Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen Pick, 07/26/2025 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/22/2025

Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, July 26, 2025

Mohammad Yahya will enter the Octagon with Steven Nguyen at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 26, 2025. The moneyline has Yahya priced at +270 while Nguyen is coming in at -320.

Ibo "The Last Ottoman" Aslan comes into this fight with a mark of 12-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Billy "Son of Susie" Elekana measures 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 9-2-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Mohammad Yahya is connecting on 2.38 per min and Steven Nguyen connects on 7.15 significant strikes per minute. Yahya is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts while Nguyen is connecting on 40%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The UAE Warrior" allows 4.96 significant strikes per min and "The Ninja" takes 7.36. Yahya also stops 38% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Nguyen curbs 60% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks mohammad yahya predictions best bet odds

UFC Abu Dhabi	Mohammad Yahya	Steven Nguyen
Opening Odds	+270	-320
Record	12-5-0	9-2-0
Average Fight Time	9:53	13:26
Height	5'9"	5'11"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	73"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.38	7.15
Striking Accuracy	42%	40%

In the category of takedowns, Mohammad Yahya is the more skilled grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.76 times per 15 min. Yahya is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of his tries and stuffing 42% of all takedown tries against him. Nguyen is finishing his takedowns on 85% of his takedown tries and stopping 84% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of submission attempts, Yahya is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Nguyen attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Mohammad Yahya squared up with Kaue Fernandes and ended up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Fernandes landed 37 of 63 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Yahya ended the night having landed 4 of 18 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Fernandes landed 37 of 63, giving him a percentage of 58%. He ended up landing 21 of 44 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Yahya landed 22% of his significant strikes by landing 4 of 18. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 15 pointed at the head. 78% of the significant strikes connected on by Fernandes and 100% of them landed by Yahya were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Steven Nguyen, he battled Jarno Errens and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Errens landed 98% of his significant strikes at distance and Nguyen connected on 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Nguyen landed 27% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 63 of 226. He ended up connecting on 47 of 187 significant strikes aimed at the head. Errens ended up landing 105 of 207 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 51 of 139 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Errens ended up landing 106 of 208 and Nguyen landed 63 of 227 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Amanda Ribas fights Tabatha Ricci. Ribas comes into this fight with a mark of 13-6-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Ricci measures in at 5'1" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 61". In terms of takedowns, Amanda Ribas is able to score a takedown 2.06 times per 3 rounds and Tabatha Ricci takes her opponents to the mat 2.74 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Ribas lands 4.29 strikes/minute and lands 39% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Tabatha Ricci, who is landing 36% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 4.18 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Reinier de Ridder is set to take on Robert Whittaker. Whittaker walks into the Octagon holding a record of 27-8-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". de Ridder measures 6'4" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 20-2-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding wrestling, Robert Whittaker deflects 81% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 38% of his attempts. de Ridder is finishing his takedowns on 38% of his tries and is able to deflect 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Whittaker is taking 3.41 strikes/minute while he connects on 4.54 strikes/min. de Ridder, moreover, is taking 2.21 strikes/min and is connecting on 3.25 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mohammad Yahya (+270)

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Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen Pick, 07/26/2025 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

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