Marlon Moraes vs Cory Sandhagen Pick, 10/10/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 5 Odds

Marlon Moraes vs Cory Sandhagen

UFC Fight Island 5

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Marlon Moraes will enter the Octagon against Cory Sandhagen at UFC Fight Island 5 on Saturday, October 10, 2020. The moneyline has Moraes coming in at +120 while Sandhagen is at -140.

Marlon "Magic" Moraes steps into the Octagon holding a record of 23-6-1. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Cory Sandhagen stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of significant strikes, Marlon Moraes is connecting on 3.53 per minute while Cory Sandhagen connects on 6.95 significant strikes per min. Moraes is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempts while Sandhagen connects on 48%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Magic" absorbs 3.69 significant strikes per min and Sandhagen allows 4.08. Moraes also defends against 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Sandhagen is able to defend against 58% of them.

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In terms of grappling, Marlon Moraes is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.46 times per 3 rds. Moraes is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of his attempts and thwarting 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Sandhagen is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Moraes is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.5 subs per 3 rounds while Sandhagen looks to get 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Marlon Moraes squared up with Jose Aldo and ended up winning this fight by way of split decision in round 3. Aldo ended up landing 63 of 152 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Moraes walked away from this fight having landed 59 of 137 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Aldo ended up landing 58 of 147, which gave him a percentage of 39%. He ended up landing 39 of 109 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Moraes landed 43% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 59 of 137. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 48 of 124 pointed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Aldo and 98% of them landed by Moraes were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Cory Sandhagen, he fought Aljamain Sterling and walked away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Sandhagen connected on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 1 of 2. He ended up connecting on 0 of 1 significant strikes directed at the head. Sterling connected on 2 of 3 significant strikes in that fight. In relation to total strikes thrown, Sterling ended up landing 10 of 12 and Sandhagen landed 1 of 2 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Edson Barboza squares up with Makwan Amirkhani. Barboza steps into the cage holding a record of 20-9-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Amirkhani stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 16-4-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding grappling, Edson Barboza takes his opponents to the mat 0.46 times per 15 min while Makwan Amirkhani takes his opponents down 3.45 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Barboza tags his opponents 4.08 strikes/min and is connecting on 43% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Makwan Amirkhani, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 1.55 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Marcin Tybura is set to enter the Octagon against Ben Rothwell. Rothwell looks to add a victory to his career record of 38-12-0. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Tybura measures in at 6'3" and weighs in at 249 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 19-6-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In terms of grappling, Ben Rothwell curbs 69% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his tries. Tybura is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of the attempts he tries and curbs 82% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Rothwell is taking 4.44 strikes/minute while he connects on 3.37 strikes per min. Tybura, on the other side, is absorbing 2.83 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.32 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Marlon Moraes (+120)

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