Free Super Bowl Picks for 2023 Side ATS and Over Under
The NFL season is nearly complete, and the Super Bowl is rapidly approaching to crown the season’s winner. With Super Bowl parties set to ensue and kick off one of the most popular gambling days of the year, it is important to do all the necessary research to give yourself the edge. Last year’s Super Bowl set the record for most money gambled ever in a single day, as 31.4 million people placed a bet, totaling around $7.61 billion in wagers. The growth of online betting has made things more accessible than ever, and you can find ways to bet on just about everything through the emergence of prop bets, player parlays, and more. However, there is nothing more tried and true than the game result and over/under spread, which is the most surefire way to get involved.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
The Case for the Eagles
When the Philadelphia Eagles have been healthy this year, there has not been a better team in the NFL. The team went 14-1 during the regular season with Jalen Hurts under center and cruised through both games in the playoffs with a combined margin of victory of 69-14. While the talent around him is often used to diminish his ability, Hurts is at the epicenter of the Eagles' offense, with his legs and arm both crucial to opening things up. Philadelphia’s 28.1 points per game ranked 3rd in the NFL, and they also were third in yards tallied and fourth in third down conversion rate. AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, and Miles Sanders provide Hurts with plenty of weapons around him, and there are simply too many ways to do damage for the Kansas City defense to put a focus on any individual player.
Defensively, the Eagles have been arguably even more impressive this season. Philadelphia led the league in sacks this year with 70 total and became the first team in NFL history to have four players with 10 or more sacks. They were 8th in points allowed on the season, second in yards allowed, and allowed the fewest passing yards of any team in the NFL. They have held opponents to seven points in each of their playoff matchups thus far. Philadelphia has a complete unit, which is rare at this point in the season, and will have all 22 starters ready to suit up heading into the Super Bowl.
The Case for the Chiefs
If there is any team that can challenge the Philadelphia defense, it is Kansas City’s dynamic offense. Led by Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs led the NFL in scoring this season at 29.2 points per game. They also ranked first in yards, first downs, and scoring percentage per drive. The absence of Tyreek Hill has not been as notable as many expected, and the team has continued to produce despite the slew of injuries on the offensive end. Andy Reid continues to showcase why he is one of the most creative offensive minds of all time, and Travis Kelce will be a matchup circled, as the coverage linebackers may be the one weak point in the Philadelphia defense. Kelce tallied 110 receptions for 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns during the regular season as well as 21 receptions through the past two playoff games.
Kansas City has also flashed on the defensive side of the ball. They are second in the NFL in sacks on the season, trailing only the Eagles, and were 16th in points allowed. Their bend-but-not-break mentality has had success, and keeping the ball in Mahomes' hands, has been the key. The biggest question will be his injury status after sustaining a high ankle sprain during the divisional round against the Jaguars. He had enough in the tank to pick up the win over the Bengals, managing to look mobile enough to lead the team on a game-winning drive, but he was notably in pain at times. The extra week off will be an aid, but he still surely will not be 100%.
This is sure to be a thrilling matchup that will go down to the wire. However, the injuries to the Chiefs and the completeness of the Eagles' roster will be the difference. Expect Jalen Hurts’ mobility to cause some issues for Kansas City’s defense and for this to open up everything else in the offense. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs will have a difficult time stopping the Eagles' pass rush. Expect Haason Redick to change the game with his ability to get off the edge and hunt down Mahomes. He is a dark horse Super Bowl MVP candidate and will be vital to stopping Mahomes’ adlib style of play.
As great as the Eagles’ defense is, it is impossible to fully slow the Chiefs' offense down. Expect this game to become a bit of a shootout but for Philadelphia to be ready to answer the call. They have tallied 31 and 38 points during the past two playoff games, including against the impressive 49ers defense in the Conference Championships. Philadelphia’s relatively easy path through the playoffs has been critiqued, but this cannot be applied to their on-field performance. They have done their job against every matchup, and the Super Bowl will be the next task. Expect a great game that is up for grabs for a while, but for the Eagles to get the upper hand and for Philadelphia to secure their second Super Bowl in the past six seasons. 31-27 Eagles.
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