College Basketball Betting: Hot or Not handicapping Report
by Dave Schwab - 12/26/2011
The nonconference portion of this year’s men’s college basketball schedule continues to wrap up as we close out 2011 and get ready for conference play in the New Year. Over the past two months, a few teams have emerged as legitimate contenders for this year’s national title, while a few other high-profile programs have proven to be pretenders with their play on the court.
Here is a look at this week’s hot and not teams in college basketball in terms of not only their overall record straight-up, but also their performance where it counts the most; against the college basketball odds.
Who is Hot
The No. 18 Indiana Hoosiers jumped to the top of this week’s list with a perfect 12-0 record straight-up and a very profitable 7-0 record against the spread. Last Thursday, they rolled over the University of Maryland-Baltimore City, 89-47, in a game with no posted line. This week the Hoosiers start play in the Big Ten with games against No.20 Michigan State and No.2 Ohio State. They are currently seventh in the nation in scoring with an average of 84.8 points a game and shooting 51.4 percent from the field, which is the fifth-best percentage in the country. Cody Zeller leads Indiana in both points per game (15.1) and rebounds (7.3).
Dropping one spot this week is the Saint Joseph’s Hawks, from the Atlantic 10. They are 9-3 SU on the year and 8-1 ATS. They have won their last four games, including an 80-71 victory over then-No.17 Creighton as one-point home underdogs and a 74-58 romp over Philadelphia rival Villanova as three-point home favorites. The Hawks are averaging 73.6 points a game and shooting 48.2 percent from the field. Carl Jones and Langston Galloway are combining for 35 points a game with Galloway hitting 50 percent of his shots from three-point range. Next up for St. Joe’s is Morgan State this Wednesday and No.25 Harvard on Saturday afternoon.
Another Big Ten school ranks high on our list with the No.14 Wisconsin Badgers coming in at 11-2 SU and 8-2 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in eight of their 10 games. They are 5-1 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in all six games. Wisconsin is averaging just 68.2 points a game and is ranked first in the nation in points allowed and is holding its opponents to an average of just 44.7 points a game. As a team, it is shooting 45.6 percent from the field and 40.2 percent from three-point range. The Badgers open play in the conference this Tuesday night when they go on the road to face Nebraska. They are back home to host Iowa this upcoming Saturday afternoon.
The honorable mentions this week go out to the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, who have been no strangers to our list this season and the Georgetown Hoyas out of the Big East. The Blue Raiders are 11-2 SU overall and 9-2 ATS. The Hoyas are off to an impressive 10-1 start SU and have been perfect ATS at 6-0.
Who is Not
Still holding on to the top spot on this dubious list the Villanova Wildcats with a 7-5 record SU, but a costly 1-8 record ATS. Last week the Wildcats rolled over American, 73-52, in a game with no posted line. This week they face West Virginia on the road on Wednesday night in their Big East opener and stay on the road for a New Year’s Day showdown with No.10 Marquette. Villanova has struggled from the field this season and is hitting just 42.1 percent from the floor, which is ranked 222nd in Division I. It has remained solid under the boards with an average of 39.9 rebounds a game.
Next on the list is the PAC-12’s Oregon Ducks. They have won their last three games with no posted line to improve to 9-3 SU, but have been a major drain on the bankroll with a 2-7 record ATS. The Ducks are 1-5 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in six of their nine games overall. Oregon is averaging 69.1 points a game, but giving-up an average of 65.1 points to its opponents. The team is shooting 44.6 percent from the field and pulling down an average of just 34.7 rebounds a game. The Ducks open play in the Pac-12 with pair of road games against Washington State on Thursday night and Washington on Saturday.
The dishonorable mentions this week go to out to the Notre Dame Fight Irish, who are 8-5 SU, but a costly 0-5-2 ATS, and the Clemson Tigers, who are 7-6 SU, but just 2-7 ATS.
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