NBA Betting Trends: Hot and Cold Teams Against the Point Spread
by Aaron Smith - 1/10/2011
This hot and cold report shows us just how quickly trends can change in the NBA. Just two weeks ago, the Rockets were covering the number better than anyone else in the league, but they now top the cold list. Bettors must do their best to stay ahead of the trends or it will be difficult to consistently turn a profit for NBA handicapping. Here is a closer look at the top hot and cold teams against the NBA point spread from the last two weeks of action. Please note statistics used are for games played between Dec. 27 and Jan. 9.
Top Five “Hot” ATS NBA Teams
-Orlando Magic (6-1 ATS) The Orlando Magic took a couple games to get used to their new lineup, but they have now won nine straight games and they have covered the spread in six of their last seven. The additions of Jason Richardson and Hedo Turkoglu have really made their offense much more dangerous.
-Atlanta Hawks (6-1 ATS) The Hawks have underperformed most of the year, but they appear to be turning the corner. Their win over Utah in Salt Lake City was a real confidence booster for this team. The schedule contains four more very winnable games in the next week.
-Memphis Grizzlies (5-2 ATS) The Grizzlies were in the news for the O.J. Mayo and Tony Allen fight in the last couple weeks, but it didn’t seem to hurt their performance on the court. Memphis is now 22-14-1 ATS on the season.
-Detroit Pistons (4-2 ATS) The Detroit Pistons keep showing up on this side of the list. This isn’t a good team, but the books are extremely low on them. Detroit isn’t consistent enough to trust them to show up every night, but they have the talent to be competitive at times.
-Sacramento Kings (4-2-1 ATS) This is the Kings first appearance on this side of the list. It appears the books have gotten so low on this team that there is a small amount of value here. Unless their team chemistry improves this is a team destined for a poor rest of the season.
Bottom Five “Cold” ATS NBA Teams
-Houston Rockets (0-6-2 ATS) The Rockets went from the hottest to the coldest team in the span of just two weeks. Houston is still pushing the tempo on offense, but their shooting percentages have been terrible in the last couple weeks. The schedule doesn’t get any easier in the next week for the Rockets.
-Phoenix Suns (1-4-1 ATS) While the trade seems to be working out very well for the Magic, the Suns are struggling mightily right now. They don’t have the same flow on offense that they have had the last few years. The rumors are swirling around whether Steve Nash will be traded next. I don’t expect the rest of the season to be a pleasant one for Suns fans.
-Utah Jazz (2-6 ATS) The Jazz are typically unbeatable at home, but this team has dropped a couple games in Salt Lake in the last two weeks. They are 0-4 ATS at home in the last two weeks. They get the Knicks and the Cavaliers at home later this week.
-Cleveland Cavaliers (2-5 ATS) Cleveland is probably the worst team in the league right now. They are terrible on both ends of the floor, and there is no clear leader on this team. A rash of injuries hasn’t helped, but this team must find an identity if they are going to be competitive.
-New Jersey Nets (2-5 ATS) The Nets have some nice young talent on their team, but they just can’t put it all together. They are 8-12 ATS away from home so far this season. The Nets start a West Coast road trip on Wednesday, so this could be another rough week for them.
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