Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley Pick, 06/14/2025 Predictions UFC Atlanta Odds

Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley

UFC Atlanta

State Farm Arena in Atlanta

Saturday, June 14, 2025

Kamaru Usman will enter the Octagon against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Atlanta on Saturday, June 14, 2025. The opening odds have Usman coming in at +210 while Buckley is at -258.

Kamaru "The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman comes into this fight holding a mark of 20-4-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The switch fighter stretches 76". Joaquin "New Mansa" Buckley comes in at 5'10" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 21-6-0. The 31-year-old stretches 76". Regarding significant strikes, Kamaru Usman is connecting on 4.36 per min while Joaquin Buckley is connecting on 4.22 significant strikes per minute. Usman lands 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Buckley is landing 37%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Nigerian Nightmare" allows 2.74 significant strikes per min and "New Mansa" allows 3.13. Usman also defends against 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Buckley is able to stop 59% of them.

In terms of wrestling, Kamaru Usman is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 2.82 times per 3 rounds. Usman is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his tries and stuffing 89% of the tries against him. Buckley is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his takedown tries and is defending 73% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Usman is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.1 finishes per 3 rds while Buckley tries 0.6 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Kamaru Usman went up against Khamzat Chimaev and wound up taking the loss by majority decision in round 3. Chimaev landed 107 of 143 total strikes that he let go. Usman finished this fight landing 58 of 92 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Chimaev ended up landing 38 of 70, giving him a percentage of 54%. He landed 27 of 53 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Usman ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by landing 36 of 66. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 27 of 52 pointed at the head. 57% of the significant strikes connected on by Chimaev and 91% of them connected on by Usman were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Joaquin Buckley, he faced off with Colby Covington and wound up getting the win via TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 3. Covington connected on 89% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Buckley ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Buckley connected on 49% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 75 of 151. He landed 59 of 131 significant strikes to the head. Covington ended up landing 37 of 124 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 26 of 108 aimed at the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Covington landed 71 of 161 while Buckley was 81 of 160 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Edmen Shahbazyan squares up with Andre Petroski. Shahbazyan comes into this bout with a record of 14-5-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Petroski measures 6'0" and weighs 185 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-4-0. The 33-year-old reaches 73". In the grappling category, Edmen Shahbazyan takes his opponents to the mat 1.97 times per 15 minutes and Andre Petroski is averaging a takedown 3.38 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Shahbazyan lands an average of 3.78 strikes per minute and is connecting on 50% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Andre Petroski, who lands 50% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 2.89 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Raoni Barcelos is set to battle Cody Garbrandt. Garbrandt will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 14-6-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 65". Barcelos stands 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 19-5-0. The 38-year-old reaches 67". When it comes to takedowns, Cody Garbrandt is thwarting 80% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his tries. Barcelos is finishing his takedowns on 37% of his attempts and thwarts 82% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Garbrandt is taking 3.76 strikes per minute while he connects on 2.98 strikes per min. Barcelos, in contrast, is absorbing 4.64 strikes/minute and connects on 5.11 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kamaru Usman (+210)

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