Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
UFC Vegas 117
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, May 9, 2026
Khamzat Chimaev will enter the Octagon with Sean Strickland at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The opener has Chimaev coming in at -600 while Strickland is coming in at +425.
Khamzat "Borz" Chimaev comes into this fight with a mark of 15-0-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Sean Strickland comes in at 6'1" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 30-7-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". Regarding significant strikes, Khamzat Chimaev lands 4.04 per minute while Sean Strickland is landing 6.04 significant strikes per minute. Chimaev connects on 60% of the significant strikes he tries and Strickland is landing 42%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Borz" allows 2.32 significant strikes per minute while Strickland absorbs 4.57. Chimaev also curbs 43% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Strickland defends against 60% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 117 | Khamzat Chimaev | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -600 | +425 |
| Record | 15-0-0 | 30-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:11 | 15:54 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 76" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.04 | 6.04 |
| Striking Accuracy | 60% | 42% |
Concerning takedowns, Khamzat Chimaev is the more productive grappler as he scores a takedown 5.29 times per 15 min. Chimaev is scoring a takedown on 55% of his tries and stopping 85% of the attempts against him. Strickland is getting his opponent to the mat on 64% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 76% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submission attempts, Chimaev is the more able fighter by attempting 1.8 submissions per 15 minutes while Strickland looks to get 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Khamzat Chimaev faced Dricus Du Plessis and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 5. Plessis landed 45 of 68 total strikes attempted in that fight. Chimaev finished this fight landing 529 of 567 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Plessis ended up landing 13 of 29, which gave him a rate of 44%. He ended up landing 10 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Chimaev ended up landing 78% of his significant strikes by landing 37 of 47. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 36 aimed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Plessis and 32% of them connected on by Chimaev were done at a distance.
In the last bout for Sean Strickland, he battled Anthony Hernandez and wound up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Hernandez connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Strickland landed 91% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Strickland ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 110 of 241. He connected on 93 of 219 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hernandez landed 55 of 122 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 29 of 93 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Hernandez ended up connecting on 57 of 124 and Strickland ended up landing 111 of 242 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Joshua Van squares up in the Octagon against Tatsuro Taira. Van steps into the Octagon with a record of 16-2-0. The 24-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Taira measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 70". In the grappling category, Joshua Van is able to score a takedown 0.84 times per 15 minutes while Tatsuro Taira gets a takedown 3.12 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Van lands an average of 8.84 strikes per minute and connecting on 56% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Tatsuro Taira, who is landing 60% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 2.94 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Waldo Cortes Acosta is set to square up in the Octagon with Alexander Volkov. Volkov steps into the Octagon holding a record of 39-11-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 250 lbs and stands 6'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Cortes Acosta comes in at 6'4" and weighs 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-2-0. The 34-year-old reaches 78". Concerning grappling, Alexander Volkov is able to defend against 68% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 66% of his tries. Cortes Acosta is taking his opponents down on 57% of the tries he takes and deflects 72% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Volkov is absorbing 2.86 strikes/minute and he lands 4.78 per min. Cortes Acosta, moreover, absorbs 3.38 strikes/min and connects on 5.54 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Khamzat Chimaev (-600)
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