NBA Odds and Predictions: Tuesday, March 3 Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews - 3/2/2015
Did you happen to watch Friday's Oklahoma City game against Portland? Red-hot Russell Westbrook took a knee to the face from teammate Andre Roberson. It left Westbrook with a very freaky-looking dent in his face. He underwent surgery on Saturday to repair a fractured cheek bone, and the team will re-evaluate him this week to determine when Westbrook can return. Currently he is +450 to win the NBA MVP Award at Sportsbook.ag but obviously more multiple games missed severely hurts his chances. Steph Curry remains the -220 favorite. Here's a look at Tuesday's schedule.
Lakers at Hornets (-7.5, 192)
Los Angeles' rather unlikely three-game winning streak ended Sunday with a 108-101 loss to Oklahoma City even though the Thunder were without both Westbrook and Kevin Durant. Jeremy Lin had 20 points, eight assists and six rebounds for the Lakers. Leading scorer Nick Young missed his third straight game with a sore left knee. Charlotte won in Orlando 98-83 on Sunday. Mo Williams had 23 points and 11 assists. Hornets big man Bismack Biyombo returned to the lineup after missing 11 games with a bone bruise in his right knee. He was quiet in 14 minutes. The Hornets lost at the Lakers on Nov. 9, 107-92. That was L.A.'s first win of the season and it still had Kobe Bryant then.
Key trends: The Lakers have covered just two of their past 11 games. The "over/under" has gone over in L.A.'s past five games. The road team has covered four of the past five meetings.
Early lean: Hornets and under.
Celtics at Cavaliers (-11.5, 209)
Cleveland lost 105-103 in overtime at Houston on Sunday, its second straight defeat. LeBron James had 37 points but missed two free throws with 4.2 seconds left in OT. He also missed a potential winning shot at the end of regulation. Cleveland played its second straight game without point guard Kyrie Irving. Reports are that he will return here. Boston lost 106-101 at home to Golden State on Sunday to end a three-game winning streak. The C's were up 26 at one point. Cleveland beat visiting Boston 122-121 on Nov. 14. James had 41 as the Cavs overcame a 19-point deficit in the fourth quarter.
Key trends: Boston has covered eight straight against teams with a winning record. Cleveland is 10-1 ATS in its past 11 games. The over is 5-1 in Boston's past six.
Early lean: Cavaliers and over.
Kings at Knicks (TBA)
Sacramento dropped its second straight Sunday, 110-99 at home against Portland. Kings leading scorer and rebounder DeMarcus Cousins missed his second straight game with a sprained left ankle and bruised left hip (thus the TBA). The team is 2-12 when Cousins doesn't play this season. This starts a season-high eight-game road trip. The Knicks have won two straight, upsetting Toronto 103-98 on Saturday. New York was without starting point guard. Jose Calderon as he's dealing with an Achilles' strain. He won't play here. The Knicks lost 135-129 in OT in Sacramento on Dec. 27. Cousins had 39 in that one.
Key trends: The Kings are 1-5 ATS in their past six road games vs. teams with a losing home record. New York is 0-6 ATS in its past six Tuesday games. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
Early lean: Knicks if Cousins sits, Kings if he plays.
Rockets at Hawks (TBA)
Houston won its fifth straight Sunday with that overtime victory in Cleveland. James Harden had 33 points to continue his MVP case. He did get a flagrant foul when he kicked in the direction of James' crotch as he fell as James tried to grab the ball from him late in the third, but I don't see the league suspending him for that. Atlanta took its fourth straight win Saturday, 93-91 in Miami. Coach Mike Budenholzer gave Al Horford, Pero Antic, DeMarre Carroll and Jeff Teague the night off. All should be back in there for this one. The Hawks are now 34-3 when holding opponents under 100 points. Atlanta won in Houston 104-97 on Dec. 20. The game was tied with three minutes left. Harden was held to 18 but did have 14 assists.
Key trends: Houston has covered four straight games. Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in its past 10 at home vs. teams with a winning road record. The under is 6-0 in Atlanta's past six.
Early lean: Atlanta will win at home.
Wizards at Bulls (TBA)
Chicago lost 96-86 at home to the Clippers on Sunday and also lost Jimmy Butler to injury. He hurt his elbow trying to fight through a pick and will miss 3-6 weeks. Huge blow to the Bulls, who are without Derrick Rose and Taj Gibson. Rose might return by the end of the season, while Gibson won't play this week. Washington ended a season-high six-game losing streak on Saturday with a 99-95 win over Detroit. The Wizards welcomed back Bradley Beal in that one after he had missed eight straight games. Paul Pierce also was back after missing the previous two. Washington leads the season series 2-1.
Key trends: The Wizards are 1-9 ATS in their past 10 road games. Washington is 4-1 ATS in its past five vs. Chicago. The over is 5-1 in the past six meetings in the Windy City.
Early lean: Wizards are a bad matchup for Chicago even when the Bulls are healthy. Go Washington.
Jazz at Grizzlies (-8.5, 182.5)
Memphis ended a two-game slide with a 101-97 victory in Minnesota on Saturday. Mike Conley hit the go-ahead 3-pointer with 30 seconds left. The Grizzlies shot 59 percent and outscored Minnesota 52-30 in the paint. Utah won for the fourth time in five games Saturday, 82-75 over Milwaukee. Utah has been great on defense during that stretch, allowing just one team to score more than 82 points. The Jazz are going for their first three-game winning streak of the season. Utah and Memphis have split two meetings.
Key trends: Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its past five vs. teams with a losing record. The under is 9-0 in the Grizzlies' past nine at home. The under is 6-2 in the past eight meetings.
Early lean: Grizzlies and under.
Bucks at Nuggets (+6.5, 193.5)
Denver lost its sixth straight Sunday, 99-92 at home to New Orleans. It was the Nuggets' 10th straight loss at the Pepsi Center, the team's longest home skid since losing 11 in a row during the 1997-98 season. Rookie center Jusuf Nurkic sat with a sprained right foot. He won't play here. Forward Darrell Arthur might after missing a second straight game. Milwaukee has lost two straight and four of five, falling 82-75 in Utah on Saturday. O.J. Mayo played after missing the previous two games. Jared Dudley didn't due to a bruised left knee. He's day-to-day. Milwaukee beat visiting Denver 89-81 on Feb. 20.
Key trends: The Bucks are 0-6 ATS in the past six vs. the West. Denver is 1-5 ATS in its past six against the East. The under is 4-0 in Denver's past four.
Early lean: Nuggets end the losing streak.
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