Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho Pick, 06/14/2025 Predictions UFC Atlanta Odds

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho

UFC Atlanta

State Farm Arena in Atlanta

Saturday, June 14, 2025

Malcolm Wellmaker will face off with Kris Moutinho at UFC Atlanta on Saturday, June 14, 2025. The line has Wellmaker coming in at -1450 while Moutinho is coming in at +850.

Malcolm "The Machine" Wellmaker steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 71". Kris Moutinho measures in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 14-6-0. The 32-year-old stretches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Malcolm Wellmaker is connecting on 5.82 per minute while Kris Moutinho is landing 4.86 significant strikes per min. Wellmaker is connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he throws while Moutinho connects on 32%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Machine" absorbs 6.27 significant strikes per minute and Moutinho allows 15.48. Wellmaker also stops 53% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Moutinho curbs 28% of them.

Regarding takedowns, Malcolm Wellmaker is the more competent wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rds. Wellmaker is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of the times he tries and stopping 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Moutinho is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 10% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Wellmaker is the more able fighter by trying 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Moutinho tries 0.3 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Malcolm Wellmaker went up against Cameron Saaiman and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Saaiman ended up landing 9 of 18 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Wellmaker finished this fight landing 6 of 12 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Saaiman landed 9 of 18, giving him a percentage of 50%. He finished the fight landing 1 of 9 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Wellmaker landed 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 6 of 12. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 1 of 6 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Saaiman and 100% of them connected on by Wellmaker were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kris Moutinho, he went up against Guido Cannetti and ended up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Cannetti connected on 75% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Moutinho ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Moutinho landed 36% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 11 of 30. He ended up landing 8 of 24 significant strikes to the head. Cannetti ended up connecting on 28 of 44 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 18 of 31 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Cannetti ended up connecting on 28 of 44 while Moutinho landed 11 of 30 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cody Durden fights Jose Ochoa. Durden looks to add a win to his total of 17-7-1. The 34-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Ochoa stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 7-1-0 (1 NC). The 24-year-old stretches 67". Regarding grappling, Cody Durden is averaging a takedown 4.06 times per 15 minutes and Jose Ochoa takes his opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Durden connects on 3.52 strikes per minute and connecting on 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Jose Ochoa, who lands 31% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 3.33 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Charles Jourdain is set to fight Ricky Simon. Simon steps into the Octagon holding a record of 21-6-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Jourdain stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 16-8-1. The 29-year-old stretches 69". Regarding wrestling, Ricky Simon curbs 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 44% of the times he tries. Jourdain is taking his opponents to the mat on 21% of his attempts and is able to stop 47% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Simon is taking 3.87 strikes/minute and he dishes out 2.98 strikes per minute. Jourdain, on the other side, takes 4.27 strikes per min and is landing 5.43 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kris Moutinho (+850)

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