Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Mohammed Usman Pick, 06/21/2025 Predictions UFC Baku Odds
Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Mohammed Usman
UFC Baku
Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan
Saturday, June 21, 2025
Hamdy Abdelwahab will face off with Mohammed Usman at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 21, 2025. The opening odds have Abdelwahab coming in at -175 while Usman is priced at +145.
Hamdy "The Hammer" Abdelwahab holds a record of 6-0-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is weighing in at 264 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Mohammed "The Motor" Usman comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 239 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 11-4-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 79". In terms of significant strikes, Hamdy Abdelwahab is connecting on 3.40 per min and Mohammed Usman connects on 3.41 significant strikes per minute. Abdelwahab is landing 51% of the significant strikes he attempts and Usman is landing 36%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Hammer" allows 3.87 significant strikes per minute and "The Motor" absorbs 4.41. Abdelwahab also prevents 51% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Usman is able to defend against 50% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Baku | Hamdy Abdelwahab | Mohammed Usman |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -175 | +145 |
| Record | 6-0-0 (1 NC) | 11-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 13:07 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 264 lbs | 239 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.40 | 3.41 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 36% |
When it comes to grappling, Hamdy Abdelwahab is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 2.00 times per 3 rounds. Abdelwahab is getting his opponent to the mat on 100% of the times he tries and thwarting 100% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Usman is taking his opponents down on 17% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 60% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Abdelwahab is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Usman looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Hamdy Abdelwahab fought Jamal Pogues and ended up getting the victory in the fight via split decision in round 3. Pogues landed 69 of 123 total strikes attempted in that fight. Abdelwahab ended the night having landed 52 of 103 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pogues ended up landing 69 of 123, which means his percentage was 56%. He ended up landing 43 of 94 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Abdelwahab landed 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 44 of 87. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 25 of 65 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Pogues and 90% of them connected on by Abdelwahab were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Mohammed Usman, he faced off with Thomas Petersen and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Petersen ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Usman landed 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Usman ended up connecting on 34% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 63 of 185. He connected on 44 of 151 significant strikes aimed at the head. Petersen ended up landing 76 of 138 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 58 of 117 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Petersen connected on 98 of 164 and Usman ended up landing 63 of 185 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Daria Zhelezniakova takes on Melissa Mullins. Zhelezniakova will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 68". Mullins measures 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 7-1-0. The 33-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to grappling, Daria Zhelezniakova gets a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rounds and Melissa Mullins takes her opponents to the canvas 1.53 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Zhelezniakova lands 3.29 strikes per minute and connecting on 38% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Melissa Mullins, who is landing 56% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 3.43 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Klaudia Sygula is set to square up in the Octagon with Irina Alekseeva. Alekseeva steps into the cage holding a mark of 5-2-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Sygula measures in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 6-2-0. The 26-year-old stretches 69". Concerning grappling, Irina Alekseeva defends against 100% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 20% of her tries. Sygula is taking her opponents to the mat on 10% of the attempts she tries and stops 33% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Alekseeva absorbs 3.55 strikes per min while she lands 3.84 strikes/minute. Sygula, notwithstanding, is absorbing 6.00 strikes/minute and deals 1.89 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Hamdy Abdelwahab (-175)
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