College Football Handicapping Articles
NCAA Football Betting Predictions: Week 9 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Jason Radowitz - 10/26/2020
The first week of Big Ten football has concluded, and it was an exciting one. Last Friday, we watched Graham Mertz of Wisconsin, in his first collegiate start, dominate Illinois with five touchdowns going 20-of-21 for 248 yards passing. When Saturday rolled around, we had some insane upsets, including Rutgers defeating Michigan State on the road, Purdue beating Iowa without star receiver Rondale Moore and Head Coach Jeff Brohm.
College and NFL Football Biggest Line Moves for Oct. 24-25
by Doug Upstone - 10/23/2020
It’s that time again as we get close to the start of the weekend football action, and here we are again looking at some of the biggest line moves.Honestly, I find line movement fascinating when studying the odds. You have almost a whole week to see why they are moving, trying to understand what football bettors are thinking and what the betting percentages mean.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions: Week 8 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Jason Radowitz - 10/19/2020
The Big Ten is returning to action in college football. It only took until Week 8. The Pac 12 won’t be playing for a couple more weeks. Due to the Big Ten and Pac-12 opting into the season late, we’ve had some extremely weird AP rankings this season. In Week 7 alone, there were five ranked teams that lost, including North Carolina, who lost to Florida State, 31-28, as the fifth best team in the nation.
College and NFL Football Biggest Line Moves for Oct. 17-19
by Doug Upstone - 10/16/2020
We’ve had a couple of great college games this week from the Sun Belt Conference to get the football week started, and now we are looking for more. Your friendly writer/handicapper has studied the complete board and found some rather intriguing line moves to follow this weekend.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions: Week 7 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Jason Radowitz - 10/12/2020
We’ve made fun of the Big 12 for their high-scoring games. The Big 12 was always known for having no defense, while the SEC was the conference where you’d get the top defenses and low-scoring games. 2020 has been different. COVID has absolutely played a role in this as teams weren’t able to prepare as much as they would’ve liked due to different protocols.
College and NFL Football Biggest Line Moves for Oct. 10-11
by Doug Upstone - 10/9/2020
With all the teams in college and pro football starting to have a track record of games for which we can start formulating stronger opinions, we can hopefully better understand various line moves that occur. Having reviewed the entire football board, I have uncovered three college and three pro football contests that have seen significant line moves. The intent is to explain what has happened, why if possible, and what might be the right direction for making football picks. Let’s get rolling!
College and NFL Football Biggest Line Moves for Sept. 12-13
by Doug Upstone - 9/11/2020
Football is back! And like you, we couldn’t be happier. This week we begin taking a look at the biggest line moves in football. We will share our knowledge about how or why they occurred and offer free picks along with public betting trends on each contest. Please take a look and see if you agree or disagree and let’s have fun.
Potential College Football Start Options During Covid-19 Pandemic
by Doug Upstone - 4/14/2020
As we wait for information about when all our favorite sports will resume, one sport is thinking WAY out of the box. At this time, we know very little about when and if the major sports will return. There is mostly speculation. And until there is more movement to understand when people can go back to work and how the entire coronavirus process shakes out, all anyone can do is make various contingency plans.
National Championship Game Picks for Clemson vs. LSU
by Trevor Whenham - 1/10/2020
The ownership of the nickname Tigers is on the line. Or at least it should be. The loser should have to go by the Kittens going forward. But sports aren't quite that cool. Having two teams named the Tigers side by side in this game is going to lead both to some confusion and to some truly horrible puns during the broadcast. But we can get past that because this is one heck of a showdown between teams.
Strong Underdogs for Bowl Game Betting: Possible Moneyline Paydays
by Trevor Whenham - 12/10/2019
There is a while yet until bowl season gets rolling and a long time until the whole slate of games will be done with. We have lots of time to dissect the games from all sorts of angles. At this point, though, we're interested in first instincts. When I looked over the games after they were set, and the first numbers assigned by the oddsmakers, five games stood out above the rest as particularly interesting because they have live bowl underdogs.
Expert College Bowl Game Handicapping: Coaching Uncertainty
by Trevor Whenham - 12/10/2019
There are so many great things about college football - too many to count. But there are some really stupid things as well. Among the more stupid things is the timing of coaching changes. Coaches who are in demand get poached between the regular season and a bowl game. Too often, the reward a low or mid-tier program gets for having serious success is that they lose their coach before their bowl game. And higher-tier schools can lose a key coordinator before their bowl appearance.
NCAA Bowl Game Wagering: Toughest Games to Handicap
by Trevor Whenham - 12/10/2019
There are some bowls games that you have a strong sense of how they will turn out as soon as the pairing is announced. It just feels obvious. You hardly even need to handicap them. These six games here are certainly not like that. In chronological order, here as the six toughest bowl games to handicap on the board this year from where I am sitting:
College Bowl Game Betting Advice: Biggest Mismatches
by Trevor Whenham - 12/10/2019
A lot of bowl games are tight, hard-fought battles. When you have to put together this many games, though, you are inevitably going to find some that are less competitive than we might dream of. There were six games on the slate this year that opened with a double-digit favorite. Our job here is simple - to look at the biggest bowl mismatches on the board and to see where the value might be. Interestingly, it's not all with the favorites despite their clear advantages.
NCAA Football Betting Odds: Championship Week Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Chris Vasile - 12/6/2019
Ladies and gentlemen, after 14 longs weeks of grueling and exciting college football, we've reached what matters (second) most; Championship Weekend. There are 20 teams with a chance to win their respective conference title. And for a handful of them, (six) this game is the last obstacle they must overcome if they want to be playing in the College Football Playoff at the end of December.
SEC Championship Game Picks: Georgia vs. LSU
by Trevor Whenham - 12/5/2019
At this point, it's not about whether the SEC is going to have a playoff team. That's a stone-cold lock. It's about whether they can have two. And that comes down to Georgia in this game. If LSU wins, then they are in as a top two seed, and Georgia is out. But if Georgia wins, then they would be in, and LSU would be very tough to exclude as a one-loss team with a quality schedule and a lot of style points amassed along the way.
Big Ten Championship Game Picks: Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
by Trevor Whenham - 12/5/2019
There isn't a whole lot of drama here. If Ohio state wins this game, then they are in the playoff - and likely as no worse than the second seed. And, if they lose this game… they are very likely still in the playoff, though as a lower seed. Given their dominance to this point, and the quality wins they have, it is quite unlikely that a one-loss Ohio State team would be passed by a one-loss Utah, Oklahoma or Baylor team. If they were to get absolutely humiliated by Wisconsin, and one of the other teams were to win in very dominant fashion, things might get a little tense, but Ohio State fans don't need to spend too much time worrying this week.
Big 12 Championship Game Picks: Baylor vs. Oklahoma
by Trevor Whenham - 12/5/2019
All you need is a chance, and both teams have one. But it's not a very good chance in either case - and much worse for Baylor than Oklahoma. Both teams need to win here in dominant fashion, but that is only a small part of the picture. They also need Utah to lose, or at least to not look very good in winning, because the Utes are currently ranked above both Big 12 squads. If that happens, they still need a playoff spot to open up. If Clemson, Ohio State and Georgia all win their conference championship games, then the Big 12 champ is likely out of luck no matter how well they play.
ACC Championship Game Picks for Clemson vs. Virginia
by Trevor Whenham - 12/5/2019
The story here is pretty straightforward. If Clemson wins this game, which they absolutely should, they will make the playoff as an undefeated conference champion. If they find a way to lose this game, though, it is very unlikely that they will be a playoff team. Their schedule has been very soft - partly the result of their very weak conference and partly due to their weak nonconference schedule. They would be measured up against other potential one-loss teams, and it wouldn't likely be flattering.
College Football Betting Advice: Wagering on Championship Week Games
by Trevor Whenham - 12/5/2019
When it comes to the keys to betting conference title games in college football, we can all figure out the basics. Which team is more talented? Which team is in better recent form? How do the coaches match up? Is the neutral site really neutral, or does geography or familiarity give one team the edge? How do the teams stack up in terms of big game experience? What are the big public biases in the game, and how accurate are they?
Pac 12 Championship Game Picks: Oregon vs. Utah
by Trevor Whenham - 12/5/2019
The Utes have a solid chance of making it into the playoff, but they don't control their own destiny. They got the fifth spot in the last playoff ranking ahead of Oklahoma, which certainly makes things easier. But they still need a break. Their game is up first of the five major conference championships, so their first job is to win against Oregon and to score some style points in the effort. If they lose, they are out. If they win, though, they still need a spot in the top four to open up.
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