Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato Pick, 06/14/2025 Predictions UFC Atlanta Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/11/2025

Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato

UFC Atlanta

State Farm Arena in Atlanta

Saturday, June 14, 2025

Paul Craig will enter the Octagon against Rodolfo Bellato at UFC Atlanta on Saturday, June 14, 2025. The odds have Craig priced at +295 while Bellato is coming in at -375.

Paul "Bearjew" Craig will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-9-1. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Rodolfo "Trator" Bellato measures 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 12-2-1. The 29-year-old reaches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Paul Craig connects on 2.52 per min while Rodolfo Bellato is landing 6.28 significant strikes per min. Craig is landing 44% of the significant strikes he tries and Bellato lands 62%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Bearjew" absorbs 3.03 significant strikes per minute while "Trator" absorbs 6.31. Craig also defends 43% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Bellato is able to curb 46% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Paul Craig ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Atlanta	Paul Craig	Rodolfo Bellato
Opening Odds	+295	-375
Record	17-9-1	12-2-1
Average Fight Time	8:20	10:40
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	76"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.52	6.28
Striking Accuracy	44%	62%

Concerning wrestling, Paul Craig is the more effective grappler as he gets a takedown 1.52 times per 15 minutes. Craig is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of his attempts and is stuffing 37% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Bellato is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of his takedown tries and stopping 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Craig is the more capable fighter by going for 1.4 finishes per 3 rds while Bellato attempts 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Paul Craig faced Bo Nickal and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Nickal ended up landing 54 of 85 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Craig finished this fight landing 48 of 130 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Nickal ended up landing 54 of 85, giving him a percentage of 63%. He finished the fight landing 24 of 50 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Craig ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes by landing 47 of 129. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 21 of 93 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Nickal and 100% of them connected on by Craig were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Rodolfo Bellato, he squared up with Jimmy Crute and ended up in a draw via majority decision in round 3. Crute ended up connecting on 72% of his significant strikes at distance and Bellato connected on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Bellato ended up connecting on 63% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 89 of 141. He landed 36 of 76 significant strikes to the head. Crute ended up landing 106 of 209 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 93 of 190 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Crute was 139 of 247 while Bellato landed 95 of 148 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Michael Chiesa battles Court McGee. Chiesa steps into the cage holding a record of 18-7-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". McGee stands 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 23-13-0. The 40-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In terms of takedowns, Michael Chiesa is averaging a takedown 3.30 times per 3 rds and Court McGee is averaging a takedown 1.87 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Chiesa lands 1.81 strikes per min and lands 39% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Court McGee, who tags his opponent on 37% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.60 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Kris Moutinho is set to square up in the Octagon with Malcolm Wellmaker. Wellmaker steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 71". Moutinho measures in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 14-6-0. The 32-year-old stretches 68". In terms of grappling, Malcolm Wellmaker stops 75% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his tries. Moutinho is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his tries and defends against 10% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Wellmaker is absorbing 6.27 strikes/min and he is landing 5.82 per minute. Moutinho, notwithstanding, absorbs 15.48 strikes per min and is dealing 4.86 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rodolfo Bellato (-375)

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Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato Pick, 06/14/2025 Predictions UFC Atlanta Odds

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