2014 Alabama Crimson Tide Season Win Total NCAA Football Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 7/21/2014
2013 Record: 11-2
2014 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 10.5*
2014 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Over'
The dirty little secret about Alabama football and its recent "dynasty" is that they play an embarrassingly easy schedule each and every season. Alabama gets by on reputation rather than actual performance. And if you don't believe me simply look back at their schedule over the last four years.
The Crimson Tide exploited a weakness in the BCS System. Alabama would start the season ranked in the Top 3 based almost entirely on hype, reputation and arbitrary player rankings. Then they rarely have to prove themselves worthy of their lofty status, helping them coast into prestigious bowl games. All that just perpetuates the cycle.
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I'm not saying that Alabama is not a strong program. They are. But I am saying that the Crimson Tide play a comically easy schedule each season and this year is no different. The SEC has been very overrated the last three years and Alabama has taken advantage of the fact that the bottom of the league is pathetic.
The Crimson Tide opens with four straight home and neutral site games. Their two toughest opponents are West Virginia and Florida, which went a combined 8-16 last season. Alabama - so as not to be overexerted - gets a bye week before its first road game of the season, at Ole Miss. Alabama plays back-to-back road games for just the second time in four years when they go to Arkansas the next week.
As usual, Alabama gets a bye week before its one tough game of the year (at LSU). Because, again, god forbid they overexert themselves.
The Tide is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against teams that finished the season in the Top 25. Alabama is overrated by the books and by the general public. But I don't see two losses on their schedule this year. I would play them 'over' and there is a good chance that this group goes undefeated playing a bunch of nobodies - again - this year.
2014 Alabama Crimson Tide Schedule
DATE OPPONENT TIME (ET) Location Result
Sat, Aug 30th, 2014 West Virginia 03:30 PM Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Sat, Sep 6th, 2014 Fla Atlantic 12:00 PM Bryant-Denny Stadium
Sat, Sep 13th, 2014 Southern Miss 06:00 PM Bryant-Denny Stadium
Sat, Sep 20th, 2014 Florida TBA Bryant-Denny Stadium
Sat, Oct 4th, 2014 at Ole Miss TBA Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Sat, Oct 11th, 2014 at Arkansas TBA Donald W. Reynolds Razorback S
Sat, Oct 18th, 2014 Texas A&M TBA Bryant-Denny Stadium
Sat, Oct 25th, 2014 at Tennessee TBA Neyland Stadium
Sat, Nov 8th, 2014 at LSU TBA Tiger Stadium
Sat, Nov 15th, 2014 Miss State TBA Bryant-Denny Stadium
Sat, Nov 22nd, 2014 Western Carolina TBA Bryant-Denny Stadium
Sat, Nov 29th, 2014 Auburn TBA Bryant-Denny Stadium
All Times EST
*Season Win Total Odds from Raphael Esparza. Esparza was a Las Vegas sportsbook manager for 13 years at some of the largest books on The Strip. He is a proven oddsmaker and this is his projected total.
Robert Ferringo was the top football handicapper in the country last year, earning nearly $8,000 in total football profit in 2013-14 and posting one of the best seasons in America. He hit 62.1 percent for the entire NFL season (95-58) and was amazing down the stretch, closing with 11 of 14 winning NFL weeks and 12 of 15 overall winning football weeks. Robert has posted 3 of 4 winning football seasons, 6 of 7 winning NFL seasons, 30 of 44 winning football months, and 6 of 7 winning NFL preseasons. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System posted another winning season (now 2-for-2) and is 83-58 over the last two years (58.9 percent).
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