American Athletic Conference Weekly Betting Report (Plus Free Pick)
by Dave Schwab - 10/1/2013
After five weeks of mainly nonconference play, the 10 teams in the newly formed American Athletic Conference are ready to begin their quest for the first-ever AAC title. It has been a great ride for me so far with my weekly AAC pick of the week. Despite being on the wrong side of SMU in a 31-point loss to TCU this past Saturday, I am still up $1070 on the year with the use of Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System. My goal for this season is to deliver a $1000 profit on my AAC picks over the course of the entire season, and as you can see from the early results, I have already gotten off to a strong start.
The following is a brief betting report for all the Week 6 games in the AAC as well as my top pick of the week. All the lines quoted have been provided by BetOnline.
Saturday, Oct. 5
No. 7 Louisville Cardinals (-34) vs. Temple Owls
Total Line: 58
Louisville comes off a bye week with a perfect 4-0 record straight up and a 3-1 mark against the spread. As expected, Heisman hopeful Teddy Bridgewater has already put up some big numbers with 1,214 yards passing and 14 touchdowns while completing an impressive 71.8 percent of his throws. The Cardinals’ defense is currently ranked first in the nation in average points allowed (6.8).
Temple is still searching for its first SU win and getting worse as the season progresses. This past Saturday the Owls were 7.5-point favorites on the road against Idaho, and they lost, 26-24. Their only hope at keeping this game close is that they catch Louisville looking ahead to next week’s clash against Rutgers.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-6.5) vs. SMU Mustangs
Total Line: 48
The Scarlet Knights enjoyed a week off after knocking off Arkansas 28-24 on Sept. 21 as 1.5-point home favorites. They are now 3-1 SU on the year and 2-2 ATS, with the total staying “under” in two of their last three games. Rutgers is averaging 36.3 points a game this season behind a balanced offensive attack that is racking up 410 yards a game.
SMU’s lopsided loss to TCU follows a 29-point loss to No. 9 Texas A&M. This was after it opened the season with a 41-23 loss to Texas Tech in what has been a rough stint against the Big 12 in nonconference play. It failed to cover the spread in any of those three games. The lone bright spot for this team is a passing game that is ranked 11th in the country with an average of 330.5 yards a game.
Cincinnati Bearcats (-11.5) vs. South Florida Bulls
Total Line: 50
Cincinnati is another AAC team that took a break last week following a 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) start. After getting drilled for 45 points in a Week 2 loss to Illinois as 7.5-point road favorites, the Bearcats tightened things up by holding Northwestern State and Miami (Ohio) to a combined nine points the following two weeks.
South Florida’s football program continues to spiral downward in the wrong direction with a 0-4 SU (1-3 ATS) start that extended the Bulls’ current losing streak to seven games dating back to last season. They are 1-6 ATS during this same stretch, and the total has stayed under in five of the seven games. South Florida is averaging 14.5 points a game this season while allowing an average of 37.8 points to its opponents.
AAC Pick of the Week
Central Florida Knights (-10.5) vs. Memphis Tigers
Total Line: 47
The Knights were poised to take a major leap in the national rankings, but they could not pull off the upset as seven-point home underdogs in last Saturday’s 28-25 loss to No. 13 South Carolina. UCF has covered in its first four games, and the total has stayed under in three of the four contests behind a defense that is allowing an average of 16.5 points a game.
Memphis has managed to score a combined 60 points in its first three games, with 31 coming in a Sept. 21 victory over Arkansas State. The Tigers’ defense has played well in its first three contests, and the rushing attack is averaging close to 200 yards a game, but this team is no match for an angry Central Florida team that is looking to take last week’s frustrations out on the next team it faces.
3-Unit Play Take UCF (-10.5) over Memphis (Saturday, Oct. 5, 4:30 p.m.)
Year to Date Record: 4-1 (+ 11 units- +$1070)
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