College Basketball Betting: Hot or Not Handicapping Report
by Dave Schwab - 2/13/2012
The 2011-12 college basketball schedule enters the second half of February with the madness of March lurking right around the corner. The top teams in the country continue to try and build an overall resume that is worthy of a top seed in this year’s NCAA Tournament, while a few Cinderella’s are sharpening their form for a long run in the big dance.
There are a number of team’s with stellar straight-up records on the court, but this list looks to seek out the teams that have either provided a healthy return against the college basketball odds or have been a major drain on the bankroll lately. Here is a rundown of this week’s ‘hot and not’ teams in men’s college basketball through this past weekend’s games.
Who is Hot
The No.12 Michigan State Spartans will undoubtedly shoot up the national rankings after stunning No.3 Ohio State, 58-48, this past Saturday as 8.5-point road underdogs, but they streaked to the top of our list with a 5-1 ATS in their last six games. The Spartans are now 20-5 SU on the year and 15-7 ATS. They are 9-3 ATS at home this season and 6-4 ATS on the road. The total has gone 10-11-1 in their 22 games, but it has stayed ‘under’ in five of Michigan State’s last seven games. Next up for the Spartans is a Thursday night showdown with No.22 Wisconsin at home.
The Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference may not include any household names come tournament time, but right now it boasts the best team in the nation ATS. The Manhattan Jaspers’ 85-63 victory over St. Peter’s this past Saturday as 8.5-point road favorites raised their overall record to 18-9 SU and a highly profitable 18-7 ATS. The Jaspers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and the total has stayed under in seven of them. They are only 5-4 ATS at home this year, but an impressive 13-3 ATS on the road. The total has stayed under in 14 of Manhattan’s 25 games with a posted line. The Jaspers face Sienna on the road this Tuesday in a MAAC matchup.
Another mid-major that has been a solid money maker lately is the New Mexico Lobos, out of the Mountain West Conference, going a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games. Overall, the Lobos are 20-4 SU and 15-6 ATS. They are 7-3 ATS at home and 8-3 ATS in 11 games on the road. The total has stayed under in five of New Mexico’s last six games and is 11-13-1 overall. The Lobos’ sparkling record will be tested this Wednesday night with a road game against No.14 San Diego State.
A few other teams with solid records on the court and profitable records ATS are the Big East’s No.2-ranked Syracuse Orange at 25-1 SU and 16-9 ATS, the South Dakota State Jackrabbits from the Summit League at 20-7 SU and 13-5-1 ATS, and the Sun Belt’s Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders at 23-4 SU and 16-9 ATS.
Who is Not
The ACC’s Virginia Tech Hokies have just three SU victories in their last 11 games, but have been even worse ATS at 1-10. Overall, they are still above .500 at 14-11 SU, but are a woeful 6-14-1 ATS. The Hokies are 3-8 ATS at home and 3-6-1 ATS on the road. The total has stayed under in eight of their last 12 games and in 13 of their 21 games overall. Things will not get any easier for Virginia Tech this week with a Thursday night road game against No.17 Florida State.
The Texas Longhorns, out of the Big 12, posted a 75-64 victory over Kansas State this past Saturday as four-point home favorites for their third win in-a-row SU, but they are just 1-2-1 ATS in their last four. Overall, Texas is now 16-9 SU on the year, but a costly 7-12-1 ATS. It is 4-6-1 ATS at home and 3-6 ATS on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the Longhorns last five games and is now an even 10-10 overall. This Tuesday night, Texas will be on the road against Oklahoma and this upcoming Saturday it stays on the road for a matchup with Oklahoma State.
A few other teams that have been drains ATS this season are the Horizon League’s Butler Bulldogs at 15-12 SU but 7-15-2 ATS, the defending National Champion Connecticut Huskies out of the Big East at 15-9 SU but 7-13 ATS, and the Big Ten’s Illinois Fighting Illini at 16-9 SU but 9-14 ATS.
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