Ramblings From A College Football Betting Junkie
by Taylor Jordan - Strike Point Sports - 10/18/2011
This past Saturday certainly did the first edition of the 2011-12 BCS standings some justice. Prior to last weekend there were a slew of undefeated teams. Already you could hear grumblings in the background about how the number of potential perfect records at the end of the season might be disastrous for a potential title game, but equally ideal to push for a playoff.
Well, chalk one up to the computers. Both Michigan and Georgia Tech were slapped with their first losses of the season. The Wolverines predictably slipped up to rivals Michigan State on the road. While the same can be said for the Yellow Jackets in their setback coming away from home, Paul Johnson’s run attack was slowed and surprisingly Georgia Tech fell as big favorites to Virginia.
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The top of the BCS Standings look like this:
4. Oklahoma State
5. Boise State
The first observation: Wisconsin needs help. But have no fear Badger faithful, as things aren’t all that bad from the No. 6 slot. SEC West rivals LSU and Alabama meet the first week of November. One will drift below Wisky. The same can be said for the loser of the Bedlam game between the Sooners and Cowboys.
But what is to come of Boise State? Well, to put it bluntly, the Broncos are not losing a game this season. They are too good. The rest of the Mountain West can’t keep up. Could this year be the year a non-BCS school plays for the national title?
The Broncos covered a 32-point college football point spread by more than two touchdowns, completely taking apart Colorado State on the road. In what could be a more interesting matchup, Boise hosts Air Force this Saturday. Chris Peterson’s squad is installed as 31-point chalk. Air Force is no walkover opponent, but with the momentum of a favorable BCS ranking and their success thus far it’d be a fool’s errand to expect anything but more domination from the Broncos this weekend.
Here are several more intriguing matchups this week in college football:
Georgia Tech (+3) at Miami (Saturday – 3:30 p.m.)
First glance and this line seems like a major overreaction. I mean, almost two months into the college season the Yellow Jackets have one bad half of football and now all of a sudden they are road underdogs to a middle of the road ACC team? Two weeks ago you couldn’t make the spread high enough for the Wreck. But, it is kind of amazing what success you can have (I am talking to you Jacory Harris) if you do not throw the ball to the other team. That’s now four games in a row for the Miami quarterback without an interception.
Oregon (-32.5) at Colorado (Saturday – 3:30 p.m.)
Speaking of teams that can’t have a big enough spread, hello five-touchdown chalk on the road. Everyone knows the Ducks are lethal at home. How will they fare in a game where no one could blame them if they didn’t really care about it? Also, Oregon is faced with the possibility that Chip Kelly might not have LaMichael James for another game, as well as starting quarterback Darron Thomas. But just like the line needs to be gigantic to bet against Nike U, the number needs to be even higher to bet on the putrid Buffaloes this year. Anyone who backed Indiana +41 and walked away with a bruised ego, you tempted here? You know you want to.
Wisconsin (-9) at Michigan State (Saturday – 9 pm)
I can’t tell if this is a massive slap in the face to the Spartans or complete respect for how good Russell Wilson and his Badgers are playing. Michigan State made Denard Robinson look every bit the bad passer he is and, on top of that, his feet were nullified as well. Now one of the nation’s toughest defensive units will have to stop arguably the most efficient and skillful signal caller in the country. Andrew Luck may be more talent. Landry Jones may have more talent around him. But then again, who is performing better than Russell Wilson? This is a lot of points to be laying on the road to a motivated State team. Then again, Nebraska was motivated in their inaugural Big Ten game and we saw what happened.
For more of Strike Point Sports and their college football picks, check out their handicapper page for details. Wednesday and Friday they will have a free pick posted, as well as further information throughout the week leading up to Thursday when they release their CFB card for each Saturday.
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