NFL Survivor Pools Strategy Advice and Predictions: Week 7
There was probably some movement in your survivor pool last week if you are still alive. Denver was the most popular pick last week in the Yahoo pools, and Atlanta was the third most popular. According to their numbers, nearly half of all remaining players were eliminated - though the percentages in my pools was a little less than that. So now we are really into the nitty gritty of things. It's time to buckle down and to keep making great survivor pool picks. Here's how this week breaks down. Unfortunately, it's a very tough week - perhaps the toughest we have seen so far. That will just make it more satisfying when we are right. There are two games that stand out above the rest, one popular pick I just hate, and one I am not crazy about:
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Kansas City at Oakland: The Chiefs are coming off a surprising and disappointing loss against a Steelers team that seemed mentally broken. It was yet another strange twist in a strange season in which every team seems determined to be mediocre. This is a good spot for them to rebound. They will be playing angry and motivated by a rivalry game. Oakland's offense is just plain lousy right now, and this is a tough spot for it to rebound. And the defense hasn't been particularly good, either, so Kansas City should find a way to score plenty. It's a little bit nerve-wracking taking a road favorite in a tough building like this, and in a perfect world there would be a better pick, but in a brutal week like this one, this is almost as good as it gets. In Week 7 we can't be too choosy - just smart.
Seattle at New York Giants: This is another one which isn't ideal because Seattle is far from perfect this year and is not at their best on the road typically. They have won two straight, though, and they are coming off a bye week which should have them sharpened up a little. More significantly, though, they are a defense that defends the pass pretty well, and they are up against a pass offense that has serious issues - not the least of which being a rapidly aging QB and the absence of their best receiver. They are coming off a win at Denver, but that wasn't due to the offense - Eli Manning passed for only 128 yards, and 16 of the 23 Giants points came from a defensive touchdown and three field goals. The Giants will struggle to move the ball, Seattle is rested and should be well prepared, and this one shouldn't be too close. Seattle is a tough team to love this year because of offensive line woes and general inconsistencies, but again they are as good as you can hope for at this point in a survivor pool season in a week this tough. I'll be playing the Seahawks this week and hoping for the best.
Dallas at San Francisco: In early action this is the most popular pick on the board. That's just insanely stupid. Sure, San Francisco is winless in six games and not great. Their last five losses have been by a field goal or less, though, so they are competitive. They have played three straight on the road, too, so they should be happy to eat some home cooking again. Dallas is coming off a bye, but before that they had lost two straight as favorites. Ezekiel Elliott will likely be out barring another legal twist in this long and winding road. And the team is dealing with the massive distraction of Jerry Jones and his stance against kneeling, which has reportedly been a big focus of the locker room lately - and not in a positive way. So, trusting a team that hasn't been great, has multiple reasons to be distracted, and is missing their best offensive weapon against a team that plays tight and at home - that sounds like a lousy way to spend a pick.
Carolina at Chicago: Carolina is going to be a pretty popular pick this week. I get it, and I don't hate it nearly as much as Dallas, but it still isn't a favorite spot. Carolina hasn't been quite as consistent as I would like, and I really struggle to believe in their toughness. Chicago is the inferior team here by a wide margin, but they have been playing with a lot of swagger the last two weeks under Mitch Trubisky. Strangely enough, I fear Chicago at home right now more than I do the Raiders or Giants, so this game isn't as attractive as the other two.
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Read more articles by Trevor Whenham
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