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2022 Super Bowl MVP Odds and Predictions

by Devon Rymarchuk - 2/8/2022

Super Bowl MVP odds and predictions Aaron Donald Los Angeles Rams

As Super Bowl LVI is quickly approaching, the excitement continues to escalate. One of the most exciting wagers a fan or avid bettor can make this coming Sunday is on the Super Bowl MVP. Yes, I know what you are thinking, the easy pick is taking the quarterback for the winning team. The stats do not lie; quarterbacks have won MVP 31 times in its 55-year history. Running backs and wide receivers are tied for second all-time with seven each. It was only five years ago linebacker Von Miller for the Denver Broncos absolutely dominated Super Bowl L and won MVP.

With the star power in this game on both the defensive and offensive sides of the football, I do not believe there has been a harder year to pick MVP. Of the Top 10 candidates for MVP, when looking at their track records as players, there is a solid argument that all of the Top 10 can be the most dominant player in their position any given Sunday. It is not often a team has X-factors like Jalen Ramsey, Von Miller and Aaron Donald all on one defensive corps. It also is not often you have the two top statistical wide receivers in football playing in the same game, and that doesn’t include the ultra-talented Odell Beckham Jr. There is even a case to be made for Bengals kicker Evan McPherson, who has become famous this playoff run for his quote before hitting the game winner against the Tennessee Titans, saying, “Looks like we’re going to the AFC Championship” to teammate Joe Burrow. He also has tied the record for most consecutive field goals made in a playoff history with six. Six percent of bettors have chosen McPherson to win MVP, and that ranks fifth most in the polls. Let’s take a deeper look at your top six odds going into Super Bowl LVI.

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Matthew Stafford (+120)

Pick % 5

Stafford is the obvious favorite; the quarterback for the favored team. And it’s not just that -- Stafford has been no slouch in the playoffs this year. Stafford is the first player in Rams history to throw two (or more) touchdown passes in each of three consecutive games in one postseason. No Rams player has ever thrown two or more TD passes in each of four consecutive postseason games, including streaks that spanned over different seasons. It’s obvious the public is finding value elsewhere with only 5 percent of the public betting on Stafford for MVP.

Joe Burrow (+225)

Pick % 30

Has there been a player in recent history that has overcome the odds more then Joe Burrow? From dramatic comebacks to record breaking games, Burrow has shown every reason why he is capable of winning MVP at Super Bowl LVI. It’s pretty obvious Burrow has to be lights out to beat the Rams Sunday. I believe the excitement of Burrow doing the unthinkable this season is why 30% of the money betted for MVP is on Burrow. An MVP for Burrow would make him the third youngest Super Bowl MVP in history, putting him only behind Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady, who both accomplished that before the age of 25. That is pretty good company to be in.

Cooper Kupp (+550)

Pick % 13

Matthew Stafford’s favorite target all season has been Cooper Kupp. Kupp completed the “triple crown” for receiver statistics this season, ranking first in receptions, yards and touchdowns. Coming off of one of the most statistically dominant seasons in NFL season, Kupp already has four touchdowns in three games during the playoffs this year.

Aaron Donald (+900)

Pick % 18

Winner of the NFL’s defensive player of the year award three of the past four years, Donald will be determined to capture the Lombardi Trophy. Donald is one of the most dominant defenders of his generation and will be facing a Bengals offensive line that gave up a league high 63 sacks this past season. Donald will look to add to the short list of 10 other defenders who have won Super Bowl MVP, including his teammate Von Miller.

Ja’Marr Chase (+1600)

Pick % 7

Ja’Marr Chase hit the NFL by storm and has not slowed down. No rookie has ever won Super Bowl MVP, but Chase is not an ordinary rookie. He had two 200-yard games this season, something no rookie has ever done before. With his ability to make big plays and knack for his yards after catch, one play by Chase could completely change the game and render him MVP

Odell Beckham Jr. (+2800)

Pick % 6

To think at the beginning of the year that we would be having a conversation about Odell Beckham Jr. winning Super Bowl MVP and many would have laughed. Beckham Jr. before last week had not registered a 100-yard receiving game in nearly two and a half years. It is safe to say the Rams have been an excellent fit for Beckham Jr. and he continues to look more confident in the offense each week he steps on the field. His talent is undeniable. And with the focus being on Kupp, it could be Odell’s time to cement his name in an elite class.

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