2024-25 Heisman Trophy Predictions with Betting Odds
In true sportsbook fashion, odds went up for the 2024 Heisman Trophy Award the day after LSU's QB Jayden Daniels exited the Downtown Athletic Club with this year's trophy. Now that we have concluded one of the transfer portal periods, let's take a way-too-early look at the odds for the field for the 2024 Heisman. All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Unlike this season, there will be no chance for a repeat Heisman winner as Daniels announced his decision to enter the NFL Draft. Former Ohio State RB Archie Griffin's legacy of being the only 2-time Heisman winner is intact for one more season.
As always, my biggest complaint is the initial list of names of just quarterbacks. While I understand that 12 out of the last 14 winners have been quarterbacks, it becomes much more difficult for a non-quarterback position to win, with all the attention focused solely on the signal callers. They should redesign the trophy to feature a quarterback throwing the ball rather than running back Ed Smith from the defunct New York University football team.
One of the benefits of taking a wager like this so far away from the 2024 season is the increased odds of the future heavy favorites. Players benefit significantly from either playing on a team in the mix for the National Championship or the Southeastern Conference, as the three shortest odds and eight QBs overall hail from the mighty SEC.
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Quinn Ewers (Texas) +750: Texas football had a resurgence, winning their first conference title since 2009 and making the College Football Playoff in 2023. They have Ewers to thank for it. At the beginning of this past season, there was some question if Ewers would even be the starter by the end of the year. He secured his position in a big way, finishing 15th in the nation in yards passing with 3,479, completing 69.0% of his passes, and throwing 22 touchdowns to just six interceptions. He also tacked on five rushing TDs for good measure. As Texas moves into the SEC next year, Ewers will benefit from the prestige of the SEC. There will be questions on how many of his weapons will return (there was only one senior but a bunch of NFL-eligible juniors in Texas's receiving corps), but Ewers looks to be one of the early front-runners for the 2024 Heisman race.
Carson Beck (Georgia) +750: Georgia fans got a late Christmas gift this year when Beck announced he would return for his fourth season with the Bulldog program. The first-year starter had a stellar season, finishing third in the country with 3,941 passing yards, fifth in the country in completion percentage at 72.4%, with 24 passing touchdowns to six interceptions. With a more demanding schedule next season (opening with Clemson and having to travel to both Tuscaloosa and Austin), Beck will have every opportunity to win the Heisman.
Jalen Milroe (Alabama) +750: Milroe had a tumultuous 2023 campaign, even being benched at one point early in the season after a humiliating 34-24 home defeat to Texas. Since that benching, he went 160-239 (66.9%), for 2,126 yards, 18 touchdowns, and four interceptions, as Alabama went 10-1 the rest of the season, losing to Michigan in the College Football Playoff. Milroe is the unquestioned leader of this team, and the way he handled his early-season adversity speaks volumes to his character. Milroe will instantly garner Heisman consideration as an Alabama quarterback, but even more importantly, he warrants that attention.
Dillon Gabriel (Oregon) +1000: Gabriel is easily the most surprising name in the transfer portal. After three successful seasons at UCF, he transferred to Oklahoma at the start of the 2022 campaign. In two years with the Sooners, he threw for 6,828 yards, 55 TDs through the air, 18 TDs on the ground, and 12 INTs. However, when the portal opened, he left for the Oregon Ducks, who will move into the Big Ten Conference next season. Based on the success that first-year QB Bo Nix experienced, Gabriel should have another outstanding season. He's currently 8th on the NCAA all-time passing yardage list with 14,860 yards and could climb as high as second after next year.
Nico Iamaleava (Tennessee) +1800: With all of the opt-outs in this past year's bowl games, we got a chance to get an early look at the 2024 field. One of the stars in the bowl season was Tennessee's Iamaleava. Going up against a stout Iowa defense, Nico looked poised and polished, not like a first-time starter. He went 12-19 (63.2%) with 151 yards and one passing touchdown. He also ran for three scores, including a nifty 19-yard scamper. In all, he led the Vols to 35 points against the 4th-best scoring defense in the nation.
Jaxson Dart (Ole Miss) +2000: Fresh off guiding the Rebels to their first 11-win season in school history, Jaxson Dart announced he would return for his senior season. The one-time USC Trojan QB, Dart, has been Ole Miss's starting quarterback from his first season at Oxford, Mississippi. In two seasons at the Rebels' helm, Dart has thrown for 6,338 yards and 43 touchdowns to 16 interceptions. With star running back Quinshon Judkins transferring to Ohio State, Dart must carry even more of the offensive load. Ole Miss's head coach Lane Kiffin has always been an offensive guru. And with Dart going into his 3rd year in the program, expectations will be sky-high.
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