College Basketball Odds: Under-the-Radar Teams With Value
by Trevor Whenham - 1/20/2011
Most of the media coverage -- and therefore the public attention -- in college basketball is focused on the big-name teams. That means that people only really care about the teams that are ranked, those with long histories of success, and the teams that have the big wins and flashy players that the media loves. Those teams are what you hear about most, but often times the most attractive betting teams are ones that people aren’t paying any attention to at all. Here are eight teams that are flying well under the public radar, but which are treating the people who bet on them very kindly. These are the teams that are beating the college basketball odds on a regular basis.
Missouri State (11-4-2 ATS) - The Bears are the most profitable team in the country -- at least of teams that have played more than a couple of games with college basketball lines. Not only that but they have won 13 of 14 games. The Missouri Valley Conference is tough, but Missouri State has some nice road wins already, and the Bears have clearly shown that they have some lasting power.
Oakland (13-6-1 ATS) - In one of the more challenging geographical situations in sports, Oakland University is actually in Detroit. No matter where they are, though, they are certainly taking care of business. They have done it against some impressive teams, too -- they beat Tennessee, and covered the spread against Michigan State, Illinois, and Purdue. The Golden Grizzlies are better known than a lot of teams on this list because of their tournament appearances and the bit of buzz they brought into this season, but they still aren’t on the mind of casual bettors or fans.
Tennessee State (9-3-1 ATS) - The Tigers are actually below .500 on the year, and they lack a win that is impressive. They haven’t exactly challenged themselves with their schedule, either. What they are good at, though, is losing games by less than everyone thinks they will. Case in point -- they were 16 point underdogs in a trip to Memphis earlier in the month, but only lost by five.
Harvard (6-2 ATS) - The Crimson don’t face a spread often, but when they do they take care of business. More impressive than their overall ATS record is that they are 5-1 ATS on the road -- and that includes a very impressive win at Boston College two weeks ago. This isn’t a great team, but it is a good one, and they certainly challenge themselves -- they have played four teams from major conferences.
Hampton (5-1 ATS) - The Pirates are a tough, solid team. They obviously don’t face a spread often, though -- especially later in the season. They were 4-0 ATS in their first five games, and have just had a spread twice in their last 13. This is a team that knows how to play, though, and they are well coached, so they are worth keeping an eye on when applicable.
NC-Wilmington (9-3-1 ATS) - The Seahawks are a team that is hard to get a sense of. They were absolutely crushed -- by 40 points -- by Ohio State, but came back less than a month later and overwhelmed Wake Forest. I’m not suggesting that those two opponents are at all similar, but they are both major conference teams. They don’t have an impressive record, but they sure can cover spreads. They are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games that you could bet on, and in most cases they are covering the spreads handily.
Drexel (10-4 ATS) - Like Oakland, the Dragons came into the season with some minor buzz. They play in the brutally tough CAA, but they have a shot at a tournament bid -- the conference is poised to secure an at-large bid along with the automatic bid if they keep up their play. The biggest accomplishment so far is a very surprising win at Louisville in December. That performance was a sign of how dangerous the team can be. Unfortunately, an ugly loss at William & Mary last time out shows the issues they can have with consistency.
Colorado State (11-4-1 ATS) - The Rams are red hot -- at least from a betting perspective. They are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games, with the only game they didn’t cover coming against another team on this list -- Hampton. They haven’t played a great schedule, but they did beat Mississippi and a struggling UNLV team last night, and they covered the spread at Kansas -- though by the narrowest of margins. There is no reason to get too excited about this team, but they aren’t going to get a lot of attention in the Mountain West because of all the good teams that get noticed so they have a chance to stay under the radar and deliver value.
Strike Point Sports has shown a profit for college basketball picks in 64 of the last 87 weeks stretching back a few years and his college basketball handicapping has yielded the biggest play of the season, and it is coming this Saturday. That is the day he will have his 8-Unit College Basketball Game of the Year, and this is the strongest single selection he will put out all season long.
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