Horses That Can Win the Belmont Stakes
by Trevor Whenham - 6/1/2010

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It looks like we are going to have a 12-horse field for the Belmont  Stakes. It's not a big-name field, and it has the unfortunate and rare  distinction of not featuring the winner of the Kentucky Derby or Preakness, or even a  single horse that has run in both of those races. Still, it's an extremely  interesting race, and it has a good chance of launching a young horse into  stardom. Just last year Summer Bird was lightly raced and lightly regarded heading  into the Belmont, but a win catapulted him into a huge summer and champion  three year old honors.
  
  Of the 12 horses that are likely to enter the starting gate in the Belmont  there are very few that are easy to dismiss right out. There are obviously some  that are stronger than others, though. There are a group of seven horses in the  field that are the real strength, and if the winner doesn't emerge from this  group then I will be surprised. These are, in my eyes, the horses that can win  the Belmont:
  
  Ice Box - He's the likely favorite in the Belmont, and he is certainly  deserving. He came into the Kentucky Derby as the somewhat surprising winner of  the Florida Derby, and he almost left Louisville wearing roses. He ran into an  impossible amount of traffic, but was finally able to find running room late in  the stretch and was chewing up the ground between him and Super Saver with  every stride. Super Saver got very lucky that the wire was where it was. 
He would have stood a good chance of being favored, or at least highly regarded, in the Preakness, but trainer Nick Zito chose to rest him for this race instead. He has gotten better in each of his three stakes starts, and has trained well up to this race. The distance is always a question for horses coming into this race because it is new and so grueling, but Ice Box is a grandson of the great Belmont winner A.P. Indy, and that horse has appeared in the pedigree of other winners, so there is a good chance that this horse will be fine.
He's in good hands with Zito as well - the  trainer led both Birdstone and Da' Tara to wins that ended the Triple Crown  dreams of Smarty Jones and Big Brown.
  
  Fly Down - Zito is not a one trick pony this time around. Fly Down was  never seriously considered for the Kentucky Derby after a disastrous showing in  the Louisiana Derby. Instead, he was pointed at the Dwyer - a Belmont prep on  the same surface as this race - the week after the Derby. He won it in  eye-opening fashion, making a move around the final turn and opening up daylight  by the wire. 
That was only his second stakes start, but it  was against a decent field, and it clearly showed that he has a affinity for  the track. He's also a grandson of A.P. Indy, so he likely won't mind being  stretched out, either. He'll need to improve significantly to win this one, but  the difference between the Louisiana Derby and the Dwyer was incredible, so he  has the capability to get better here.
  
  First Dude - In the Derby trainer Dale Romans was third with Paddy  O'Prado. He was second in the Preakness with this horse. There's only one  podium spot left for him. 
First Dude set the pace at Pimlico, and then showed incredible toughness not only in hanging on for second, but in repeatedly launching attacks at Lookin at Lucky down the stretch. He's certainly game, and he'll likely be able to set the pace in the Belmont again if he chooses to.
Winning from the front in the Belmont is a  very tough task, though, and it takes a very special horse to do so. This horse  is improving rapidly, but he's still very inexperienced, and it's hard to know  if he is horse enough here. He's yet another grandson of A.P. Indy, so the  breeding is good.
  
  Game On Dude - Bob Baffert won the Preakness with Lookin at Lucky.  Though that horses is resting for the summer season, Baffert is back with this  horse and it certainly is an interesting situation. 
Baffert has only had this horse in his stable for his last two races. The first race, the Derby Trial, wasn't particularly inspiring. He finished fifth, faded down the stretch, and was never really a factor. The next race was a totally different story. Baffert switched to Preakness-winning jockey Martin Garcia, and horse and rider had obvious chemistry. Despite facing some issues in the race Game On Dude was a convincing winner. If he can build on that experience then he is certainly a factor.
Baffert is about die for another Belmont  winner - just one of his nine Triple Crown wins has come in New York.
  
  Interactif - After winning the Derby with Super Saver it looked like  Todd Pletcher was going to skip this race. Early this week, though,he made the  surprise announcement that Interactif was being aimed for this race. 
The horse hasn't run sine early April, and was  pulled from Derby consideration because his training wasn't satisfactory. His  recent works have been impressive, though, and Pletcher is going to give him a  shot. He's perhaps the classiest horse in the field, but he never seems to be  quite good enough when it matters.
  
  Make Music For Me - I couldn't have been more impressed with this horse  in the Derby - even if he only finished fourth. He found himself way, way off  the pace and in dead last for the first half of the race. He encountered  traffic and was forced eight wide, but was able to move all the way form the  back to fourth, and he had more in him at the finish. That was a very tough  track to move on, so this horse was clearly in good form. 
He has no real stakes success on his record  beyond that, but that effort showed he can't be counted out, and he's going to  go off at a big price in this one.
  
  Uptowncharlybrown - This horse has shown more promise than performance,  but an unfortunate tragedy makes him an intriguing horse. He was trained by  Alan Seewald, who died suddenly in April. The horse raced in his next race, the  Lexington, for assistant Linda White. Despite putting up a good performance in  that race the horse was moved to Kiaran McLaughlin before this race. 
McLaughlin won this race with Jazil, so he  knows what it takes. Horses often experience a bump in performance in their  first race for a new trainer, and when the new trainer is of this caliber it's  certainly interesting.
  
  Check out Doc’s Sports homepage for the most updated Belmont Stakes  post positions and field lineup, along with daily exclusive content, each day  leading up to the third leg of the Triple Crown. We also offer our expert  Belmont Stakes Picks for just $20! Call us toll-free at 1-866-238-6696  for more information.
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