East Carolina rolled over Tulane 34-6 this past Saturday to easily cover as an 18-point home favorite. Hitting this AAC "pick of the week" brought my year-to-date record a bit closer to .500 at 6-7, but even with the 4-Unit play I remain down for the year. With two weeks left in the regular season, the pressure is on to finish in the black.

The following is a brief betting report for all the AAC matchups in Week 14 of the college football season as well as my top pick of the week for Doc's Sports. All the betting odds quoted have been provided by 5Dimes. All picks come with a unit value using Doc's Sports Unit Betting System.

Friday, November 28

Central Florida Knights (-12) vs. South Florida Bulls

Total Line: 42.5

The Knights need a win this week to stay in the AAC title hunt with a conference record of 5-1. They have just one straight up loss in their last eight games after a 0-2 start, and they are 6-2 against the spread in those eight contests. Central Florida has picked up the pace in its last two games by outscoring Tulsa and SMU 84-14.

South Florida fell to 4-7 on the year and 3-4 in conference play with last week's 31-20 loss to Memphis. The Bulls did manage to cover as heavy 19.5-point road underdogs to improve to 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. South Florida has had its issues on both sides of the ball with an offense that is averaging 18.7 points and a defense that is allowing 28 points a game.

Houston Cougars (-22) vs. SMU Mustangs

Total Line: 49

The Cougars have rallied from a 2-3 start with four SU victories in their last five games, including a 38-28 victory over Tulsa this past Saturday as 20-point home favorites. They have failed to cover in their last two games, and the total has gone "over" in three of their last five outings. Houston owes much of its 6-4 record to a defense that is ranked 13^th in the nation in points allowed (18.7).

SMU has to be happy to see this season almost come to an end after a disastrous 0-10 SU (3-7 ATS) run through its first 10 games. It is next to impossible to win games at any level when you have an offense that has generated only 9.7 points a game trying to keep pace with a defense that has given up an average of 44.1 points. Both are ranked dead-last in Division IA this year.

East Carolina Pirates (-17.5) vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Total Line: 66.5

The 7-3 Pirates fast 6-1 start in their new conference has gotten bogged down a bit with losses to Temple and Cincinnati on the road in their last three outings, but they can still factor into the mix for the AAC title if they win their final two games and get some help. East Carolina has gone an even 5-5 ATS overall, but it has only covered in five of seven games as a favorite.

Tulsa's first go-round in the AAC after leaving Conference USA has been far more bumpy with an overall record of 2-9 and a 2-5 SU mark in conference play. The Golden Hurricane are 4-7 ATS, but they have been a solid play on the total line with nine of their 11 games going over the closing line. It helps when your defense is allowing an average of 38.4 points a game.

Saturday, November 29

Cincinnati Bearcats (-7) vs. Temple Owls

Total Line: 58

The Bearcats are another team in the thick of the AAC title race at 5-1 in conference play. Their current winning streak both SU and ATS reached five games with a 41-0 shutout of Connecticut on Nov. 22 as nine-point road favorites. Cincinnati continues to move the ball well through the air with an average of 308 yards a game, and its offense is ranked 17^th in the nation in scoring with 37.3 points a game.

It should be a good test of wills in this matchup with Temple coming in with the 15^th-ranked defense in the country in points allowed (19.3). The Owls have already exceeded expectations after winning just two games last year with an overall record of 5-5 both SU and ATS that includes a 3-3 SU mark in the AAC. They have dropped their last two games SU in losses to Memphis and Penn State.

AAC Pick of the Week

Connecticut Huskies vs. Memphis Tigers (-21)

Total Line: 45

Connecticut had its brief moment in the sun with a stunning 37-29 victory against UCF as a nine-point home favorite on Nov. 1, but the rest of the season has been pretty much forgettable with an overall record of 2-8 both SU and ATS. The Huskies are just 2-6 ATS as underdogs, and they have failed to cover in three of four road games this season. The biggest concern heading into this matchup is an offense that is averaging only 15.6 points a game.

The Tigers are just one win away from a worst-to-first run in the AAC. Last season they closed things out with a 45-10 loss to UConn as slight 1.5-point road favorites to finish 1-7 in conference play. The motivation to avenge that loss has to be running high considering they come in with a 6-1 SU record in the AAC and a 8-3 record overall. The driving force behind this dramatic turnaround has been a shut-down defense that is ranked ninth in the nation in points allowed (17.7). This one should get out of hand early and stay that way all day long.

5-Unit Play Take Memphis (-21) over Connecticut (Saturday, Nov. 29, 4 p.m.)

YTD: 6-7 (-$590)

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