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Expert Tips for Betting Super Bowl Props in 2026

by Ryan Cobbett - 2/2/2026

Tips for betting Super Bowl props Rhamondre Stevenson New England Patriots

We are just days away from kick off for the biggest sporting event of the year. Super Bowl LX featuring the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots is sure to be a defensive showdown. When it comes to the Super Bowl, we all begin to think of coin toss results, Gatorade bath color, length of national anthem and so forth. We see green, and we put down our next months rent to try and make or break our years. With the growth and popularity of player props and novelty bets, strategies need to be developed so you aren’t just throwing money away.

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The biggest advantage you can take into any betting scenario is having advanced knowledge of the game. No matter what game, understanding the inner workings puts you at an advantage because you have an understanding of why Vegas is doing what they are doing. For football, knowing more than just the surface level statistics gives you the edge of betting on player props. Understanding and analyzing data that discusses matchups is how one can find a lot of success on player props. If we know that Christian Gonzalez is likely going to be covering Jaxon Smith-Njigba, then we would look at former faceoffs, faceoffs against similar minded players, route running, whether or not there will be a lot of pressure issues as that would result in more running back dump off passes, or ones YAC ability.

However, having an advanced knowledge of the game does not make it an automatic win. In addition to this knowledge, you must be able to effectively utilize a variety of other strategies and approaches. Let’s identify some of the biggest ones.

Decide Unit Size

The biggest mistake that we can make is letting our eyes get too big and letting our emotions get the best of us. Two simple, yet frequent, mistakes, include buying narrative (more on that later) and buying because you are down. It is a slippery slope to continue to bet when you are down in order to climb out of that hole, but it is a dangerous approach that can lead to some consequences. You need to come prepared with a cemented bankroll and understand what a unit size means to you. Your unit size may differ from someone else’s, so make sure to scale your bets accordingly. With an event like the Super Bowl, there are a lot of props and novelty bets to get lost in, and while you should enjoy the fun, you need to have a set amount you bring to the table.

Be Picky

With all the props and novelty bets at your fingertips, the next approach is knowing how to be disciplined and picky. With these bets comes a natural decline in predictability. We have incomplete information when it comes to these types of bets, which can really hinder our ability to be successful. If you want to get into some of the fun, either have smaller unit sizes or be selective on which bets you take. If you bet on the coin toss, perhaps it may be better to leave the Gatorade color bath alone. If you are hyper focused on a first touchdown prop, maybe ignore the sack leader prop.

Buy Probability

That approach is a perfect segue into the strategy of investing into probability and not a narrative. One thing we all can agree on is that there is so much information out there to swell our heads and keep our approach jumbled. One crucial mistake is buying into what that one guy on Twitter (I’ll never call it “X”) has heard. He (or she) likely has no connection to the team and therefore is an incomplete or not reliable source of information, even if they’re right. The information opens up so many rabbit holes for you to fall into. Do your best to stay disciplined and make data driven decisions. When it comes to prop bets, dip into your advanced knowledge of matchups and systems and do your research. In this case, time may literally be money. If you invest in your research, you add to the likelihood of you making the most statistically significant choice you can. Who knows, you may even find something Vegas missed.

Don’t Parlay Everything

Another strategy is to refrain from putting everything into a parlay. Hedge your bets, but don’t push your luck and lose money because of one unsuccessful, and silly, leg you decided on last minute in order to boost your payout. When you keep adding legs to your parlay, the sportsbook gets excited because you are putting yourself at a disadvantage. If you feel the urge to create a parlay, find statistically significant correlations. Avoid the narrative. One example would be betting Seattle to score the first touchdown, but New England to cover the second half spread. Seattle has statistically been shown to score the first touchdown in the majority of their games, while it doesn’t take a genius to see that New England’s approach is to wear out their opponents and jump out to a big lead in the later stages. Don’t parlay the over on Kenneth Walker’s rushing yard total with Demarcus Lawrence’s sack total as there is no statistical correlation there.

Shop Sportsbooks

One of the most common factors amongst successful bettors is their ability and willingness to spread resources and shop other sportsbooks. We may sit with one sportsbook for familiarity purposes or find it wiser to keep all resources in one account. However, that is simply not true as there are varying numbers and odds from site to site. Opening multiple accounts (responsibly) not only gives you access to the varying odds, but it also allows you to take advantage of promo offers and new account offers. It does require some time to analyze and shop the odds, and it does require you to be organized and disciplined, but it no doubt boosts your success and efficiency.

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