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2025-26 Boston Bruins Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals

by Ryan Cobbett - 9/22/2025

Boston Bruins predictions David Pastrnak

Last season was an incredibly disappointing campaign for Boston Bruins fans. They fell out of the playoff picture early and finished 15th in the Eastern Conference with 76 points, and their -50-goal differential was tied for the worst mark in the conference. Their last place finish in the Atlantic Division can be credited to their non-existent offense and the fact that they went 13-25-3 on the road, which was the worst in the Eastern Conference.

Boston finished the year ranked 27th in the NHL in scoring as they averaged a low 2.71 GA/G. Special teams’ play was worse as they finished 29th in the league with a 15.2% PP% while finishing 24th in the league with a 76.3% PK%. The lack of offensive production was no fault of David Pastrnak’s. He finished tied for third place in the NHL with 106 points. His 43 goals were good enough for a Top Five finish and his 63 assists placed him in the Top 10 in that category as well. The problem was the pieces in place around their star. Morgan Geekie finished second on the team with 57 points and his 33 goals made him one of just three Bruins players to eclipse the 20+ goal milestone. The other, Brad Marchand was traded at the deadline to rival Florida, and despite playing in just 61 games for Boston he finished in a three-way tie for third on the team with 47 points. He was tied with Pavel Zacha and Elias Lindholm. Blueliner Mason Lohrei led all Boston defensemen with 33 points, but his -43 +/- rating was the worst in the NHL.

With Jeremy Swayman and Joonas Korpisalo in the fold as netminders, the outlook was positive for Boston. Unfortunately, Boston finished 26th in the league as they allowed 3.31 GA/G thanks to a step back from Swayman. He had the worst season of his young career last year as he allowed 3.12 GA/G while posting a low .892 SV%. Korpisalo is no Linus Ullmark, but he allowed just 2.90 GA/G in 27 games which is more than you could ask for from your backup goalie.

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Seasons come and go, so now it’s time to take a look at what we can expect from the Boston Bruins in 2025-26:

Key Additions/Losses

Most of the subtractions for Boston came at the deadline when they sent away star players in Marchand, Charlie Coyle, and Trent Frederic and the roster remains largely intact heading into the upcoming season.

The offseason has been quiet for Boston. They added Tanner Jeannot to a five-year deal. Jeannot is a physical presence on the ice which fits right into the scheme Boston is trying to implement. The only other significant addition is the reunion with Sean Kuraly who spent the last four years with the Columbus Blue Jackets. Kuraly appeared in all 82 games last season and had 17 points.

X-Factors

Jeremy Swayman- If Boston is going to compete with this roster, they desperately need their star goalie to return to form. The 26-year-old Swede has a lot to offer in front of the net, and he is amongst the best goaltenders in the league, however, he will need to find his stride knowing he doesn’t have the support he once did earlier in his career.

The Front Office- The front office needs to make something happen while Pastrnak is still contributing at a high level. He has posted three straight 100+ point seasons and is in the prime of his career. However, after selling Marchand at last year’s deadline, the Bruins now lack a running mate for Pastrnak. They need to figure out how to bolster this roster with another star and push themselves back into the playoff conversation. If not, it is going to be a long year for their star and their fans.

Goalie Outlook

Swayman still remains one of the best goalies in the league despite last year’s numbers. One interesting note is that Swayman did set a career high in games played, by a significant margin. His 58 starts last season was 15 more than his previous career high of 43. Without Ullmark to spell him, Swayman is going to have to figure out how to stay productive with an increased workload. If it remains a problem after this season, Boston is in big trouble. As for Korpisalo, he was solid in 24 starts though it is imperative that he is able to repeat those numbers this year if Boston wants to have a chance.

Grade: B-

Key Schedule Stretch

March 14th-April 14th: The final month of the season is going to be tough for Boston to maneuver and could have a huge impact on their playoff hopes. If they are able to remain in the wild card race through the first 65 games, the final 17 are sure to be fun to follow. 11 of their final 17 games are on the road. This stretch includes stops in Washington, New Jersey, Florida, Tampa Bay, and Carolina, all of whom will be cemented in the playoff picture at this point. What makes matters worse is who their opponents are in the six home games. This includes visits from Winnipeg, Toronto, Minnesota, Dallas, Tampa Bay, and New Jersey. This stretch may be key in how the front office approaches the deadline and even with reinforcements, it will be a huge mountain to climb to secure a wild card spot.

Notable Odds

Stanley Cup Champions - +20000

Conference Winner - +8000

Division Winner - +6000

Hart Trophy – David Pastrnak: +2700

Vezina Trophy – Jeremy Swayman: +4000

Prediction

With such a tough ending to the season paired with the issue of Swayman’s increased workload and the lack of production around Pastrnak, the Bruins will not make the playoffs again this season and they may be in contention for a Bottom Five finish in the NHL. I also am taking the south side of the point total (79.5). The roster has not improved since last year and now they will be without Marchand for an entire season. It is hard to imagine a four-point improvement with that in mind. It is going to be a long season for Boston fans, and the front office has a lot of work to do in order to get this franchise back to relevance before Pastrnak’s production starts to regress.

Under 79.5 Team Total Points

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