Virginia Cavaliers Odds to Win the 2015 NCAA Tournament with Picks and Predictions
by George Monroy - 3/3/2015
The Virginia Cavaliers might not be a traditional college basketball powerhouse-they have only two Final Four appearances in the school's history-yet the current No. 2 team in the nation seems to be building something special this season and beyond. The Cavaliers are coming off a Sweet 16 berth in 2014, and a razor-thin loss to Michigan was all that separated them from going even deeper into the tournament.
Head Coach Tony Bennett has Virginia playing arguably the best basketball in the nation heading into the final days of the season. The team has four huge victories over ranked teams and has not played a competitive matchup since early February. Let's take a closer look at Virginia's 2015 national title odds with predictions and analysis. All odds come from Sportsbook.ag.
2015 Virginia Cavaliers National Title Story Lines
Virginia's only loss of the season came at the end of January against the then-No. 4 Duke Blue Devils. The matchup stayed close until the very end, and Duke needed a 16-5 run to snap the Cavaliers then 21-game winning streak. The squad may not be getting much respect by the oddsmakers, but it could very well be the best team in the nation. Guards Malcolm Brogdon and Justin Anderson have led the way for the No. 2 team in the AP rankings, averaging 13 points each to go along with four rebounds and two assists.
The Cavaliers have a backcourt talented enough to lock horns with any other team in college basketball, yet where they have truly excelled this season has been on the defensive end of the floor. Virginia currently allows the fewest points in the nation, the third-lowest field goal percentage, while also allowing the second-fewest rebounds per game. Injuries continue to play a role in the team's future as Anderson was forced to sit out multiple games because of a broken finger, but he is expected to play once the tournament begins.
2015 Virginia Cavaliers National Title Odds and Trends
Virginia is currently receiving the fifth-best national title odds at +1200, according to Sportsbook.ag, while being ranked second in the AP polls. Kentucky, Wisconsin, Arizona and Duke have all been placed ahead of the Cavaliers, while each (excluding Kentucky) have at least two losses on their record. Of course, injuries are probably the main reason for the drop in the odds, yet Virginia still continues to win.
Virginia continues to be a solid ATS team with a record of 16-11 and has been spectacular ATS-wise on the road, where it currently has a 9-2 mark. The Cavaliers have done an excellent job of covering those five- to seven-point spreads that they receive on the road and keep on dominating teams outside of their home arena-they have also gone "under" in 14 of 24 games on the year.
2015 Virginia Cavaliers National Title Odds and Predictions
Virginia, by all accounts, seems to be a much better team than the oddsmakers are giving them credit for. The school is not a traditional NCAA Tournament powerhouse, but it may be in the middle of changing its reputation amongst the basketball community. The team is receiving +1200 odds when it should probably be getting +800 if Anderson had not been hurt. However, the guard still has a lot time to heal and be ready for the tournament in mid-March.
The Cavaliers still have a tough ACC Tournament to navigate with four ranked team in the mix, but will almost certainly still grab a No. 1 seed in the Big Dance even with a loss. Bettors might be receiving extra value on a very good team that already has a deep tournament run under its belt from last season. If you are looking to bet on a school other than the Kentucky's and Duke's of the world, then Virginia is probably the team for you. Expected another deep run from the Cavaliers.
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