2012 Super Bowl Totals Betting Trends
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 2/2/2012
Heading into the 46th edition of the Super Bowl, the 'over' and 'under' are deadlocked at 22-22. There was no total for Super Bowl I. Even though the totals are split at 22 all, there are still some interesting Super Bowl totals betting trends to look at.
Five of the last seven Super Bowls have gone under the total.
Super Bowl XLVI marks the eighth Super Bowl to have a total of 50 or more points. The current total is at 53 at most sportsbooks. Super Bowls with a total higher than 50 have gone 'under' four out of seven times games.
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Super Bowl XLII between these same teams had a total of 54, but the under was never in doubt as the offenses struggled and the Giants pulled out the 17-14 shocker over the Patriots.
Playing the game in Lucas Oil Stadium means the Super Bowl will be under a dome for the 15th time. The under is 8-6 in the previous 14 domed Super Bowls
Last year's Super Bowl XLV was played in Cowboys Stadium, a dome, and the Packers and Steelers combined for 56 points to go over' the total of 46. No two Super Bowls have gone over back-to-back since Super Bowl XXXVII and Super Bowl XXXVIII.
With the Patriots favored by three, Super Bowl XLVI will be the 10th Super Bowl with a Super Bowl point spread of three points or less. The under is 5-4 in Super Bowls with a point spread of three points of less.
Perhaps the most telling Super Bowl total betting trend is looking at the regular season meeting. Super Bowl XLVI represents the 13th occasion when the Super Bowl was a rematch of a regular season meeting. These same Giants and Patriots met in Super Bowl XLII after having played in Week 17. This year the Giants and Patriots met in Week 9. The nine-point underdog Giants won, 24-20, at New England and the game stayed under the total of 51.
That could be a telling sign because of the 12 Super Bowls that were rematches of regular season meetings, the result of the total in the regular season, remained the same for the Super Bowl eight times. Even more specific, the seven regular season meetings that stayed under also remained under in the Super Bowl.
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