West Virginia in an Uncommon Situation
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 9/17/2009
In case West Virginia was not in for enough culture shock when it ventures down south to take on the Auburn Tigers of the SEC in 87,451-seat Jordan-Hare Stadium under the lights at 7:45 p.m. Saturday night, it has to deal with another unlikely scenario.
College Football Handicapping: Big 12 Top Teams Take Step Back
by T.O. Whenham - 9/16/2009
We came into the current college football season with positively giddy expectations for the Big 12, but the first two weeks of the season have significantly challenged those expectations. First, Oklahoma not only lost to another upstart non-BCS team but also lost their Heisman Trophy-winning QB in the process.
College Football Betting: Week 3s Best Non Top-25 Matchups
by Strike Point Sports - 9/16/2009
College Football is all about prestige and power rankings. Florida, USC, Penn State, etc.: Everyone is tuning in to see how the best in the land fare each Saturday and how they stack up against each other. But rarely is that the case, because most of the time these Top 10 powers are playing competition that never usually measures up.
College Football Handicapping: Michigan Resurgence
by T.O. Whenham - 9/16/2009
I bleed Maize and Blue, so the last two weeks have been blissful relief after two years of increasing agony. Michigan hasn't proven anything yet, and there is still ample time for this season to fall way off the rails, but what we have seen in the Wolverines' first two weeks is enough to give even the most defeated pessimist hope.
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