2023 Super Bowl MVP Odds and Predictions

by Sean Barnard - 2/2/2023

The Super Bowl is inching closer, as the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will gather to put the exclamation point on this NFL season. While all 53 members of the team will play a role in attempting to get the win, there will be only one player that takes home the highest honor of Super Bowl MVP. Quarterbacks typically have the inside track at this award and have taken home MVP in 31 of the 56 Super Bowls. However, Rams’ wide receiver Cooper Kupp took home the honor last year, and a non-quarterback has been named MVP in three of the last nine years. With an injured Patrick Mahomes and the well-rounded nature of the Eagles' offense opening the door for some potential value plays, here is a look at the top MVP candidates (odds via DraftKings).

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Super Bowl MVP props predictions Haason Reddick Philadelphia Eagles

The Quarterbacks:

Jalen Hurts (+120)

There were questions regarding Jalen Hurts’ injury status coming into the playoffs, but he has answered this call so far. While the path to the Super Bowl has not been the most difficult, Hurts has made the throws he needed to and shown signs of being the player he was to start the year. He is the epicenter of the Eagles' offense, with his legs and goal-line presence extremely necessary. Hurts’ 13 regular season rushing touchdowns led the Eagles, and he has added a pair on the ground in the postseason as well. He also has gone a long way to proving he has an NFL-caliber arm this season and this will surely be tested on the biggest stage. Hurts has answered every call this season and has not given any reason to believe this won’t continue. If the Eagles notch their second Super Bowl victory, Hurts is in the driver's seat to bring home the MVP and secure himself a rich long-term extension.

Patrick Mahomes (+130)

Patrick Mahomes is no stranger to Super Bowl MVPs, as he took home this prestigious honor in 2020 when Kansas City secured the victory over the San Francisco 49ers. The high ankle sprain he sustained during the Divisional Round is still clearly bothering him, but this did not stop Mahomes from leading the Chiefs to a game-winning drive against the Bengals in which he was not afraid to take off on the ground. While he may not showcase his traditional backyard style of adlib play, Mahomes has the arm, IQ, and ability to lead the Chiefs to victory and take home the individual accolade. The battle between Mahomes being the best player on the field and the Eagles being the more complete overall team points toward the MVP coming his way if the outcome allows.

Top Targets:

Travis Kelce (+1000)

If there is one positional player who may have the best chance at taking the spotlight, it is Travis Kelce. He led the Chiefs in receiving during the regular season with 1,338 yards and had an impressive 14 receptions during Kansas City’s victory over the Jaguars. He is a key part of Andy Reid’s playbook and could come even more into play depending on Mahomes' mobility level. Kelce has three touchdowns in the two playoff games so far and recorded 12 during the regular season. If the Eagles' defense does have a weakness, it is within their cover linebackers, and Kelce is versatile enough to exploit this. With the added fuel of playing against his brother sure to be on his mind, a big day from Kelce could be enough to get the job done.

AJ Brown (+1000)

AJ Brown has been a welcomed addition to the Eagles' offense and changed the overall outlook, but at times is more impactful beyond the stat sheet than in the box score. The constant threat he presents demands attention from the opposing defenses, and he has the talent when his opportunity does arise. Brown led Philadelphia in receiving this year with 88 receptions for 1,496 yards and 11 touchdowns. However, he has yet to eclipse 30 yards in either of the playoff games, recording a total of seven receptions for 50 yards, and he has been held out of the end zone. While Brown seems due for an improved game, the Eagles' offense has too much talent for him to have enough statistical success worthy of MVP.

Longshot Play:

Haason Reddick (+3500)

Of the 25 non-quarterbacks that have won MVP, 10 of these have been defensive players. At the top of the list for defensive players most likely in this Super Bowl matchup is Haason Reddick. After signing in Philadelphia this offseason, he has been a perfect fit for the defensive scheme and has once again proven himself as one of the top pass rushers in the NFL. He was second in the NFL in sacks this season with 16 and has carried this into the playoffs.

Reddick looked like a man on a mission against the 49ers, against whom he tallied two sacks, including his first one where he forced the fumble on the play in which Brock Purdy was injured. His combination of speed and desire to hunt the quarterback makes him dangerous, and the Eagles allow him to rush on nearly an every-down basis. His knack for making game-changing plays gives him a real chance at this award. And if the stars align, Reddick could end up on the podium. In all likelihood, this will come down to a battle of the quarterbacks for the award, but Reddick is a name worth sprinkling a light wager on.

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Start:	October 1, 2023 @ 4:25 PM
Expert:	Doug Upstone
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2023 Super Bowl MVP Odds and Predictions

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