Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee Pick, 06/14/2025 Predictions UFC Atlanta Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/11/2025

Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee

UFC Atlanta

State Farm Arena in Atlanta

Saturday, June 14, 2025

Michael Chiesa will face off against Court McGee at UFC Atlanta on Saturday, June 14, 2025. The opening line has Chiesa at -360 while McGee is coming in at +285.

Michael "Maverick" Chiesa steps into the cage holding a record of 18-7-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Court "The Crusher" McGee stands 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 23-13-0. The 40-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Concerning significant strikes, Michael Chiesa connects on 1.81 per minute and Court McGee is connecting on 4.60 significant strikes per min. Chiesa lands 39% of the significant strikes he attempts while McGee is connecting on 37%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Maverick" allows 1.66 significant strikes per min while "The Crusher" takes 3.59. Chiesa also prevents 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and McGee prevents 61% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Michael Chiesa ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Atlanta	Michael Chiesa	Court McGee
Opening Odds	-360	+285
Record	18-7-0	23-13-0
Average Fight Time	9:20	12:32
Height	6'1"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.81	4.60
Striking Accuracy	39%	37%

Regarding takedowns, Michael Chiesa is the more apt wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 3.30 times per 3 rounds. Chiesa is scoring a takedown on 48% of the times he tries and is stopping 61% of all takedowns attempted on him. McGee is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 69% of the attempts against him. In terms of submissions, Chiesa is the more able fighter by going for 1.1 finishes per 3 rds while McGee attempts 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Michael Chiesa squared up with Max Griffin and wound up getting the victory by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Griffin ended up landing 18 of 43 total strikes attempted in that contest. Chiesa ended the night having landed 54 of 87 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Griffin landed 10 of 34, which gave him a percentage of 29%. He ended up landing 9 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Chiesa landed 33% of his significant strikes by landing 13 of 39. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 11 of 33 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Griffin and 69% of them landed by Chiesa were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Court McGee, he went up against Tim Means and got a win for the night via rear naked choke in round 1. Means connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and McGee connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. McGee ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 14 of 24. He ended up landing 9 of 18 significant strikes aimed at the head. Means landed 5 of 13 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 2 of 9 directed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Means ended up landing 12 of 20 and McGee landed 19 of 35 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Malcolm Wellmaker encounters Kris Moutinho. Wellmaker steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 71". Moutinho measures in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 14-6-0. The 32-year-old stretches 68". Regarding grappling, Malcolm Wellmaker takes his opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 3 rds and Kris Moutinho is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Wellmaker connects on 5.82 strikes per min and is connecting on 61% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Kris Moutinho, who lands 32% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 4.86 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jose Ochoa is set to face off with Cody Durden. Durden looks to add a win to his total of 17-7-1. The 34-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Ochoa stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 7-1-0 (1 NC). The 24-year-old stretches 67". Concerning grappling, Cody Durden stops 73% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 47% of the times he tries. Ochoa is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the attempts he tries and prevents 75% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Durden takes 4.29 strikes/min while he deals 3.52 strikes/minute. Ochoa, moreover, is absorbing 3.40 strikes per min and lands 3.33 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Michael Chiesa (-360)

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Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee Pick, 06/14/2025 Predictions UFC Atlanta Odds

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