College Football Handicapping Articles
Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions (Seventh Edition)
by Joey House - 10/12/2023
In my research for this week, I found an article discussing the success of the betting public, or "squares," this year in the NFL. The article revealed that through the first five weeks of the season, the public has been right roughly 63% of the time.
College Football Free Picks: Weekly Mid-Major Report and Predictions for James Madison Week 7
by Joey House - 10/11/2023
JMU had its bye last week, and they rolled into it with a perfect record of 5-0. In just their second year of competition, they have managed to start both campaigns undefeated. Eight of the last 10 programs to leap from FCS to the FBS level (not including this season's debut by Jacksonville State and Sam Houston State) reside in the Sun Belt Conference. Those eight teams combined for a 38-58 (.396) first-year record. JMU's sterling 8-3 mark was second to only Georgia Southern's 9-3 record in 2014.
College Football Free Picks: Weekly Mid-Major Report and Predictions for Coastal Carolina (Chanticleers vs. Appalachian State)
by Matt Zitt - 10/9/2023
The Appalachian State Mountaineers (3-2) and their 20th-ranked pass defense will host the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (2-3) and their 25th-ranked pass attack on Tuesday night in a Sun Belt Conference showdown. In their last game, the Chanticleers took home a loss by the Georgia Southern Eagles by a final score of 38-28. QB Grayson McCall had one of his worst games of his career, throwing four interceptions.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 7 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Joey House - 10/9/2023
Welcome to the Doc's Sports NCAA Opening Line Report, where we give you an early look at the upcoming week's important games. I'll analyze the opening line of select games that caught my attention and briefly explore my initial lean. We're slowly turning it around, going 2-2 this weekend and losing the Boston College game by half a point, known as "the hook." The only thing I hate more than paying the vig is losing by the hook.
College Football Totals Picks Week 6: Over or Under Predictions for Saturday
by Joey House - 10/6/2023
Any week when you turn a profit is a good week. We went 3-2 last weekend, with an increase of 3.4 units. Penn State pulled a little trickery to get their final touchdown. There was no need to worry about Oklahoma's opponent scoring. They covered the 48 points themselves (they won 50-20).
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks Week 6
by Joey House - 10/6/2023
It never ceases to amaze me how quickly the football season passes. I've written six of these articles, and it seems like it was only yesterday when I was writing about USC vs. Nevada. We took a beating last week, going 1-4 ATS in our picks, as all of the heavy favorites (more than 19 points) we went against found ways to cover. You take your lumps, and you move on.
Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions (Sixth Edition)
by Joey House - 10/5/2023
Welcome to the sixth week of the Public Action Report (PAR), where we identify games that feature reverse line movement and use that information to start handicapping them. PARs are a great way to continue your mid/late week gambling. They highlight when a line moves opposite, or "contrarian", to the money being wagered. This discrepancy can often be a valuable piece of information as it's usually best to fade the public's betting option whenever possible. Remember, Vegas wasn't built on winners.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 6 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Joey House - 10/2/2023
Even though they've lost two in a row, Colorado will once again dominate the conversation as they came back from a second-half deficit of 41-14 and lost 48-41. Maybe the clockkeeper in Boulder didn't get the new rules memo about keeping time, because the Buffalos ran 90 plays and the Trojans 65 of their own. That's not including the combined 13 penalties, either.
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks Week 5
by Joey House - 9/29/2023
Due to technical difficulties, last week's "Fading the Top 25" went unpublished. While the picks wouldn't have been a clean sweep, we would not have suffered a loss, either, as our picks were 2-0-2. We would have won with Arkansas (+18) at No. 13 LSU (34-31 LSU win) and No. 21 Washington State (+3) vs. No. 14 Oregon State (38-35 Wash. St win) and pushed on the Rutgers (+24) at No. 2 Michigan and pushed with #6 Ohio State at #9 Notre Dame (+3).
College Football Totals Picks Week 5: Over or Under Predictions for Friday and Saturday
by Joey House - 9/29/2023
According to an article I found from an extremely reputable source, scoring through the first 5 weeks is down less than one point. The games have averaged 53.8 points per game, versus the 54.7 points per game all of last season. So, while there was some concern that the new clock rules would drastically alter scoring, that doesn't appear to be the case.
College Football Free Picks: Weekly Mid-Major Report and Predictions for Coastal Carolina (Chanticleers vs. Georgia Southern)
by Matt Zitt - 9/28/2023
The Chanticleers head into Saturday’s matchup with a 2-2 record after dropping a dud last week against Georgia State. The Chants never found their footing and trailed in the contest from the beginning of the game. Georgia State had a 17-3 lead at halftime after Coastal’s defense allowed a pair of 75-yard drives and a field goal right before the break. The Panthers were up 27-10 in the fourth quarter when their punter fumbled the snap and Abraham Temoney scooped up the loose ball and stepped two yards into the endzone to cut the deficit to 10 with seven minutes remaining in the game.
Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions (Fifth Edition)
by Joey House - 9/28/2023
Welcome to the fifth week of the Public Action Report (PAR), where we identify games that feature reverse line movement and focus on handicapping them. PARs are a great way to continue your mid/late week gambling. They highlight when a line moves opposite, or "contrarian", to the money being wagered. This discrepancy can often be a valuable piece of information as it's usually best to fade the public's betting option whenever possible.
College Football Free Picks: Weekly Mid-Major Report and Predictions for James Madison Week 5
by Joey House - 9/27/2023
James Madison continued winning in every fashion possible, this time winning a wild 45-38 shootout at Utah State. The Dukes QB Jordan McCloud accounted for all six of the James Madison touchdowns, going 23-34 yards for 364 yards, 4 TDs, and 2 INTs, while chipping in 2 rushing TDs on 9 carries.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 5 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Joey House - 9/25/2023
Welcome to the Doc's Sports NCAA Opening Line Report, where we give you an early look at the upcoming week's important games. I'll analyze the opening line of select games that caught my attention and give a brief analysis of my initial lean. While we didn't win every bet last weekend, we also didn't lose any either, going 2-0-1 ATS.
Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions (Fourth Edition)
by Joey House - 9/21/2023
As I had written earlier in the Opening Line Report, for the first time since September 2006, there are six Top 25 matchups. As luck would have it, one of them qualifies for the PAR system. We will get a chance to observe this system in prime time on Saturday night. Last week's PAR picks were 2-2, splitting in both college and NFL.
College Football Free Picks: Weekly Mid-Major Report and Predictions for James Madison Week 4
by Joey House - 9/20/2023
The Dukes kicked off the Sun Belt portion of their schedule last week with a visit to Troy, Alabama, to take on the Trojans of Troy. While the game wasn't pretty, JMU proved that it could win the low-scoring, hard-fought games. The offense had been the savior for the Dukes the first two games of the season, but the defense that was raved about in the pre-season showed why it garnered so much attention. Troy, the defending Sun Belt champs, threw for an impressive 333 yards and two touchdowns but had their QB sacked six times and had a total of -12 yards rushing.
College Football Free Picks: Weekly Mid-Major Report and Predictions for Coastal Carolina (Chanticleers vs. Georgia State)
by Matt Zitt - 9/19/2023
We finally had a game where we were not sweating the result if you took the spread as I instructed last week. Vegas did not release the spread and total until around noon last Saturday. The opening spread came out at -32 and bounced back and forth from -32 to -33 until kickoff. Fortunately for Chanticleer bettors, the game was never close and Coastal was already covering the spread at halftime.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 4 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Joey House - 9/18/2023
Welcome to the Doc's Sports NCAA Opening Line Report, where we give you an early look at the upcoming week's important games. I'll analyze the opening line of select games that caught my attention and give a brief analysis of my initial lean. We did quite well last week, going 3-1 in our selections.
College Football Totals Picks Week 3: Over or Under Predictions for Saturday
by Joey House - 9/15/2023
Since this season and series are both young, I restate the purpose of this article. Each week I'll list my best over/under (or total) plays and analyze my reason for picking them. Then, using Doc's trusted "Unit Betting System", I give the wagers to place that will hopefully maximize our investment. The standard unit will be $100.
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks Week 3
by Joey House - 9/15/2023
Unlike college football Week 1, there were no earth-shattering upsets in Week 2. Texas gave notice to what the SEC can expect next year, and two lower-ranked teams were bumped out of this week's Top 25. Our selections went 1-1, as Kansas State stayed focused against Troy and covered the 16.5 points. We rebounded, though, with Appalachian State almost winning at North Carolina as a 19-point dog.
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