College Basketball Betting: Hot or Not Handicapping Report
by Dave Schwab - 3/5/2012
It is Championship Week in men’s college basketball as this week’s conference tournaments will set the stage for Selection Sunday and the final 68-team field for this season’s NCAA Tournament. The six majors kick things off this Tuesday with first-round action in the Big East and the week wraps up with Sunday’s finals in the ACC, Big Ten, and the SEC.
The following is a look at a ‘hot’ and ‘not’ team from each of the six major conferences in terms of their recent performance both on the court and against the spread.
Hot- No.6 North Carolina won the ACC regular season title with a dominating 88-70 victory over Duke as a two-point road favorite this past Saturday to run its overall record to 27-4 straight-up and 17-13 ATS. What makes the Tar Heels so hot heading into this tournament is seven straight victories to close out the regular season and a 6-1 record ATS in those last seven games.
Not- Saturday’s loss may end-up costing No.4 Duke a No.1 seed in the NCAA Tournament unless it rallies to run the table in impressive fashion this week. Unfortunately the Blue Devils (26-5 SU) come in rather cold to wager on with a 2-4 record ATS in their last six games, which has dropped them to 13-18 ATS on the year.
Hot- No.7 Marquette finished the regular season as the second-seed in the conference at 14-4 SU and it has an overall record 25-6 SU. What makes the Golden Eagles so attractive in this tournament is a 6-1 record both SU and ATS in their last seven games. Overall, they are 16-11-1 ATS this season.
Not- This season has been a walking disaster since opening day for Villanova as it limps into this tournament as the No.14 seed after going just 5-13 SU in conference play. Even worse is the fact that the Wildcats are 2-8 SU and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Overall, they are a dismal 7-19-1 ATS.
Hot- No.20 Indiana is the fifth seed in the Big Ten Tournament with an 11-7 SU record in conference play, but could be a team to ride this week with a 7-1 SU record in its last eight games and a 5-2 ATS record in its last seven. The Hoosiers are 24-7 SU on the year and 16-9 ATS.
Not- Illinois has been on a downward spiral for the past month with just one win both SU and ATS in its last nine games, making the prospect for any dramatic turnaround this week look pretty bleak. The Fighting Illini are now 17-14 SU and 10-19 ATS.
Hot- An impressive late-season rally boosted Iowa State all the way to the No.3 seed for this tournament. The Cyclones are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games and 8-1-1 ATS. They are now 22-9 SU on the year and a very profitable 18-8-1 ATS.
Not- No.10 Baylor is the fourth-seed in the Big 12 but just 4-4 SU in its last 10 games. The Bears have been costly ATS for quite awhile now with a 4-10 record in their last 14 games. Overall, they are 25-6 SU but only 10-14 ATS.
Hot- Oregon finished the regular season with four straight wins to earn the No.3 seed in the conference, but its real claim to fame is a 9-0 record ATS in its last nine games. The Ducks come into this tournament at 22-8 SU overall and 13-5 SU in the PAC-12. They are 16-11 ATS overall.
Not- Arizona needs to quickly shake-off an ugly 87-80 loss to in-state rival Arizona State as an 8.5-point road favorite in its regular season finale, but that could be hard to do considering the Wildcats are 2-2 SU in their last four games and 2-4 ATS in their last six. Overall, Arizona is 21-10 SU and 16-14 ATS.
Hot- Nobody in the conference is hotter than Tennessee right now. The Volunteers have posted eight victories in their last nine games both SU and ATS to grab the third seed in this week’s tournament. This recent tear has raised their overall record to 18-13 SU and they are a very healthy 18-9-1 ATS.
Not- Vanderbilt lost to the Volunteers 68-61 in its season finale as a one-point road favorite. The Commodores have now gone just 5-5 both SU and ATS in their last 10 games and have fallen to 21-10 SU on the year and 14-13 ATS.
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