2025 Travis Kelce Super Bowl Props: Odds and Expert Betting Picks

Super Bowl LIX could very well be the last for one of the greatest tight ends of all time, Travis Kelce. Taylor Swift conspiracy theories/jokes aside, this guy is top 2 or 3 at his position in the history of the NFL.
With that said, it can be difficult to get a grip on what to expect from the legend. In the Divisional Round of the playoffs against a great defense like the Houston Texans, he had his most efficient game of the year with seven receptions on just eight targets for a total of 117 yards receiving. Then, last week against the Buffalo Bills, the 23rd-ranked pass defense in the league, he barely had 19 yards on just two receptions and four targets.
How will he fare against one of the stingiest defenses in the league, the Philadelphia Eagles? This is where it gets slightly complicated. We all know how much the cheat code himself, Patrick Mahomes, has his preferences, especially in the postseason. Against the Texans, only four players caught a pass. However, last week, his spread hit eight different Chiefs to beat the Bills.
Say what you will about the refereeing that got us to this point, but you can’t say we don’t have the two best teams facing off in Super Bowl LIX.
Generally speaking, if you want to bet the overs on player props, I recommend doing that sooner rather than later. The postseason can sometimes be another animal. However, collectively, the public loves their overs. If you insist on being a public protagonist, that's okay. Just get after them in prior to Super Bowl weekend before all the value gets sucked out.
The sportsbooks have a plethora of Kelce prop bets available. Unfortunately, the majority of them are traps and not likely to hit. I want to go over a few with you guys today. Also, it may be the last time we see the first-ballot Hall of Famer on the field. So, let's make some money off of him one last time, or at the least, make the game more enjoyable.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Travis Kelce Over 60 Yards Receiving: -130
We already touched on the variance of Kelce's recent receiving yard totals. Going back to the end of the regular season, he sat out Week 18 like most of the other starters. However, before that, Kelce had one of his most productive games against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Christmas. He only had 84 receiving yards in that one, and bested that number just three other times all season.
Kelce had seven games where he didn't even bust 30 this year. He does match up well with the Eagles' defense. More on that in a moment. However, for this particular prop, pardon the pun here, but I recommend passing on Kelce's receiving yard total.
Pick: Pass
Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +130
Philly has the better defensive unit in this game and maybe the best in the NFL. However, they are built to shut down wide receivers and running backs. In the NFC Championship Game, another aging tight end, the Commanders’ Zach Ertz, was targeted 16 times for 11 receptions. His long was just 21 yards, though, and he didn’t catch a touchdown.
We simply can’t look at this from a logical mathematical standpoint and make this bet. Kelce had three touchdowns all season, and he’s just (+130)?
If you’ve been prioritizing logic, though, when betting on the NFL, you probably don’t have any money left in your bankroll.
This isn't tinfoil hat time. However, Kelce remains the favorite target for Mahomes in the red zone. He trusts him, and this could be the league's last chance to get a shot of Swift celebrating her man going for six.
Pick: Kelce Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+130)
Travis Kelce 7+ Receptions: +124
Kelce caught seven or more passes seven times this year if you include the postseason. That's over 18 games, though, and why you're getting the plus money if you want to make this play. If we bumped it down to six or more receptions, the price skyrockets to (-160). It may not sound like much, but those odds pay out 62.50 on a 100-dollar bet, which is just about half of what we can get for the Ohio native to pull in seven.
I see the Eagles shrinking the field and Mahomes having to dump it off more than expected. I'll take the plus money on Kelce to catch seven.
Pick: Kelce 7+ Receptions (+124)
Travis Kelce Under 61.5 Receiving Yards: -109
If he catches seven or more, yes, he will almost certainly eclipse 61.5 yards receiving. However, I like the price here. Kelce barely averaged 50 yards/game in the regular season, and this is the best defense he's faced.
I like pairing this play with the prior bet of seven or more catches.
Pick: Kelce Under 61.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Travis Kelce Super Bowl MVP: +1500
I didn't want to give you all overs and no unders or vice versa. We don't want to overexpose ourselves on any one player. This bet is a bit different. There are only three players with smaller odds to win the MVP, Mahomes, Saquon Barkley, and Jalen Hurts.
I don't see the latter winning it. Barkley surely could, but Mahomes again? He has the chance to win multiple more MVPs, while his BFF has never won it. If each has good games, I think they find a way to give it to Kelce.
Pick: Kelce Super Bowl MVP (+1500)
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