2024-25 Winnipeg Jets Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals

by Ryan Cobbett - 9/26/2024

The Winnipeg Jets had an incredible end to their regular season, moving into and finishing in second in the Central Division. They won their last eight games heading into the playoffs, carrying all kinds of momentum. They took Game 1 against the Avalanche but did not win another game, ultimately losing the series in five games. Overall, they finished with 110 points, which was the fourth most in the NHL.

Offensively, the Jets were a little slow last season. They ranked 15th in the GF/G, as they averaged 3.16 GF/G. Winnipeg was not good on the man advantage, as they cashed in on just 18.8% of their power plays. Their 77.1% PK% rounded out the poor play on special teams for the Jets this past season. Mark Scheifele recorded 72 points in 74 games, which was good for the team lead. John Morrissey was second on the team with 69 points while leading the way with 59 assists. Kyle Connor was limited to just 65 games but finished with 61 points, which was tied with Nikolaj Ehlers for third on the team. Morrissey was joined by fellow blueliner Dylan DeMelo in the Top 10 in +/- rating in the NHL.

The strength of the Jets was their netminding. Winnipeg allowed just 198 goals all season, which was tied with the Panthers as the lowest in the league. Their .923 SV% was the best in the NHL, while they were tied with the Panthers and Hurricanes for a league leading eight shutouts. Connor Hellebuyck has continued his dominance and remains one of the best netminders in the league. He allowed 2.39 GA/G last season, which was the fourth lowest in the league, along with a .921 SV%. His backup, Laurent Brossoit, allowed 2.00 GA/G on a .927 SV% across his 23 appearances last season.

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Seasons come and go, so now it’s time to take a look at what we can expect from the Winnipeg Jets in 2024-25:

Winnipeg Jets Key Additions/Losses

Though Hellebuyck is one of the best goalies in the game, having a guy like Brossoit as the backup is a huge boost. However, Brossoit has now left for Chicago, while role pieces Kyle Capobianco, Brenden Dillon (20 points), Sean Monahan (24 points in 34 games), and Tyler Toffoli (11 points in 18 games) are all gone.

The Jets lost the rentals they brought in at the deadline, and they did nothing to replace them throughout the offseason. In fact, their only significant additions this offseason were the signings of Kaapo Kahkonen and Eric Comrie, as they hope one of these guys will be a suitable replacement for Brossoit.

Winnipeg Jets X-Factors

Top Line Health- Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele averaged nearly a point a game last season, while Gabriel Vilardi notched 36 points in 47 games played. None of these guys played every game, as Scheifele’s 74 games played was the most among his running mates. All three of these guys need to stay healthy in order for this Jets offensive attack to improve and keep the Jets in the playoff picture.

Cole Perfetti- Perfetti recorded 38 points on 19 goals and 19 assists last season at the young age of 22. He also played in a career high 71 games last season. If he can continue to develop and produce, he will be a much-needed boost to the Jets in the long-term.

Winnipeg Jets Goalie Outlook

The Jets once again look very good in between the pipes. Connor Hellebuyck will once again take 2/3rds of the starts, which is great news for Jets fans, as their offense is much weaker than last season’s. Hellebuyck has made at least 60 starts in each of his last three seasons. And he shows no signs of slowing down, as he has allowed an average of just 2.62 GA/G in those three seasons. Kaapo Kahkonen and Eric Comrie both allowed more than 3.60 GA/G last season in backup capacities, so the Jets need Hellebuyck to take as many games as he can, as his off nights are going to be brutal.

Grade: A

Winnipeg Jets Key Schedule Stretch

November 12th-December 7th- The Jets have a brutal road stretch from November 12th to 16th and then again from November 22nd to December 1st. On the 12th they travel to the Rangers before road games with the Lightning and the Panthers. Then they return home for another game against Florida, before heading out on a six-game road trip. The six-game road trip includes stops in Pittsburgh, Nashville, Minnesota, Los Angeles, Vegas, and Dallas. Then this stretch ends with some easier games, as they host the Blues then travel to Buffalo and Chicago. All in all, the Jets have 13 games during this stretch, and 11 of them are on the road, while 11 of them are against playoff caliber teams.

Winnipeg Jets Notable Odds

Stanley Cup Champions: +2600

Conference Winner: +1200

Division Winner: +650

To Make the Playoffs- Yes: -172

Vezina Trophy- Connor Hellebuyck: +600

Norris Trophy- Josh Morrissey: +3000

Winnipeg Jets Prediction

After finishing with 110 points last season, I do not see the Jets seeing a 15+ point regression in the ensuing campaign. Sure, the backup netminding is weaker and they did lose their rentals, but the Jets are still in a winning window and will all but certainly add at the deadline to keep themselves in the playoff race. Minnesota and Nashville are both significantly better, with the latter likely taking the Jets guaranteed spot, but the Jets should still be in the thick of the wild card race. I like the over on the Team Point total (94.5), and its always good to take a flier on the best goalie in the NHL to win the Vezina Trophy.

Over 94.5 Team Total Points

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2024-25 Winnipeg Jets Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals

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