Head-to-Head Wide Receiver Betting Props for Super Bowl 2019: Expert Picks
I love head-to-head props in football. The idea of them is just so simple and pure - which guy is going to gain more yards when things matter most? As with so many other kinds of props, the options for head-to-head props are so much more vast and interesting for the Super Bowl than for any other game. This really is an epic day for betting. BookMaker has a good variety of head-to-head receiver props on offer this year. Here's a look at three of the more interesting matchups on offer this year:
Julian Edelman, WR, New England (-9.5, -122)
Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles (+9.5, -107)
Edelman has been an absolute beast in the postseason. He amassed a season-high 151 yards against the Chargers and gained 96 more against the Chiefs, including some really key yards down the stretch in that thriller. That means that he is averaging 123.5 yards per game. He is no stranger to the playoffs, and he rises to the occasion. Woods has been far less impressive, with 69 yards against the Cowboys and just 33 against the Saints. That's an average of 51 yards. Based on that, and on the relative strength of Tom Brady's passing game compared to Jared Goff's right now, it would be easy to lean towards Edelman. The one challenge, though, is that Edelman averaged just short of 71 yards per game in the regular season while Woods averaged more than 76. So, if the guys match their playoff performances then Edelman is the easy bet, but if they play like their regular season forms then Woods is major value here. I like the combination of recent form and experience, so I would lean towards Edelman.
Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England (-28.5, -112)
Gerald Everett, TE, Los Angeles (+28.5, -118)
This is the battle of the tight ends, with one obviously being much more known and liked by the general public. Gronkowski has not been as consistently dominant this year as in the past, but he has still had moments - like the fourth quarter and overtime of the Chiefs game when he couldn't be stopped. And with the rumors that perhaps this is his last game, he could be fired up to make the most of this outing. But he is giving up a whole lot of yards in this matchup. He has been very consistent this year - he averaged 52 yards per game in his 13 games in the regular season and has averaged 52 yards per game in his two playoff games. Everett averaged 21.3 yards per game in the regular season but had a solid 50-yard outing against the Saints in his only playoff appearance. A factor here, though, is Gronk's reliability - he had only two games below 21 yards this year, and he had five games of 75 or more yards. Everett, meanwhile, had seven games below 20 yards, including four below 10 yards, and he never had more than 50 yards. Gronkowski has way more upside potential, so if you believe in the Patriots and Brady in this game, then you pretty much have to believe in Gronkowski at this number.
James White, RB, New England (-1.5, -123)
Josh Reynolds, WR, Los Angeles (+1.5, -107)
This is my favorite prop here. White is a running back who is much more dangerous with his hands than his feet right now. And Reynolds is a young receiver growing into his game. This one is fun. White had a catch in all 18 games this year and averaged 5.5 per game in the regular season. He is a trusted target of Brady. That was on full display against the Chargers, where White had an incredible 15 catches on 17 targets. He averaged only 8.6 yards per catch, so he isn't a big play guy, but he gets volume in the right situations. And with the pressure in this game, Brady could again be looking his way a lot - especially if the Rams are able to get their pass rush working and force him into faster decisions than the Chiefs did. White has averaged 73 yards per game in the playoffs. Reynolds has struggled to stay healthy, playing in just 11 regular-season games. He averaged 36.5 yards per game in the regular season, but in his last seven games he stepped his performance up and averaged 49.4. That feels more indicative of what can be expected of him, and he has averaged 46.5 in the playoffs, including 74 against the Saints. I like how White is playing right now, and the relationship he has with his quarterback. I'm willing to ride that, and I see some value in him here.
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Read more articles by Trevor Whenham
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