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2024-25 Phoenix Suns Predictions and Odds to Win NBA Finals

by Spencer Toth - 10/14/2024

Phoenix Suns predictions Kevin Durant

When the Phoenix Suns signed Kevin Durant two years ago, they were expected to make several deep playoff runs with their star-studded lineup. Two years removed, the Suns have won just a single playoff series. They were swept by the Timberwolves last year. However, there is still substantial belief that Phoenix can go all the way this season. Will it be another disappointing year in the desert, or will the Suns finally put it all together and bring home the franchise’s elusive first championship ring?

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Phoenix Suns Offseason Recap

The Suns were relatively happy with their starting lineup heading into the offseason but were fully aware their bench needed an overhaul. They let go of Eric Gordon and Drew Eubanks, both of whom logged 15+ minutes per game for the Suns last year. Eubanks never really developed into the player the Suns were hoping for, and a 35-year-old Gordon is fading into retirement. 

Phoenix made some savvy moves over the summer, picking up quality role players at discounted prices. Tyus Jones spent last season with the lowly Wizards and showed enough promise for the Suns to hand him the starting point guard role. Jones scored only 12 PPG last season, but his 7.3 assists per game and 41.4% 3-point percentage make him the perfect player to slot in next to Devin Booker and Durant. Jones will be able to set up his teammates and will help the Suns prevent the countless turnovers that cost them games last year. His 7.35 assist-to-turnover ratio led the league, as Jones cherishes the basketball on the offensive end. 

The other relevant addition the Suns picked up was Mason Plumlee. Plumlee has been battling injuries in recent years and is the perfect man to back up Jussuf Nurkic. Plumlee is an absolute rebound vacuum and is very efficient inside. His ability to command the paint will allow the Suns shooters to stay behind the arc for the three-point threat. 

Phoenix Suns Season Expectations

The Suns are expected to challenge for an NBA title, end of story. Kevin Durant has proven that age is just a number, as he has remained incredibly efficient at 36 years old. If it were not for LeBron’s incredible longevity, Durant would be getting heaps of praise for his work at his age. Durant and Booker have the potential to form a lethal duo, as they both scored 27.1 PPG last season. The fact a team with the 5th and 6th best scorers couldn’t win a playoff game is frankly embarrassing. Their defense wasn’t woeful, but their inability to generate turnovers, combined with their tendency to turn the ball over themselves, shot them in the foot too many times. 

Durant will steal the spotlight in Phoenix, but the responsibility really falls on the shoulders of Devin Booker. Booker is in the prime of his career and has all the support needed to win games if he is the superstar he claims to be. Booker’s stats are respectable, but he hasn’t been able to take the leap the league expected after his promising seasons early in his career. If Booker doesn’t get better this year, the Suns will remain in their 4th-7th seed purgatory in the Western Conference. 

Phoenix Suns Schedule Breakdown

The Suns open up the year with a pair of games in Los Angeles against the Clippers and Lakers. A bulk of the Suns road games happen in one stretch, as they have a 6-week stretch with a 5-game, 4-game, and another 5-game road trip. They are consequently rewarded with a soft end of season schedule, with 9 of their final 14 games at home. 

Phoenix Suns Odds

The Suns have the 9th best NBA title odds at +3000. It’s surprising to see a team with only -210 odds to make the playoffs, and a relatively low 47.5 win total, being given such a high chance of lifting the league’s most prized possession. There is no doubt the Suns have the superstars needed to make a deep run, but these expectations are not based on what the Suns have done in recent seasons. Durant and Booker haven’t been able to take the next step, and it’s not like their roster has seen a major overhaul. Phoenix is looking to run it back with the same formula and is now expecting different results. 

In the NBA Cup, the Suns find themselves in a winnable group featuring the Thunder, Lakers, Spurs and Jazz. Phoenix is +250 to win the group, but a road game against the Thunder will be a tough one to win. 

2024-25 Phoenix Suns Season Predictions and Best Bets

Phoenix hasn’t been able to live up to preseason expectations in the past, and I don’t see a reason to suddenly buy into them this year. Durant’s age will eventually catch up to him, and the often-injured superstar is unlikely to suit up for 60+ games this season. Booker will continue to help the team. However, when Bradley Beal fades into irrelevancy, the Suns will fall short. I expect the Suns to qualify for the postseason with a 45-37 record, falling just short of their 47.5 win total. In the postseason, they will probably do better than the first round sweep they suffered last year. However, anything more than a second-round exit would be quite the shock. There isn’t enough upside on the Suns to suddenly expect everything to click, and I will be taking their Unders whenever I get the chance. 

Top Pick: Phoenix Suns Under 47.5 Wins

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