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2025-26 Dallas Stars Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals

by Ryan Cobbett - 9/24/2025

Dallas Stars predictions Jake Oettinger

Last season ended in disappointment once again for Dallas Stars fans. After a thrilling opening round against Colorado, Dallas stormed through Winnipeg as they won the series in six games. Unfortunately, Dallas would once again fail to reach the Stanley Cup Final as their season was brought to an end by Edmonton, who won the series in five games. Despite the disappointing end, the Stars finished second in the Central Division with 106 points and their +53-goal differential was the third best in the Western Conference.

Dallas had an incredible offense last season in large part thanks to the depth on their roster. They finished third in the league in scoring as they averaged 3.35 GF/G. On special teams, Dallas had a lackluster power play performance as they ranked in the bottom half of the league in PP%, but their PK% ranked 4th in the league as they killed off 82% of their opponents’ man advantage opportunities. Matt Duchene led the team with 82 points, and he was one of three Stars players to reach the 30-goal milestone last season. Trailing Duchene was Jason Robertson who totaled 80 points and a team best 35 goals while Wyatt Johnston finished with 71 points and 33 goals. Roope Hintz finished with 28 goals and 67 points on the season, and he was joined by Mason Marchment and Evgenii Dadonov as the only other Stars players to score 20 or more goals last season.

As for the goaltending, Jake Oettinger continued to be one of the best in the league. He allowed 2.59 GA/G while maintaining a .909 SV% through 58 appearances last season. His backup, Casey DeSmith, played incredible in limited time as he allowed 2.59 GA/G in 27 appearances.

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Seasons come and go, so now it’s time to take a look at what we can expect from the Dallas Stars in 2025-26:

Dallas Stars Key Additions/Losses

The Dallas Stars took some big hits this offseason. Marchment was traded to Seattle in order to clear up some cap space for the extensions Dallas dished out. They also traded Matt Dumba to Pittsburgh in order to further the cap space needs while also adding blueline depth in Vladislav Kolyachonok. In addition to those trades, Dallas had to let go of midseason acquisitions Mikael Granlund and Cody Ceci as well as Evgenii Dadonov who tallied 40 points with the Stars.

Aside from acquiring younger depth in Kolyachonok, the only other significant move made by the Stars was reuniting with Radek Faksa who spent the year in St. Louis last season. Faksa had 15 points in 70 games for the Blues last season, and he will be a key part in Dallas’ famed fourth line that runs off extreme effort. The team has also made a coaching change after letting Pete DeBoer go after some questionable comments concerning Oettinger. They replaced him with Glen Gulutzan who returns to the Dallas bench for the first time since 2013.

Dallas Stars X-Factors

Top Guys in the Playoffs- Depth has always been a strength for Dallas and, on paper, they remain as one of the best teams in the league and perhaps the most complete. They showed big time buy in last season after adding Granlund, Ceci, and Rantanen but they fell short in the Western Conference Finals for the third straight season. One of those reasons is the lack of production from the top guys. Dallas now has a full season with Rantanen as well as a star-studded roster, but the leaders need to step up and push this group into the Stanley Cup.

Dallas Stars Goalie Outlook

Dallas continues to have one of the best goalie situations in the league. Oettinger lines up to once again start in 50-55 of the games while DeSmith returns as one of the best backups in the league. Last season this tandem played better than their numbers indicated while Oettinger had some elite moments in the playoffs. This is a reliable and battle tested tandem that Dallas needs to take advantage of.

Grade: A-

Dallas Stars Key Schedule Stretch

The Playoffs- Barring some crazy turn of events or an unheard-of collapse, the Stars will be returning to the playoffs. The key schedule stretch is their route to the Stanley Cup. Love them or hate them, you cannot deny that the Stars have been a top team in the league for the last five years, but they need to win. Dallas has flopped for three straight seasons in the Conference Finals in large part to their veteran core of producers, failing to find an offensive spark. It is worth noting that for the last two years, Dallas has had the toughest opponent in the playoffs in the opening round (Vegas and Colorado), but the playoff route will not change. Winning the division could give them a more favorable path, but Dallas needs to figure it out before they waste this core that Jim Nill has worked hard to create.

Dallas Stars Notable Odds

Stanley Cup Champions: +900

Conference Winner: +450

Division Winner: +170

Vezina Trophy- Jake Oettinger: +1500

Hart Trophy- Mikko Rantanen: +6500

Hart Trophy- Wyatt Johnston: +5000

Norris Trophy- Miro Heiskanen: +5500

Dallas Stars Prediction

Dallas will certainly be a playoff team, but betting on them winning the Central Division is tough considering it is the deepest division with five playoff caliber teams. Dallas and Colorado should have an edge over Winnipeg, St. Louis, and Minnesota but the Central will once again be a war. Dallas will hit the over on their point total as they should find themselves around 110 points, but the most intriguing future is Rantanen at +6500 to win the Hart Trophy. He will now be the top dog for the first time in his career, and he has plenty of weapons around him. Dallas handed him the reigns in the playoffs and that paid off incredibly well, and I expect that to translate of the course of the regular season. Aside from Rantanen, Dallas is a true Stanley Cup contender and there is a lot of value in the +900 number to win it all. They have to win eventually.

Over 106.5 Team Total Points

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