NFL Power Rankings Week 12
by Robert Ferringo - 11/18/2025

Oh my god, just take the goddamn points. I understand that analytics revolution has forever changed the way that coaches execute game management in football. Teams are going for it on fourth downs at rates that the NFL has never seen and two-point conversions at seemingly odd times are now the norm. I get all of it and I’m cool with it.

NFL Power Rankings Week 11
by Robert Ferringo - 11/11/2025

The facts are the facts: over the last 25 years in the NFL – so we’re talking well over 6,000 games – the team that wins the game outright covers the spread roughly 80 percent of the time. That means that the number only comes into play in one of every five games, or two or three times a weekend.

NFL Power Rankings Week 10
by Robert Ferringo - 11/4/2025

Weeks 7 and 8 were a bounty for the betting public. After Baltimore came through as a hefty favorite on Thursday night, NFL favorites were on a ridiculous 24-6 run against the spread heading into the weekend. Week 8 was one of the worst weekends for the sportsbooks this decade, with favorites going 12-2 and the books getting crushed on straights, teasers, moneyline parlays and all manner of nonsense.

NFL Power Rankings Week 9
by Robert Ferringo - 10/28/2025

See, now this is what I like with my power rankings. I like stasis. Equilibrium. I don’t like big, wild swings in my rankings. I like these power rankings to be more predictive than reactive, so the goal is to have weeks where I only have to make subtle shifts rather than major alterations.

NFL Power Rankings Week 8
by Robert Ferringo - 10/21/2025

In-season trades are rare in the NFL. And impactful in-season swaps are even rarer. Outside of 2022’s Christian McCaffrey trade, which sent the running back from Carolina to San Francisco, I’m hard-pressed to think of another move from the past two decades that really altered the balance of power in any particular season.

NFL Power Rankings Week 7
by Robert Ferringo - 10/14/2025

Through six weeks the field is wide open. Buffalo is currently the team with the shortest odds to win the Super Bowl and they are at a hefty +650. Green Bay (+700) and Kansas City (+700) are right behind them and there are only five teams (Detroit and Philadelphia are the others) that have odds of +1500 or better to win Super Bowl LX.

NFL Power Rankings Week 6
by Robert Ferringo - 10/7/2025

Jacksonville’s final play of the game - Trevor Lawrence falling down then scoring the game-winning touchdown – kind of summed the NFL weekend. The 49ers backups scored the biggest upset of the season to date. Jerry Jones was flipping off fans. Emari Demercado pulled off his best Adonai Mitchell impression and made me question if the NFL is involved in a Chad Powers crossover conspiracy.

NFL Power Rankings Week 5
by Robert Ferringo - 9/30/2025

It’s easy to get excited about making your bets when things are going well. When gamblers are running hot, bets come easy. Preparation doesn’t feel like work. Hours feel like days between games and you can’t wait to get back into the action. When you’re winning you feel like the Smartest Man Alive and everything just flows.

NFL Power Rankings Week 4
by Robert Ferringo - 9/23/2025

The first two weeks of the season saw exactly zero upsets from underdogs of 6.0 or more. There was still just one last week (Cleveland), but Carolina (+5.5) also shocked Atlanta, the Jets (+6.5) nearly knocked off Tampa Bay, and Detroit (which was at +5 earlier in the week) manhandled Baltimore.

NFL Power Rankings Week 3
by Robert Ferringo - 9/16/2025

You always hear bettors talking about “going against the public”. What they are really talking about is being wary of falling victim to groupthink or mental conformity. When Everyone thinks something about sports betting, that general consensus is usually wrong. Or at least overvalued in the betting market.

NFL Power Rankings Week 2
by Robert Ferringo - 9/9/2025

Don’t let the Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football games fool you. Points were hard to come by in Week 1 of the NFL season. The clearest defining trend through the opening week of the year was that the teams combined to go 4-12 against the total. The ‘under’ was cashing left and right and the majority of the games weren’t even close to the number.

NFL Power Rankings Week 1
by Robert Ferringo - 9/4/2025

One of the great joys of football betting is the honesty of it. Someone wins. Someone loses. Someone is right. Someone is wrong. I don’t care what people think is going to happen. All that matters is what does happen. Your arrogance and bravery for dancing to the NFL’s symphony of savagery will either rewarded with riches or replaced with regret and shame. There’s nothing in between. There’s a purity in that.

2025 SEC Football Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Advice
by Robert Ferringo - 8/28/2025

College football has always been messy business. And as much as we wish that it was all about what happens between the lines that has never been the whole picture. The SEC should have one of the most exciting races in the country this fall, with powerhouses Texas, Georgia and Alabama fighting for a trip to Atlanta and several second-tier spoilers nipping at their heels. But frivolous fighting over ancillary issues may once again muddle the product on the field.

2025 Big Ten Football Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Advice
by Robert Ferringo - 8/21/2025

I hope Big Ten fanboys have enjoyed trolling SEC supporters over the past eight months. Because the reality is the conference’s back-to-back national championships are more of a fluke than they are some statement about the league’s dominance. That’s not to say that Ohio State was a fluke last season. Or Michigan the year prior.

2025 AAC Football Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Advice
by Robert Ferringo - 8/20/2025

With four different champions in the past four years and eight unique winners over the past decade, the American Athletic Conference is a paragon of college football parity. So it makes sense that the league enters the 2025 season without a clear and prohibitive favorite. Instead, the AAC offers the best and worst of what this sport has to offer, depending on your perspective.

2025 Big 12 Football Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Advice
by Robert Ferringo - 8/19/2025

I can’t say that I feel any more confident about surmising how this league will play out this year. With more questions than answers, and with parity throughout the league’s rosters, this conference really is anyone’s ballgame. There are too many teams in this league that can beat any team in the country or lose to any team in the country to feel confident projecting how things will sort themselves out.

2025 MWC Football Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Advice
by Robert Ferringo - 8/19/2025

If you really love college football betting, then you have to love the Mountain West. The Smurf Turf. Midnight kickoffs in Hawaii. Handicapping home field advantages that range from snow and elevation to heat and desert. Triple option and fun-and-gun offenses. The Mountain West has been a weird and wonderful niche in the sport for nearly three decades.

2025 ACC Football Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Advice
by Robert Ferringo - 8/18/2025

The existence of ACC football is one of the biggest reasons that SEC football and its troglodyte supporters have such inflated egos these days. Watching the ACC flop and flounder in the New Reality of College Sports has been a joy. And it has also elevated the status of their Southeastern rivals simply by comparison.

2025 Los Angeles Rams Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/8/2025

The Rams are a big buzz team entering the 2025 season. They followed a surprise 10-win playoff season in 2023 with 10 more wins and a division title in 2024. Now the assumption is that the team, with one of the league’s youngest rosters, will continue to ascend and threaten a third Super Bowl trip in the McVay Era.

2025 Green Bay Packers Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/8/2025

Green Bay, with the No. 5 total offense and No. 5 total defense, was actually the only team in the league to finish in the Top 5 on both sides of the ball. And ironically enough, the last time the Packers boasted Top 5 units on both sides of the ball was the 1998 team that also lost in the Wild Card Round.