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2022 Toronto Blue Jays Predictions and Odds to Win the World Series

by Sean Barnard - 4/4/2022

Toronto Blue Jays predictions and Odds to win World Series George Springer

The Toronto Blue Jays went 91-71 in the 2021 season and just narrowly missed the playoffs. Despite this disappointment last year, expectations are sky-high moving forward. The Blue Jays have one of the most optimistic lenses on their season heading into the year and are in search of their first World Series victory since 1993. This also will be the first full season that the Blue Jays will play in Toronto since 2019.

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Notable Additions:

The Blue Jays inked right-handed pitcher Kevin Gausman to a 5-year $110 million deal, which will provide their rotation with a stabilizing long-term piece. Gausman is coming off a career year in which he posted a 2.81 ERA in his 192 innings pitched. His interesting mix of off-speed pitches will be a nice change of pace in the Blue Jays’ rotation.

Matt Chapman will also be a welcomed addition to the squad after finishing 7th in AL MVP voting in 2018 and then sixth in 2019. Chapman had a poor year last season but will be prepared to bounce back with this new change of scenery and with much more talent surrounding him in the lineup.

Notable Losses:

It was very disappointing to see last year’s AL Cy Young winner, Robbie Ray, leave as he will be suiting up for the Seattle Mariners this season. The Blue Jays are still pretty deep in pitching talent behind Ray, but it is never a good feeling to see a player of his caliber leave.

After receiving his first career all-star selection with the Blue Jays last season, Marcus Semien has elected to sign with the Texas Rangers on a seven-year $175 million deal. The Blue Jays will be forced to make up for the 45 home runs that the third-place MVP candidate provided moving forward.

Projected Lineup:

  1. George Springer (CF)
  2. Bo Bichette (SS)
  3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B)
  4. Teoscar Hernandez (DH)
  5. Matt Chapman (3B)
  6. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (LF)
  7. Cavan Biggio (2B)
  8. Danny Jansen (C)
  9. Raimel Tapia (RF)

Projected Rotation:

  1. Jose Berrios (RHP)
  2. Kevin Gausman (RHP)- 2.81 ERA
  3. Hyun-Jin Ryu (LHP)
  4. Alek Manoah (RHP)
  5. Yusei Kikuchi (LHP)

There is some concern surrounding Hyun-Jin Ryu, who had a disappointing season in 2021. While it certainly could just be an outlier off-season for Ryu, he heads into this season at 35-years-old, so it is not out of the question that he is entering his decline period. As a whole, the pitching staff shows a lot of promise but has lacked consistency. Berrios and Manoah are both young and extremely capable of finding their stride and capitalizing in the way that Robbie Ray did in the past.

Betting Lines:

The hot ending to the 2021 season has brought expectations up as high as they have been for quite some time for the Toronto franchise. As Vlad Guerrero Jr. put it recently, “Last year was the trailer. What you are going to see this year is the movie.” The Blue Jays slugger is the favorite to lead the league in Home Runs this season at +700 and is the third-favorite for MVP heading into the season.

As far as the expectations for the Blue Jays as a team, they trail only the Dodgers and Yankees as favorites to win the World Series. The +900 line carries some appeal as this Blue Jays team is young, hungry, and loaded with talent. Despite not winning the division since 2015, and only 6 times in the franchise’s history, the Blue Jays are the favorites at +170 to win the AL East this season. The division is expected to be a bloodbath with the Red Sox, Blue Jays, Yankees, and Rays are all favorites to make the playoffs. The Blue Jays are listed as -390 to make the postseason and +450 to win the American League. The season total is set at 92.5, which is just a game and a half more than what the team won last year.

It seems like a no-brainer to take the over on the Rays’ season-long win prop and there is a real chance they blow by this total with ease. It also is worth noting that Canada has much stricter Covid guidelines that could prevent players from even getting into the country. It is not as if this team needs any help, but it certainly could prove to be an advantage if another team’s key player is not able to travel to face them.

My favorite bet surrounding this Toronto team is taking the over on the longest win streak, which is set at -135 at over 7.5 games. Led by Vlad Guerrero, this Blue Jays team is capable of getting red-hot and they secured a 9-game win streak during the 2021 season as evidence of this.

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