Super Bowl Teasers: Best Betting Options for the Big Game
by George Monroy - 1/29/2014
There are so many wagers to be made on Super Bowl XLVIII that a novice bettor might be confused by all the action—heck, professional bettors can get overwhelmed by the number of betting options for the ‘big game’. If you are a bettor that is looking for something more than just the straight up lines but don’t want to get mixed up in weird “National Anthem” or Gatorade bath prop bets, then wagering on a six-point two-team teaser might be your best option.
Generally, teasers are not a great bet to make on a regular basis as the wager can head into suckers-bet territory very quickly. However, the strongest teaser to make is a six-point two-team teaser, which can be a great way to provide a little breathing room on close lines. Teasers, for those that are unfamiliar, are wagers that allow bettors to move a spread by a certain number of points in either direction. The bet can range for six to 10 points and from two to seven teams. But, as I mentioned earlier, wagering on anything other than a six-point, two-team teaser is never a good idea, the odds are simply against you.
Let’s take a close look at five teaser options for Sunday’s game and figure out which, if any, have the most value to wager on.
Super Bowl Lines: BookMaker: Broncos -2; total: 47.5
Seahawks +9 and “Under” 53.5: pushing Seattle to a nine-point underdog and moving the under up to 53.5 points feels like the strongest teaser to make on Sunday’s game. Seattle’s dominant defense and the weather conditions will probably lead to a close game no matter who wins, so a low-scoring matchup that stays within a touchdown is probably where this game is headed.
Broncos +4 and Under 53.5: Pushing the under up to 53.5 is the strongest play to make out of all the teaser options. The Broncos plus four does not feel as solid as the Seahawks plus nine, but if Seattle does mange to win the game, do they really have enough fire power to blowout a fantastic offensive team like the Broncos in bad weather? This teaser feels just as strong as the first one. Four of the last six Super Bowls have been decided by four points or fewer.
Seahawks +9 and Broncos +4
The last three Super Bowls and five of the last six have been decided by less than seven points, and expecting a close game between two evenly-matched teams is not horrible expectation. This wager has very specific parameters, but it would not be insane to believe this matchup will stay within a field goal on either side. A three-point margin of victory is one of the strongest NFL key numbers.
Seahawks +9 and “Over” 41.5
The trouble with this teaser is wagering on the game to go over 41.5. Four of the last five Super Bowl games have gone over 42 points, but the weather is only going to help Seattle’s defense and hurt Denver’s offense. The game could very well be a high-scoring one, but wagering on this teaser is probably not worth the risk.
Broncos +4 and Over 41.5
If any of the five teaser options were going to lose, it will probably be this one. In my opinion Denver is more likely to lose by more than four points than Seattle is by more than nine, and wagering the over on 41.5 does not feel like a great idea. This is the one teaser that it would probably be best to skip.
Read more articles by George Monroy
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