2016 Super Bowl First Touchdown Props Picks and Expert Predictions
by George Monroy - 2/2/2016
Prop bets tend to get a lot of attention during the Super Bowl . And even though the wagers can be found on a weekly basis at nearly every sportsbook, much of the attention surrounding Super Bowl prop betting (from the mainstream media at least) will involve entertainment wagers like the color of the Gatorade shower or the length of the "National Anthem". Regular sports bettors typically skip those wagers and stick to the props that have value. One particular prop bet that many gamblers will take a look at is the first touchdown prop wager. First touchdown wagers are a fun way to get the game started by booking a win (or taking a loss) early in the matchup.
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For Super Bowl 50 there are a few interesting first touchdown options that could provide loads of value. Let's take a closer look at a few first touchdown prop odds and figure out the best way to wager on the bet.
First Touchdown Prop Odds
Cam Newton: +600
Greg Olsen: +800
Jonathan Stewart: +800
Demaryius Thomas: +1000
Ted Ginn Jr: +1000
No touchdown score: +6600
The rules : first touchdown props bets are for receivers and running backs as touchdown passes do not count for the wager-which is why Peyton Manning isn't on the board. If a quarterback throws a touchdown, the wager would count toward the player catching the pass.
The odds : every payout offers an excellent set of odds, and even the favorite, Cam Newton, is getting 6/1. Any bet that you make will have value, but at the moment most of the attention is being placed on the Carolina side of the ball. The Panthers have racked up the points all season long, and things getting out of hand, similar to the Denver vs Seattle Super Bowl from a few years ago, is a distinct possibility.
Newton is the favorite here at +600 odds, but he does have to run for a touchdown, which he has done 10 times during the regular season. In general Newton throws 3.5 touchdowns for every one he runs into the end-zone (during the 2015 season), so the odds of 6/1 seem to provide a bit of value for bettors. The quarterback's favorite targets are Ted Ginn Jr., who is showing excellent value to score the first touchdown at +1000, and Greg Olsen, who is the second favorite at +800. Both players, however, averaged less than one touchdown reception per game.
The pick : Super Bowl 50 is all about Newton. Expect Denver to stick to Carolina's receivers in order to make Newton win the game with his feet. The best option is to take Newton +600 to score the first touchdown. However, taking 'no player to score a touchdown' at +6600 does have some outside value. Couldn't this matchup turn into a defensive battle that comes down to the kickers? Take Newton to score the first touchdown. The odds are too juicy.
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Read more articles by George Monroy
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