NFL Survivor Pool Picks and Advice: Week 7
After six weeks of football, the big picture is finally starting to take shape. There are just three undefeated teams left, and two of them meet this week when the Titans host the Steelers. We know who the bad teams are, and then there is a jumble of teams who believe they are Super Bowl contenders and a second tier of teams who are playoff hopefuls. Because of that, it makes making survivor plays all the more difficult. There is a parity amongst the league that’s unlike anything we’ve seen in a while, and it’s likely here to stay for the foreseeable future.
For those of you who are reading this and are unsure what a survivor pool is, or are new to the survivor pool world, give this piece a quick read as it’ll break down what it is and offer up a few strategies on how to navigate the season.
As far as last week’s selections went, it was a mixed bag. We hit two of our top three selections, but we did not see the Patriots coming out and performing as they did in their loss to the Broncos. These survivor plays ranked from strongest to weakest for Week 6 of the National Football League Season. The team I list first is my selection.
Buffalo Bills over New York Jets: The Bills looked bad against the Chiefs on Monday, but the Jets looked worse on Sunday against the Dolphins. We expect the Bills to right the ship in Week 7 and get back in the win column against a Jets team that is just flat out atrocious right now. Take Buffalo with the utmost confidence.
Detroit Lions over Atlanta Falcons: Just because the Falcons had one good game with their new coaching staff against a piss-poor Vikings team doesn’t mean they’re a good team. Detroit is by no means an elite team, but they can play defense and have just as potent an offense as Atlanta. The wrong team is favored in this one, and I believe Detroit walks into Atlanta and wins this game with ease.
Los Angeles Chargers over Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags were beaten handily in every aspect of the game last week against the Lions, and we expect a similar result against a Chargers team that is rested and coming off a bye. The Chargers should be able to put up plenty of points, something the Jags offense simply can’t match.
Kansas City Chiefs over Denver Broncos: I was all over Kansas City last week against the Bills, and I’ll be all over the Chiefs against the Broncos in this one. Look, KC is just too explosive on offense, and we don’t see the Denver defense doing what it did to the anemic Patriots offense. Kansas City scores 30+ and wins with ease.
Dallas Cowboys over Washington: Simply put, the Cowboys cannot play any worse than they did on Monday vs the Cardinals. Zeke had his worst game of his career, and the defense didn’t know what facet of the Cards offense they wanted to focus on. This game should be a ‘get right’ game against a terrible Washington team. Expect a much more complete performance from the Cowboys as they get back in the win column.
New Orleans Saints over Carolina Panthers: This is going to be a great divisional matchup, but the Saints are the better and more complete team. It’s unlikely that Christian McCaffrey returns this week for the Panthers, which bodes well for the Saints. Sean Payton and Drew Brees at home are money, and the Saints will get the job done this week.
Philadelphia Eagles over New York Giants: The Giants are coming off a win against Washington, while Philly is coming off a moral win (a loss vs Baltimore). They showed a lot of fight to fight back from a big deficit only to fall short on a failed two-point conversion. Philly is better than the Giants, and they are likely the team win the crappy NFC East.
Chicago Bears over Los Angeles Rams: The Rams are who we thought they were. They are a mediocre team that folds under pressure. They came out on Sunday night football and laid an egg vs an SF team that isn’t all that good. The Bears, somehow, are 5-1, and we believe they can pull off the upset in this contest.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Las Vegas Raiders: The Bucs showed up in a big way on Sunday and handed the previously undefeated Packers their first loss of the season. The offense finally started to click, and perhaps most importantly, the running game was efficient. They should have another productive day against the Raiders, who rank 22nd against the run and 26th against the pass.
San Francisco 49ers over New England Patriots: I wasn’t sold on Cam Newton coming into this season, and I’m still not sold on him through six games. The Niners showed signs of life last week, and we believe their offense is much more efficient and reliable than that of the Patriots. Upset here. Take the Niners.
Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals: Could this be the game the Cardinals step up and make a statement in the division? It’s possible, but we’ll back Russell Wilson as much as we can during his first MVP campaign. The Seahawks are fresh off a bye and should be ready to get the win here against a team in Arizona who is not quite ready to take that next step.
Cleveland Browns over Cincinnati Bengals: Do you care about this game? I don’t. The Browns already beat the Bengals this season, but the Browns are still the Browns. They choke in big spots as was the case last week. The Bengals, and in particular Joe Burrow, have come crashing back down to earth after a Week 4 win vs. the Jags. I’ll take the Browns in this one as they only seem to beat bad teams.
Green Bay Packers over Houston Texans: After going up 10-0 in the first quarter vs. the Bucs, the Packers got shut out the rest of the game. However, they are still the better team in this matchup. And with Houston losing a heartbreak to the Titans in OT, we’ll take Aaron Rodgers to bounce-back in this one.
Pittsburgh Steelers over Tennessee Titans: This game is going to be the best game of the week and perhaps the most competitive. Two 5-0 teams here, but we’ll take the team with the better defense… and that’s the Steelers. The Steelers rank in the top five in total yards allowed, rushing yards and points, while the Titans sit 28th in total yards, 28th in passing yards and 28th in rushing yards allowed. Great game, but not one I feel confident in picking.
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