College Basketball Betting: Hot or Not handicapping Report
by Dave Schwab - 11/28/2011
The 2011-12 men’s college basketball schedule wraps-up its first month of play this week. While it is way too early to make any hard and fast conclusions about any of the teams, we have seen a few get off to a lightning-quick start both on the court and against the spread, while few other have already been a huge drain on the wallet.
Here is a look at this week’s hot and not teams in college basketball in terms of not only their win and loss record straight-up, but also their performance where it counts the most; on the bankroll.
Who is Hot
The Stanford Cardinal have had a very successful season on the football field, but they are making some early noise on the hardwood as well with a 5-1 start straight-up and a even more impressive 5-0 record ATS. They are coming off a tough 69-63 loss to Syracuse this past Friday in the championship game of the NIT Tip-Off, but they managed to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. Stanford opened the tournament with a solid 82-67 romp over Oklahoma State as a one-point favorite, according to college basketball odds, last Wednesday. Before that, the Cardinal rolled over UC-Davis 70-49 as 11.5-point road favorite and pasted Colorado State at home as 8.5-point favorites. Tonight they face the Pacific Tigers, out of the Big West as 19.5-point home favorites.
While they may not be completely satisfied with their 3-2 start SU, the Tennessee Volunteers placed high on our list with a 5-0 start ATS. After two blowouts to start the season in which they easily covered as double-digit favorites, the Volunteers took Duke to its limits in a 77-67 loss as 11.5-point underdogs in the first round of last week’s Maui Invitational. They followed that up with a double-overtime 99-97 loss to Memphis just one night later as four-point dogs. After tonight’s game against Oakland in which it is a three-point road favorite, Tennessee faces Pittsburgh this upcoming Saturday at home.
Another team from the Volunteer State made our list is the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, out of the Sun Belt Conference. They have opened some eyes in the early going with a 6-1 SU record and a perfect 6-0 start ATS. The biggest win so far was an 86-66 rout of UCLA as 11-point road underdogs. The only setback so far was a double-overtime 87-84 loss to Belmont as six-point home underdogs. Next, the Blue Raiders face Tennessee State this Thursday night.
Who is Not
The Texas Tech Red Raiders have stumbled out of the gate to a 3-3 start SU and they have proved costly in doing so with a 0-5 record ATS. They failed to cover in their home opener against Troy in a 90-85 victory as 12-point favorites. Against North Texas they came away with a 69-64 win, but they could not cover as seven-point home favorites. Things have only gone downhill from there with three straight losses in the Old Spice Classic last weekend starting with a 60-49 loss to Indiana State as 7.5-point underdogs. The Red Raiders followed this up with a 76-70 loss to DePaul as 4.5-point underdogs and closed things out with a 70-61 setback to Wake Forest as two-point underdogs. This week, Texas Tech should get a break with Texas A&M-CC on the slate for Thursday.
After two straight trips to the NCAA Championship Game, the Butler Bulldogs have come back down to earth with a 3-3 SU start. The reason they rank so high on our list is their 0-4 record ATS. While they have lost quite a bit of talent from last year’s team, it is hard to believe the Bulldogs dropped their opener to Evansville 80-77 in overtime as 3.5-point favorites. Their last time, out they fell to Indiana 75-59 as 13.5-point road underdogs. Next up for Butler is Oakland City in a game that may not even have a posted spread.
The final team on this week’s list is the Rutgers Scarlet Knights out of the Big East. This is the time of the year when teams like Rutgers should be piling up wins before conference play starts, but they are off to a 3-3 start overall and an even worse 0-4 start ATS. The Scarlet Knights failed to cover as 19.5-point home favorites in their opener with a tenuous 62-56 win over Dartmouth. Their last time out, they lost to Richmond 58-53 as 1.5-point favorites in the Cancun Challenge. This week they return to the reality that is New Jersey with the winless UMBC Retrievers coming into town tonight in a game that has no posted line.
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