NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 6: Advice and Predictions
In Week 5, Favorites went 11-5 straight up but just 5-10-1 against the spread. The biggest upsets of the week were the Texans (+8 and +260 ML) taking down the Jaguars, 13-6, as well as the Giants (+8, +300) taking down the Packers, 27-22. There also were some convincing wins from the top dogs as the Bills (-14) took down the Steelers 38-3, and the Patriots (-3) put forth a convincing 29-0 victory over the Lions. Injuries are beginning to play a role on several teams around the NFL, and the separation between contenders and the rest of the pack continues to occur. Here are the Week 6 survivor pool picks ranked from strongest to weakest.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Green Bay Packers (-7) over New York Jets
An angry Aaron Rodgers and an overperforming opponent is a recipe for success. The Packers are coming off a frustrating upset to the Giants over in England. The Jets have picked up back-to-back wins since Zach Wilson returned from injury, but this will be the young quarterback’s most difficult challenge. Rodgers has an impressive career record of 88-20-1 at Lambeau field and will have a chip on his shoulder heading into the matchup. Count on Rodgers and the Packers to get the job done and get back on track this week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8) over Pittsburgh Steelers
While the Buccaneers have not been flawless to start the season, the Steelers continue to add to their argument of being one of the worst teams in the NFL. Pittsburgh is coming off a brutal 38-3 loss to the Bills in which Kenny Pickett was not able to create any offense. Expect him to have similar issues this week as he finds his footing in the NFL. Look for the Buccaneers to put pressure on the young quarterback and secure a comfortable victory.
Minnesota Vikings (-3) over Miami Dolphins
The status of the Dolphins quarterback will certainly sway the confidence level of this game. Tua Tagovailoa and Teddy Bridgewater each entered concussion protocol in consecutive weeks, and Skylar Thompson took snaps under center last week. It may not matter who is playing quarterback for the Dolphins as the Vikings have hit their stride in recent weeks. Minnesota has a 4-1 record and have picked up victories the last three weeks. The Vikings are the more complete team on both sides of the ball and can be counted on to get the victory in this matchup.
Los Angeles Rams (-10.5) over Carolina Panthers
While sometimes firing a head coach can spark a change in the team’s season, it does not seem likely to be the case with this Panthers team. Baker Mayfield picked up a notable ankle injury and is set to miss a few weeks, so P.J. Walker will be set to take snaps under center. It is difficult to feel great about this Rams team based on their recent play, but this is a great opportunity to get back on track. They are the more talented team and must look to capitalize against an organization in flux. Expect Los Angeles to do just this as they look to steer their season back in the right direction.
Monday Night: Los Angeles Chargers (-5) over Denver Broncos
Russell Wilson looks to be a shell of himself, and the shoulder issues do not seem set to go away any time soon. Last week, the Colts did everything possible to give Denver the game, and they refused to take it. The Chargers will be more a difficult matchup for the team. And unless there are drastic changes to the team, it is tough to be confident in them in any matchup. Austin Ekeler had a breakout performance for Los Angeles last week. And when he is at his best, their offense is much more dynamic. Count on the Chargers to add another notch to the win column in comfortable fashion.
San Francisco 49ers (-5) over Atlanta Falcons
While the Falcons have exceeded expectations so far this season, and are 5-0 against the spread, they face a difficult task against the 49ers. Jimmy Garoppolo is looking more comfortable in the starting role, and the defense is beginning to form into the feared unit it has has potential to be. Expect the defensive unit to be the difference in this matchup and for the 49ers to make a statement as they begin to paint themselves as legitimate contenders once again.
New England Patriots (+3) over Cleveland Browns
This is a matchup where it is surprising to see the Browns listed as the favorite. The Patriots are coming off a convincing 29-0 victory over the Lions, and New England looks to be finding their identity as a hard-nosed rushing team. In contrast, the Browns are coming off a heartbreaking 30-28 loss on a last-minute missed field goal. This is sure to be a hard-fought ground-and-pound game, but expect the Patriots to get the upper hand. Their defense and running game look to be the real deal, and this will be another chance for them to put this on display.
Baltimore Ravens (-5) over New York Giants
The New York Giants are off to a surprising 4-1 start largely due to Saquon Barkley’s return to stardom. The former Offensive Rookie of the Year is the backbone of the New York offense, and for good reason. However, the Ravens have also opened some eyes with their play. Lamar Jackson has returned to his MVP level and is set to cause this Giants defense some major issues. Each of these teams rank top five in the NFL in rushing, so expect much of the game to be played on the ground. Expect the dynamic play of Jackson to be the difference and for the star QB to lead Baltimore to the victory.
Sunday Night: Philadelphia Eagles (-5) over Dallas Cowboys
The Eagles will be faced with a difficult challenge to keep their perfect season alive against their fierce divisional rival. This game may be won or lost in the trenches, as the Cowboys are second in the NFL in sacks and the Eagles offensive line is battling some injuries. While Cooper Rush has exceeded expectations thus far, he has a difficult challenge against the Eagles defense and will likely need to do a little more to keep up with the Philadelphia offense. Look for Rush to come down to earth a little bit and for the Eagles to feed off the home crowd and advance to 6-0.
Buffalo Bills (-2.5) over Kansas City Chiefs
The can’t-miss matchup of the week will certainly be the Bills vs Chiefs as Buffalo looks to avenge last year’s playoff exit. Both these teams are legitimate contenders, and this is sure to be a thrilling game. The Bills have had this matchup circled on their calendars for many months and will use this motivation to drive them to a win. While you can never fully count out Patrick Mahomes, but expect Josh Allen to get his revenge and come out on top in this one.
Cincinnati Bengals (-2) over New Orleans Saints
The Saints are coming off an impressive 39-32 victory over the Seahawks where Taysom Hill willed the team to a win. While the performance was impressive, there are still some legitimate concerns with this New Orleans team. Their porous defense and quarterback instability make them difficult to rely on, and Joe Burrow will continue to attempt to turn Cincinnati’s season around. Expect the Bengals offense to be the difference and for them to come out on top in the matchup.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) over Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks have been one of the most surprising teams to start the season largely due to Geno Smith’s impressive play. While he has exceeded expectations by a major margin, the Cardinals have had one of the toughest schedules in the NFL to start the season and are desperate to get back on track. This is one of their more winnable matchups thus far, and they will be sure to take advantage of the opportunity. Expect Kyle Murray’s dynamic play to be the difference and for the Cardinals to get the win.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+2) over Indianapolis Colts
The Jaguars have beaten the Colts seven consecutive times in Jacksonville or in London. However, Matt Ryan has never lost to the Jaguars in his career (4-0). One of these streaks must end, and it is difficult to say which will occur considering the inconsistent play from both sides. It seems the better decision to have faith in the Jaguars, who had some positive moments early in the season, while Matt Ryan looks well past his best days. You are better off staying away from the matchup, but ride with the Jaguars if you need to make a pick.
Thursday Night Game: Chicago Bears (-1) over Washington Commanders
Do yourself a favor and avoid this putrid Thursday night matchup all together. Both teams are coming off losses, and Washington has yet to cover a spread on the road this year. While the Commanders’ passing attack has been solid, the Bears have created eight turnovers already this season, which could be a concern for Carson Wentz. Count on the Bears to do just enough in front of the home crowd and find a way to secure the victory, but this is sure to be another sloppy matchup.
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