College Basketball Betting: Hot or Not handicapping Report
by Dave Schwab - 12/19/2011
There was a lull in the action last week in men’s college basketball as many of the teams had a light schedule due to end of the semester finals. There were no major shake-ups in the top 10, but No.9 Xavier did lose to Oral Roberts, 64-42, this past Sunday as a 5.5-point home favorite after a good portion of its starting lineup was suspended for the game as a result of a post-game brawl with Cincinnati the week before.
Here is a look at this week’s hot and not teams in college basketball in terms of not only their overall record straight-up, but also their performance where it counts the most; against the spread.
Who is Hot
The team at the top of last week’s list, the Saint Joseph Hawks out of the Atlantic 10, held their spot with a convincing 74-58 victory over Villanova this past Saturday as three-point home favorites. The Hawks are now 8-3 straight-up on the year and a very profitable 8-1 against the spread. They have covered in their last six straight; three times as favorites and three times as underdogs. Balance has been the key so far for St. Joe’s with an average of 72.9 points and 36.1 rebounds a game while shooting 48 percent from the field. Carl Jones has led the way with 19 points a game with Ronald Roberts Jr. and Halil Kanacevic are each pulling down six rebounds a game.
The Big Ten’s Indiana Hoosiers are still on a roll after knocking-off then-No.1 Kentucky, 73-72, last Saturday as 5.5-point home underdogs. This past Saturday they made short work of Notre Dame in a 69-58 romp as nine-point favorites on the college basketball odds. The No.20 Hoosiers are now a perfect 10-0 SU and 6-0 ATS. The total has been evenly split at 3-3 in the six games. Indiana is getting it done with a lineup that is shooting 50.3 percent from the floor and averaging 82.2 points a game. Cody Zeller leads the team in scoring with 15.6 points and rebounds with 7.5 a game, but there are four other players that are scoring in double figures. The only real area of concern for Indiana is under the boards, where it is ranked 165th in the nation in rebounds with an average of 35.7 a game.
The Oregon State Beavers out of the Pac-12 made a move up the board with a routine 101-68 pasting of Portland State this past Sunday as 15.5-point home favorites to raise their overall record to 9-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS. The total line has been evenly split at 4-4 in the eight games with a posted line. The Beavers are ranked 11th in the country in scoring with an average of 82.6 points a game and shooting a very efficient 49.4 percent from the field. Jared Cunningham is responsible for a good chunk of the production with 17.2 points a game.
This week’s honorable mentions go out to the Wisconsin Badgers from the Big Ten and the Big 12’s Missouri Tigers. The Badgers moved to 10-2 SU and 7-2 ATS with a 66-33 romp over Savannah State as 25-point home favorites while the Tigers crushed William & Mary 94-56 as 33-point home favorites to raise their record to a perfect 11-0 SU and 5-1 ATS.
Who is Not
It has been a rough start for the Big East’s Villanova Wildcats with just one win in their last four games to fall to 6-5 SU on the year. What puts them at the top of this dubious list is a woeful and costly 1-8 record ATS. The only game they covered in this season was a 71-46 win over UC-Riverside as 12-point favorites. The Wildcats are shooting 42 percent from the floor and ranked 101st in the nation in scoring with an average of 72.8 points a game. They are pulling down an average of 40 rebounds, but ranked 189th in points allowed; giving-up 67.3 points a game.
Joining Villanova on this list are two more teams from the Big East; the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Notre Dame’s loss to Indiana dropped it to 7-5 SU on the year and to 0-5-2 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of its seven games. The Scarlet Knights have won their last two games with no posted lines to climb to 6-5 SU on the year, but they remain 0-6 ATS in games against some tougher competition. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their six games.
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