2025 Texas Rangers Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

by Ryan Cobbett - 2/27/2025

The former reigning champs had a rather disappointing quest to defend their throne atop the league’s standings. After winning 90 games and the World Series in 2023, the Texas Rangers took a big step back last season, winning just 78 games and missing out on the playoffs entirely. They finished 10.5 games behind the Houston Astros for the top spot in the AL West, and the Rangers missed out on the final wild card spot by eight games. Texas struggled when they were away from their home ballpark, going just 34-47 on the road, which was one of the worst road records in the MLB last season.

Despite appearing in just 123 games, Corey Seager led the Rangers with a 5.0 WAR, 30 homeruns, and a .864 OPS. Marcus Semien finished second on the team with a 4.1 WAR while leading the way in runs (101) and hits (154). Adolis Garcia led the Rangers with 85 RBIs while finishing second on the team with 25 homeruns despite posting a lowly .684 OPS and a .224 AVG. Seager, Semien, and Wyatt Langford finished for a three-way tie for second place on the team with 74 RBIs. Langford had an impressive rookie season in which he also hit 16 homeruns and stole 19 bases while posting a 3.9 WAR. The offense did struggle as a whole last season, with the Rangers ranking 18th in runs, 21st in hits, 18th in homeruns, 20th in stolen bases, and 23rd in OPS.

Not only did their lineup struggle, but their pitching staff also had injury issues that limited their potential. As a team, the Rangers ranked 24th in ERA, 21st in WHIP, and 15th in strikeouts, while walking the eighth most batters in the league. It was closer Kirby Yates who led the Rangers pitching staff in WAR with a 3.3 mark. Yates recorded 33 saves while posting a 1.17 ERA across 61.2 innings of work. Nathan Eovaldi and Andrew Heaney were the only starters to record more than 20 starts as Eovaldi went 12-8 over 29 starts and Heaney went 5-14 across 31 starts. Eovaldi and Heaney recorded 160 or more innings while Eovaldi posted a 3.80 ERA and a 2.2 WAR.

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Texas Rangers Key Additions/Losses

The Rangers lost a lot from their roster after their season concluded. Pitchers Max Scherzer, Kirby Yates, Jose Urena, Andrew Heaney, and Jose Leclerc, as well as catcher Carson Kelly, outfielder Travis Jankowski, and infielder Matt Duffy have all hit the free agent market. David Robertson declined his option and became a free agent, while the team also traded away three young prospects to the Miami Marlins, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to the Washington Nationals, while losing catcher Sam Huff off Waivers.

Despite the significant number of losses, the Rangers seem to be in a better position heading into the new campaign than they were last season. The club locked down Nathan Eovaldi on a three-year extension while acquiring slugging first baseman Jake Burger from Miami. They brought in reliever Robert Garcia in the Lowe trade while also signing relievers Shawn Armstrong, Patrick Murphy, Hoby Milner, Jacob Webb, Chris Martin, Jesse Chavez, Joe Barlow, JT Chargois, and Luke Jackson to compete for spots in their bullpen. The club also signed catchers Kyle Higashioka and Tucker Barnhart, while also adding more pop to the lineup by signing Joc Pederson to a two-year deal. The Rangers also took fliers on veteran outfielder Kevin Pillar, and infielders Nick Ahmed and Sam Haggerty to add some potential depth to their roster.

Texas Rangers Prospect Outlook

The Rangers have the 16th ranked farm system in the MLB as they have three prospects ranked inside the MLB’s Top 100 Prospects list. 18-year-old infielder Sebastian Walcott is the team’s top prospect and the 17th ranked prospect in the MLB. His above average power potential and elite arm should earn him a spot at the big-league level next season at just age 19. Behind Walcott are pitchers Kumar Rocker (44th) and Alejandro Rosario (50th). Rocker is expected to provide depth to an often-injured rotation while Rosario is expected to have the year to develop further before joining the big leagues next season.

Texas Rangers X-Factors

Josh Jung/Evan Carter/Wyatt Langford- Jung and Carter were both hurt last season, while Langford had an incredibly slow start to his MLB career. However, this trio of youngsters are set in the foundation for the future of this Rangers franchise. Jung’s career has been plagued by injuries, but the 27-year-old still has plenty of juice left to turn in a nice career. In 2023 we saw his true power potential as he clubbed 23 homeruns in just 122 games. However, he played in just 46 games last season. As for Carter, he struggled to start the season last year as he hit just .188 through 45 games. Carter was an important bat for the Rangers World Series winning season in 2023 as the then rookie hit recorded a .917 OPS during the postseason. As for Langford, he showcased his 20/20 potential. If these three can stay healthy and develop, they will elevate the Rangers back to World Series contenders.

Jacob deGrom- deGrom at one point was looked at as a surefire hall of famer, however, his name has escaped us as he has made just 47 starts since 2019 thanks to injuries. However, deGrom is back and finally healthy. He will pencil in as the ace for the Rangers, as the club hopes the veteran can return to his dominant form. If healthy, deGrom alone raises this rotation to the top tier in the league as he and Eovaldi form a solid 1-2 punch with guys like Jon Gray and a now healthy Tyler Mahle behind them. If deGrom can stay healthy, expect these Rangers to be a solid World Series contender.

Texas Rangers Expectations

The expectations are exactly that, win another World Series. The Rangers have the pieces in place to be a dangerous out for any opponent in the postseason. The only issue is staying healthy enough to earn a solid spot in the playoffs. deGrom and Mahle’s return gives the Rangers a solid rotation, while the return of Jung and the acquisitions of Pederson and Burger give the Rangers an incredibly deep lineup. It should also be noted that they revamped their bullpen into one of the most underrated groups in the MLB. They are expected to be serious contenders to not only win the division but make a deep run in the playoffs.

Texas Rangers Notable Odds:

Win Total: 85.5

World Series Champions- +2400

Pennant Winners- +1000

Division Winners- +200

AL MVP- Corey Seager +1000

AL MVP- Wyatt Langford +4000

AL MVP- Marcus Semien +6500

AL Cy Young- Jacob deGrom +1100

AL Rookie of the Year- Kumar Rocker +1600

2025 Texas Rangers Predictions

The Rangers, like the Mariners, have the potential to be 100-win teams, so they should far exceed the win total set for them this season. The only difference between the two clubs is the Rangers’ ability to stay healthy. In 2023 we saw the ceiling of this team. Now the ceiling is potentially higher than it was that season. However, we also saw in 2024 how quickly the floor can collapse thanks to all their injury prone players. If the Rangers can stay healthy, they may be the best team in the American League. Regardless, they have improved enough to win at least 86 games this season. At +1000 they also have incredible value to win the American League as a whole. They have the pieces to do it, they just have to stay healthy. As for player futures, Seager has the potential to take home the MVP, but with the emergence of Bobby Witt Jr. at the same position, I don’t see Seager winning the award. Kumar Rocker is a dark horse candidate at +1600 to win the AL Rookie of the Year as he could be slotted into the rotation with an injury, but it would have to be early enough in the season and Rocker has a 3.86 ERA in the MLB, so it isn’t likely.

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Start:	May 23, 2025 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Nick Menken
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2025 Texas Rangers Predictions with World Series Odds and Season Win Total Picks

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