NFL Survivor Pool Picks and Advice: Week 4
As Dennis Green once said, “They are who we thought they were”. While Green was talking about the Bears, I’m referring to the 2020 Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs went into M&T Bank Stadium and laid a beating on the Super Bowl favorite (prior to Week 3) Baltimore Ravens. The result, which was never in question, prompted me to immediately think of that saying. Imagine getting 3.5 points with a $500-million quarterback, a team full of track stars and probably the most creative head coach that roams the sidelines this season? The Chiefs are who I thought they were. They are a fast team. They are a dominant team. And they are, rightfully, now the Super Bowl favorites, and I’d be lining up at a Vegas casino to get my futures bet in on them before the odds dip any lower.
As for the Survivor pool, we hit another 11 winners, including five of our top six picks with Arizona losing to Detroit as six-point favorites. Let’s try and go perfect this week. These survivor plays ranked from strongest to weakest for Week 4 of the National Football League Season. The team I list first is my selection.
For those of you who are reading this and are unsure what a survivor pool is, or are new to the survivor pool world, give this piece a quick read as it’ll break down what it is and offer up a few strategies on how to navigate the season.
Los Angeles Rams over New York Giants: I know the Rams are playing their first home game after two straight East Coast games, but this game could get out of hand in a hurry. The Giants’ defense flat out stinks. They made the JV team the 49ers trotted out look like the Greatest Show on Turf. The Rams have real offensive options to attack with and should put up 30+ in a win.
Green Bay Packers over Atlanta Falcons: Typically, I advise against taking prime time games, but the Falcons blew yet another fourth-quarter lead while the Packers looked every bit like a Super Bowl contender in beating the Saints. This could be a trap game for the Packers as they have a bye-week the following week. However, even with a 60% effort, they should beat the Falcons.
Baltimore Ravens over Washington: Even after the no-show on Monday night against the Chiefs, the Ravens should do enough to get the victory over a Washington team that didn’t play too great against the Browns last week. The Ravens offense will be looking for a bounce-back performance. And if they score 21 points, they should run away from an offensively challenged Washington team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Los Angeles Chargers: After opening the season in a tough spot against the Saints, the Bucs have reeled off two straight wins and look every bit like the team many hyped up to be a playoff team this year. The Chargers were beaten handily by the lowly Panthers last week, and the team just didn’t have the same get-up as it did the week prior vs the Chiefs. I believe Tom Brady wouldn’t enjoy losing to a rookie QB, so we’ll take him to get his Bucs’ team over the hump.
Seattle Seahawks over Miami Dolphins: This could be a little bit of a letdown spot for the Seahawks as they won an emotional game at home last week and now travel to lowly Miami for an early start. The Dolphins looked good on offense last week against the Jags, but I don’t think they have the defense needed to slow down Russell Wilson and his MVP campaign.
Indianapolis Colts over Chicago Bears: The Bears have beat the 0-3 Giants, the 0-3 Falcons and the 1-2 Lions. They are a very bad 3-0 team even with Nick Foles getting the start at QB. Indy finally put it all together on both sides of the ball last week, and we see them riding the momentum to another win against an offensively challenged team.
Detroit Lions over New Orleans Saints: Until I see the Saints’ defense stop someone, I think fading them is a good idea. The Lions played well in their Week 3 win vs. the Cardinals, and the offense performed as advertised. The line is begging bettors to take the Saints, but I’m not buying it.
Arizona Cardinals over Carolina Panthers: These two teams come into this game in flip-flop fashion. The Cards lost when they were supposed to win, and the Panthers won when they were pegged to lose. I still believe the Cards are the better team in this matchup, and they should be able to score more points than the Panthers.
Cleveland Browns over Dallas Cowboys: I can’t believe I’m saying this, but the Browns may be a better football team than the Cowboys. The Cowboys can’t stop anyone, and the Browns have scored 30+ in two straight games. Give me the hungrier team in this one, but please don’t use this is your top play.
Cincinnati Bengals over Jacksonville Jaguars: I’m rolling with Joe Burrow until he wins a game. Should have been last week against the Eagles, but maybe it’ll be this week against a bad Jacksonville team. Who knows? Please don’t pick this as your survivor pick.
Kansas City Chiefs over New England Patriots: I know I just talked up the Chiefs in a big way, but you’re not playing the survivor pool right if you feel the need or want to use the Chiefs against a decent New England team. Kansas City should score plenty of points in this one and get the win, but there are better options on the board.
Buffalo Bills over Las Vegas Raiders: This is a tricky game for the Bills, but I think they’ll be up to the task. They come off a crazy last-second win vs the Rams but now travel cross-country to take on a Raiders team who is playing their second home game in their new stadium. They looked good in Week 2 against the Saints, but we see Buffalo’s defense stepping up and getting enough stops to get them the win.
Denver Broncos over New York Jets: The Broncos could trot out one of the South Park cardboard cutouts they had in attendance at last week’s home game and I would still choose them over the Jets. I’m not sure how Adam Gase hasn’t been fired yet, (or hell, Dan Quinn over in Atlanta for that matter), but the Jets don’t deserve to win football games based on their incompetence.
San Francisco 49ers over Philadelphia Eagles: Please don’t pick this game. The Niners are banged up, and the Eagles are traveling cross-country and just flat out suck. There will be better spots to use the Niners when they are healthy, so don’t burn them here.
Pittsburgh Steeler over Tennessee Titans: This game may not happen due to COVID issues, so please don’t pick either of these teams.
Houston Texans over Minnesota Vikings: This game may not happen due to COVID issues, so please don’t pick either of these teams.
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