Kelvin Gastelum vs Daniel Rodriguez Pick, 6/22/2024 Predictions UFC Saudi Arabia Odds

Kelvin Gastelum vs Daniel Rodriguez

UFC Saudi Arabia

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 22, 2024

Kelvin Gastelum will battle Daniel Rodriguez at UFC Saudi Arabia on Saturday, June 22, 2024. The opening line has Gastelum at -250 while Rodriguez is priced at +205.

Kelvin Gastelum has a career mark of 18-9-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 71". Daniel "D-Rod" Rodriguez measures in at 6'1" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a record of 17-4-0. The 37-year-old reaches 74". In terms of significant strikes, Kelvin Gastelum is landing 3.55 per min and Daniel Rodriguez is connecting on 7.30 significant strikes per min. Gastelum lands 41% of the significant strikes he attempts while Rodriguez is landing 50%. Regarding defense, Gastelum takes 3.23 significant strikes per min while "D-Rod" allows 5.28. Gastelum also deflects 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Rodriguez is able to stop 56% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning wrestling, Kelvin Gastelum is the better wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.96 times per 3 rds. Gastelum is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his attempts and stopping 59% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Rodriguez is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the submission, Gastelum is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Rodriguez goes for 0.1 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Kelvin Gastelum went up against Sean Brady and ended up losing the fight by a kimura from side control in round 3. Brady landed 97 of 130 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Gastelum walked away from this fight having landed 21 of 35 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Brady landed 14 of 24, which means his percentage was 58%. He ended up landing 8 of 16 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Gastelum landed 56% of his significant strikes by connecting on 18 of 32. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 7 of 19 to the head. 50% of the significant strikes connected on by Brady and 72% of them connected on by Gastelum were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Daniel Rodriguez, he squared up with Ian Machado Garry and wound up taking the loss by a kick to the head in round 1. Garry ended up connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Rodriguez ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Rodriguez connected on 28% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 7 of 25. He landed 2 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. Garry connected on 23 of 46 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 19 of 42 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Garry landed 23 of 46 while Rodriguez ended up connecting on 7 of 25 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Johnny Walker encounters Volkan Oezdemir. Walker looks to add a win to his record of 21-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 82". Oezdemir measures in at 6'2" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 19-7-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 75". When it comes to grappling, Johnny Walker is able to score a takedown 0.46 times per 15 minutes and Volkan Oezdemir gets a takedown 0.57 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Walker connects for an average of 3.81 strikes per min and lands 53% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Volkan Oezdemir, who lands 47% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 4.59 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Jared Gordon is set to go up against Nasrat Haqparast. Haqparast comes into this bout holding a record of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Gordon stands 5'9" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 20-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old reaches 68". In the category of takedowns, Nasrat Haqparast is able to defend against 78% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 20% of his attempts. Gordon is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the attempts he tries and defends against 62% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Haqparast is taking 5.25 strikes/minute while he dishes out 5.78 strikes/minute. Gordon, moreover, is taking 3.40 strikes per min and is dishing out 5.39 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kelvin Gastelum (-250)

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