2015 Super Bowl MVP Odds: Picks and Predictions for Betting Value
by George Monroy - 1/27/2015
The Super Bowl MVP has morphed into a quarterback's award over the last decade. If a team with a transcendent quarterback wins the game, it's almost certain he will be the one to win the award. Over the last eight years only two non-quarterbacks have won the award-Malcolm Smith in 2014 and Santonio Holmes in 2009-which is a far cry from the previous eight year's where four non-quarterbacks won the award.
Heading into Sunday's matchup, Tom Brady and Russell Wilson are the favorites to win the award. Brady is probably a shoe-in if New England manages to win the game, but Wilson didn't win the award after last season's Super Bowl and might not again this time around. Let's take a look at the MVP odds and figure out which players have the most value.
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4. Rob Gronkowski: +800
In order for Gronk to win this award, he would have to do something utterly spectacular, like catching the game-winning touchdown with one hand. The tight end might actually be the team's most valuable player, but a typical Gronkowski performance-which is usually fantastic-will not be enough to outshine Brady. The media loves to hand quarterbacks this award, and it would take a truly special night for any Patriot other than the "Golden Boy" to win it.
3. Russell Wilson: +350
Seattle's quarterback has improved greatly since last season's Super Bowl victory where he wasn't named MVP after the game. Wilson has the talent to win the award and could secure the MVP with a few long-yardage scrambles late in the game. New England, however, has the type of defense that is designed to negate Wilson's strength-extending plays with his legs-and will force the quarterback to complete short passes over the middle. Wilson could win this award, but he doesn't have the name recognition that will cause the media to overlook a great performance from one of his teammates.
2. Marshawn Lynch: +400
If a non-quarterback is going to win this award, the search should stop here. Lynch is just as valuable as any other player on the Seattle roster, and a 100-plus yard, two-touchdown performance could be enough to win the award if the Seahawks win the game. The Patriots might be content on letting Lynch rack up yards just as long as they keep Wilson in check. Seattle's quarterback is good, but Lynch is great. A running back has not won the award since Terrell Davis took home the honors for Denver back in 1998.
1. Tom Brady: +180
Brady has to be the favorite to win the MVP award. The media loves him-yes, even after Deflate-gate-and they would love to hand him the award along with the fictional greatest-quarterback-of-all-time trophy if he manages to catch up to Joe Montana. If New England wins the Super Bowl and Brady has a solid performance, a few touchdowns and no huge mistakes, the award will be his. Your only question as a gambler is deciding if New England will in fact win the game. If you favor Seattle take a shot on Lynch. If you like the Patriots expect Brady to walk away with the hardware.
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Read more articles by George Monroy
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