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2018 Heisman Trophy Predictions with Odds and Expert Analysis


by Chris Vasile - 11/1/2018

Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Tua Tagovailoa

The college football season is far from over. However, as we roll into November, the Heisman race is starting to become clearer. At the top, we have the unquestioned favorite in Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa checks in at -275 and has not put a step wrong this entire season. However, behind him, Kyler Murray has shot up the rankings and is offering bettors a very enticing +333. If you think Oklahoma can win out and secure a place in the College Football Playoff, Murray will be the guy leading the charge, and he may be the only player who can wrestle the Heisman Trophy away from the Alabama quarterback.

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If not, it looks like you are going to have to lay the juice with Tagovailoa, and I would suggest doing it before the LSU game because the Crimson Tide are going to roll in that game and Tagovailoa is going to lead the charge.

Tua Tagovailoa - QB - Alabama (-275)

After every single game, Tagovailoa causes writers to write reports on how well he played. And as we approach Week 10, we are running out of words to describe him. Tagovailoa was on a bye in Week 9, but let's just remember that he's thrown 25 touchdowns and zero interceptions so far this season. It's going to take a minor miracle for any other player on this list (including Murray) to perform well enough to pass Tagovailoa, or it's going to take a massive collapse from the best player in college football, playing on the best team in college football - something we just don't see happening.

Up next for Alabama is a trip to LSU to take on the Tigers. The Crimson Tide are listed as 14-point favorites , so it would come as no surprise to see them roll in this spot, led by Tagovailoa. However, this will be arguably Alabama's toughest test to date, so it's going to really tell us a lot about the QB and how he handles adversity on the road and the hostile crowds.

Kyler Murray - QB - Oklahoma (+333)

Oklahoma crushed Kansas State last week, and Murray was in the thick of all the action. He tossed three touchdowns and accumulated 352 yards passing and added 46 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Week after week Murray leaves the nation wondering what the celling is for him, and week after week he delivers A+ performances. If Tagovailoa wasn't in the mix, Murray would be the runaway favorite in the Heisman race.

Up next for Murray is a road game against Texas Tech. If memory serves correct, Texas Tech still can't play any defense, and Oklahoma hung 49 points on them last year. It's not going out on a limb to say that this game will be higher scoring, which is why we think Murray will continue to produce videogame-like numbers.

Dwayne Haskins - QB - Ohio State (+900)

Despite the rough showing against Purdue two weeks ago, Haskins still has numbers that are among the best in the country. Haskins has thrown for 2,801 yards and 30 touchdowns with just five interceptions through eight games. Haskins would be the last person on this list that I would bet on just based on how the Buckeyes are set up. Sure, they rely on Haskins to lead the way, but the Buckeyes are one of the most well-rounded teams in the country.

Up next for the talented Ohio State QB is a date with Nebraska - a team that's been torched all season long. The fact that Ohio State controls their own destiny in the Big Ten is the only glimmer of hope Haskins has in pulling off the smash-and-grab of the Heisman Trophy.

Shea Patterson - QB - Michigan (+1200)

It took a while for Shea Patterson to get comfortable in the Michigan offense. However, he's at the point now, and the results are speaking for themselves. While Michigan is still a defensive-minded team, the QB transfer from Ole Miss has 12 touchdowns to just two interceptions since losing the season-opening game to Notre Dame. His numbers aren't going to jump off the page at you, but Patterson has quickly become the leader of Big Blue's offense, and the team will go as far as he takes them.

Up next for Patterson and Co. is a date against a solid Penn State team. Michigan controls its own destiny in the Big Ten and will need to win out in order to secure a spot in the Big Ten title game and possibly a spot in the CFP. If they can do that, Patterson will get a lot more votes than he's going to get if the voting was done today.

Will Grier - QB - West Virginia (+1800)

Will Grier bounced back in a big way last week, tossing three touchdowns and accumulating 353 yards through the air. That bounce-back was needed in a big way as the week prior he tossed a touchdown and an INT and just 100 yards passing in a loss to Iowa State. West Virginia are up against it in terms of winning the Big 12, but they do have a season-finale game against Oklahoma that could determine the outcome.

Next up for Grier is a game at No. 17 Texas. Texas has shown at times that it can in fact play good defense, but that's unlikely to happen against a team as potent as West Virginia. Grier should be able to put up big numbers, but he is still an extremely unlikely Heisman Trophy winner.

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